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Saturday, March 20, 2010

NYT: Megdal: Religion Aided a Home Run Chase

Evidence has finally been published that seems to resolve a 72-year-old mystery. When Hank Greenberg of the Detroit Tigers made a run at Babe Ruth’s season home run record, falling two short with 58 in 1938, was he pitched around because he was Jewish?

Passed over, I guess you’d say.

Jarrod HypnerotomachiaPoliphili(Teddy F. Ballgame) Posted: March 20, 2010 at 11:34 PM | 12 comment(s) | Login to Bookmark
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   1. Jolly Old St. Neck Wound, Moral Idiot Posted: March 21, 2010 at 02:11 AM (#3482983)
Interesting numbers, Howard. Not conclusive proof, but hard to explain away.
   2. Bob Tufts Posted: March 21, 2010 at 03:06 AM (#3483001)
I'll need a little more to convince me. I have no doubt of the perniciousness of the anti-semtism of Henry Ford and his acolytes and that baseball players were as likely pre-war to be bigoted as the average person, but....

Of the 3 BB games in September, one was 3rd September vs. the White Sox and starter Jack Knott, who started the season with the St. Louis Browns. The game on 5th September was vs. the Browns and pitcher Lefty Mills. The 27th September game was started by the appropriately named Browns pitcher Jim Walkup.

The 1938 Browns went 55-97 and had a team ERA of 5.80 ald led the AL in walks allowed with 737.

Sometimes mediocrity is just mediocrity.
   3. Mayor Blomberg Posted: March 21, 2010 at 04:06 AM (#3483013)
23 walks in 111 PA, 28 walks in 137 PA. The first set is a marginally higher rate and came in May of that year. His April rate was 11 in 50 PA. So, no, I'm not yet convinced if he was walking at the same rate before he was an obvious threat to the record.
   4. xbhaskarx Posted: March 21, 2010 at 06:12 AM (#3483023)
I'm sure there was some anti-Semitism given the era, but the numbers are not enough to suggest that it was widespread or organized.

One thing that surprises me, Greenberg did still win MVP twice, just like Jackie Robinson won the inaugural RoY...
   5. Jarrod HypnerotomachiaPoliphili(Teddy F. Ballgame) Posted: March 21, 2010 at 06:15 AM (#3483025)
Doesn't seem like there was a whole lot of protection in that lineup, either. Rudy York had a strong year at catcher, and Gehringer seems to have been his usual self, but there wasn't much for a pitcher to worry about after those guys. Who usually hit behind Greenberg that year? I thought maybe an injury might have altered the lineup in September, but it looks like everybody of significance played a pretty full season.

Greenberg's increase in walks doesn't seem too far out of line, considering he knocked the snot out of the ball that year, so I don't know if I buy the anti-Semitic argument. I should note that Howard doesn't sell it too hard--the article certainly doesn't make any grand claims, just very reasonable suggestions.
   6. tjm1 Posted: March 21, 2010 at 08:05 AM (#3483031)
Doesn't seem like there was a whole lot of protection in that lineup, either. Rudy York had a strong year at catcher, and Gehringer seems to have been his usual self, but there wasn't much for a pitcher to worry about after those guys. Who usually hit behind Greenberg that year? I thought maybe an injury might have altered the lineup in September, but it looks like everybody of significance played a pretty full season.


Also, Gehringer was hitting ahead of Greenberg, so no protection at all from him. We don't have intentional walk stats from back then, so we don't really know how many were intentional. If we take the protection angle seriously and not to worry about small number statistics, it's worth noting that York did miss 7 games in September, during which Greenberg walked 8 times. York did play "pretty much" a full season, but he did have that stretch where he was out.
   7. Swedish Chef Posted: March 21, 2010 at 08:08 AM (#3483032)
The full splits:

Month    BB    PA     BB/PA
April    11    50     0
,22
May      23    111    0
,207207207
June     20    132    0
,151515152
July     16    111    0
,144144144
August   21    140    0
,15
Sept     28    137    0
,204379562 


No smoking gun there.
   8. Jolly Old St. Neck Wound, Moral Idiot Posted: March 21, 2010 at 09:34 AM (#3483033)
What's really revealing about that Retrosheet link is the attendance figures in the day game only era. With only a slight degree of exaggeration, it seems obvious that 90% of their customers came either on opening day, weekends, holidays, and doubleheaders, with the exception of a handful of road games in New York and Boston. You can see why owners were quick to cancel games and re-schedule them for doubleheaders, as was the common practice of the time. Midweek single games didn't draw flies, and this was a year when the Tigers were 2nd of 8 in AL attendance.

But Retrosheet might want to proofread some of those numbers. I seriously doubt that a Tuesday afternoon game against the Senators really drew 68,000.....
   9. fra paolo Posted: March 21, 2010 at 01:01 PM (#3483059)
I seriously doubt that a Tuesday afternoon game against the Senators really drew 68,000.

It does seem high. I checked the box scores in the <u>New York Times</u> and the <u>Sporting News</u>, but neither gives the attendance figures. I suspect, in fact, they are both from the Associated Press. The <u>Times</u> and the <u>Globe and Mail</u> had the same story, word-for-word, from the AP.

I could check a Windsor or maybe a Detroit paper, but I'll have to go to the library for that.
   10. Greg Goosen at 30 Posted: March 21, 2010 at 04:33 PM (#3483171)
Doesn't Greenberg in his posthumous autobiography say that Browns first baseman George McQuinn deliberately dropped a foul ball to give him another chance? Also, other than Denny McLain grooving a pitch to Mantle in 1968, what pitcher has ever wanted an opposing batter to hit a home run? Especially in an era like the 1930s when there were only 16 teams and a lot of minor leagues went out of business in the Depression.
   11. Los Angeles ALBERT F. PUJOLS of Anaheim Posted: March 21, 2010 at 04:42 PM (#3483179)
what pitcher has ever wanted an opposing batter to hit a home run?
Ask Tim Redding, he has a theory.
   12. Jolly Old St. Neck Wound, Moral Idiot Posted: March 21, 2010 at 05:20 PM (#3483200)
I seriously doubt that a Tuesday afternoon game against the Senators really drew 68,000.

It does seem high. I checked the box scores in the New York Times and the Sporting News, but neither gives the attendance figures. I suspect, in fact, they are both from the Associated Press. The Times and the Globe and Mail had the same story, word-for-word, from the AP.

I could check a Windsor or maybe a Detroit paper, but I'll have to go to the library for that.


Don't bother; it was obviously a misprint. Briggs Stadium's peak capacity was 54,216, and they weren't giving away $20.00 bills at the gate that day. On Opening Day they drew 54,500.
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