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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Tuesday, May 06, 2008
And so did Pujols scoring from second on a grounder to 2B tonight!
Even so, Pujols has this reputation as an RBI guy, and it’s been earned, however flexible the label itself might have to be on a year-to-year basis — whether he’s been among the best or not, he’s always been above average. Indeed, Pujols’s reputation is so important to the Cardinals that manager Tony La Russa has gone out of his way to maximize the value of Pujols’s at-bats with men on base by increasing the number of opportunities that Pujols might get hitting in the third slot of the lineup, doing so by batting his pitcher eighth and having a position player — usually shortstop Cesar Izturis — bat ninth. The math gets a bit involved, but it’s a solid proposition that having an essentially powerless position player, such as Izturis, swap places with the pitcher should theoretically help you score a few extra runs. Since this is what La Russa’s doing, who’s geeking who?
If you look at Pujols’s non-teammate-dependent stats, he’s been remarkably consistent in terms of average and power, in both his counting stats and his rate stats. The far more important news for fans in St. Louis is that their franchise slugger has been surrounded with an extended group of power sources that have helped the team move past the decline and subsequent disposal of former critical components such as Jim Edmonds and Scott Rolen. There’s enough in the track records of Rick Ankiel, Chris Duncan, and Eric Ludwick as power sources to make the gambit of walking Pujols intentionally a bad bet, and that’s without getting into whether or not former All-Star Troy Glaus can warm up to his new league. The Cardinals’ offense ranks second in the NL in on-base percentage, and second in Major League Baseball in BP’s total offensive metric, Equivalent Average. With Pujols on base and nevertheless still contributing the power for which he’s known, it’s not implausible to suggest they’ll be a better offensive ballclub than they were last year.
Repoz
Posted: May 06, 2008 at 03:35 AM | 8 comment(s)
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Ryan's evil twin brother?
Yeah, that headline is worded três confusingly.
Interesting to see Kahrl getting a mainstream gig. Has this been going on long?
Fine by me.
In 2004 (the year when Bonds got walked 232 times), he only played in the cleanup spot all season. The fifth-place hitters, were Edgardo Alfonzo for 57 games (95 OPS+, 4 HRs in the fifth spot), Pedro Feliz (100 OPS+ 9 hrs in fifth spot.), and Pierzynski for 26 games (86 ops+, 1 HR in the fifth spot).
----SMALL SAMPLE SIZE WARNING BEGINS HERE-----
Pujols, on the other hand, has played 32 of 33 games in the 3-hole. Rick Ankiel a 121 OPS+, and projected to hit ten homers from the 4-hole.Troy Glaus has an 81 OPS+ Ryan Ludwick has a 167 OPS+.
So, even if the rest of the league gives him the Bonds treatment, it won't hurt him or the team too badly; while the Giants at the time really didn't have anyone else to work with if Bonds was IBBed, Pujols is far from the only power source the Cardinals have; walk Pujols, and you risk letting Ankiel, Glaus, Ludwick, or Duncan beat you.
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