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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Thursday, February 28, 2008N.Y. Post: SHAWN GREEN ENJOYING GREEN-ER PASTURES (RR)I can think, I can wait, I can fast, I can retire.
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Posted: February 28, 2008 at 07:53 AM | 23 comment(s)
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Oh no.
My dad's down in Florida right now and I think he'd get a kick out of seeing Green and Stewart re-united
Which is exactly what it sounds like.
I'm disappointed for him- that was a record I know he really wanted. It was kind of awkward, he'd ask me how many more he needed a few times, but after he had the two month home run drought, neither of us brought it up.
Perhaps the one to pass Greenberg will be Ryan Braun?
Maybe Jason Marquis will break the record, only on the "allowed" side.
This comment inspired me to look at the career HR Allowed list on BB-Ref, and I was shocked at how high Javy Vazquez is on the list. If he pitches until he's 40, he's got a good shot at the record.
Nothing upsets me more than belatedly learning I missed a pun, so I appreciate touches like this.
Shocked? Obviously you haven't had/watched Javy Vazquez on your favorite team.
Moyer might be able to hang around long enough to pass Robin Roberts.
Milton isn't a good enough pitcher to last enough to break the record.
Shocked? Obviously you haven't had/watched Javy Vazquez on your favorite team.
Javy Vazquez is very durable, has lively stuff, and is always around the strike zone. That's going to lead to a lot of great k/bb ratios and a high home run rate. Vazquez is 17th all-time in k/bb.
In reality, Vazquez is like Schilling, who also has gave up more than his fair share of homers. Schilling was lucky enough to pitch in a more friendly environment for a significant portion of his career whereas Vazquez has mostly pitched in homer-happy environments.
It'd be interesting to see what Vazquez could do in a park that supresses home runs. Yankee Stadium was a relatively neutral stadium and he had a bad year there but that was only one year and I think he had mechanical/health issues that year.
You watched him for a full season so you'd know better than I but it didn't help that the D-backs had a relatively poor outfield defense in 2005. It could also have been bad luck as he posted a solid 3.96 FIP for the Zona, which is quite good considering the context. Normally, I'd be quite confident saying it was just bad luck but he underperformed his peripherals in 2006 as well.
It's true that Vazquez has been a disappointment though. After 2003, I thought he was going to emerge as a perennial Cy Young candidate. I still think he could win one some year, although pitching in that bandbox isn't going to help.
I wish the Minaya could have found some way to acquire him when he wanted out of Arizona.
See, why it shocked me was because I expected his rate to be something like Schilling's, but his rate is really considerably higher. He's 10 years younger than Schilling, and has only allowed 72 fewer HR. He's likely to pass Schilling in 3 or 4 more years of pitching, if he continues his rates at anything near his past rate.
Well, Vazquez isn't as good a pitcher as Schilling was earlier in his career for one thing. Another thing is that Schilling's home run numbers are helped out by the time he spent with the Phillies where he pitched in the Vet and in a lower scoring context. As a Diamondback, Schilling gave up 1.12 hr/9 which is closer to Vazquez's career numbers.
Also, even though Vazquez is much younger than Schilling, he isn't that much behind him in innings. If he passes him in 3 or 4 years, he might only be behind him by 500 or so innings.
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