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I am not arguing he has pitched well because he is giving a lot of walks and a ridiculous amount of homers. That being said, Pedro's hr/f is at 22% on the season. That almost has to go down. Some of the homers will turn into doubles and outs.
Pedro's x-FIP on the season is 4.89 which isn't particularly good but acceptable for a 5th starter. I say the over/under on his ERA the rest of the season is 4.50.
That said, I would not be surprised if Pedro put up a 3.50 ERA the rest of the way either.
Just have a reliever pitch the first inning and bring Pedro for the 2nd. Problem solved.
Maybe Nelson de la Rosa was his daemon.
I wouldn't either, as long he continues to pitch around 20 innings a month against mostly mediocre opponents.
But if Mets fans are counting on him to be great in the playoffs (assuming they get there of course), in that case I think you may be waiting for Godot.
If he keeps pitching at 5.00+ ERA and retires in disgust in another 50 IP or so, I think history will have seen him to have "burnt out."
inning AVG OBP SLG1st .308 .457 .617
2nd .258 .321 .330
3rd .238 .320 .417
4th .274 .347 .393
5th .274 .325 .425
6th .349 .440 .628
7th .429 .500 .429
8th .333 .333 .667
When you're allowing all first inning batters to hit like a Manny Ramirez or Albert Pujols, you ain't doing so hot.
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