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This scribe here goes into quite some detail suggesting the Florida Marlins are actually going to make a run for A Rod. I cannot see that happening, but I can certainly see them dangling Miguel Cabrera for more pitching.
No doubt some GM will give the Fish quite the haul for his services.
Yeah, the only two times I've seen the Marlins linked with ARod have both been in the Palm Beach Post.
I can't see him going there for a few reasons:
1) There's no way they pony up the money
2) Florida is a pitcher's park
3) I doubt he wants to have another Texas situation where he puts up MVP seasons and they finish under .500.
The last two reasons are why I don't think he'll wind up in SF either.
How does replacing him with a player that will cost 2-3 times as much make any sense?
Yeah, Cabrera's about to get (more) expensive, but based on the team around him and his not-so-great relationship with management, MC seems pretty damn certain to escape South Florida as soon as he can.
If you have the choice of getting a sandwich pick + another pick (bottom of the 1st round or top of the 2nd) OR getting Hughes or Bucholz, which would you pick?
Look at it like this: If the Fish were to trade Miggy for (hypothetically) Melky and Hughes and then sign ARod, they add 2 starting position players and a front-of-the-rotation starter for about $30M per year.
Or, they can keep Miggy for $10M, and try to improve the team via free agency with that $20M--assuming ownership thinks that any non-ARod free agent will increase the team's marketability and make it more likely to get its sweetheart stadium deal. There aren't many quality FA options out there.
An offense with ARod, Hanley, Uggla, Willingham and Hermida is pretty good. A rotation of Hughes, Dontrelle, Anabel, and Mitre, + junk could be league average.
I'm not saying they'd do it, but it wouldn't be completely off the wall in either a business sense OR a baseball sense.
And how, exactly, are you robbing the Marlins in this fashion? Do you have a gun?
What non-Yankee package do you think that the Marlins will want for Cabrera?
I guess I'd pick Hughes or Buchholz. But the Marlins won't be getting Hughes or Buchholz. They could get Kennedy or Lester. But they wouldn't take Kennedy or Lester. That seems to pretty much settle things, doesn't it?
I don't know, but I bet it'll be more than one good prospect and a young fourth outfielder. That's less than the Rangers got for Teixeira.
I'd try and get the Dodgers to give me Billingsley and Kemp. Anything less than that and it's not worth it.
If Melky Cabrera was the next Willie Mays, the Marlins would have zero interest, since he's only one year away from arbitration. You can almost write off any proposal that involves the Marlins taking back a player who has burned more than one year of service time. That doesn't mean they're going to take crap; it means they want what they got for Beckett -- guys ready to perform at a high level in MLB, but who haven't yet been in MLB.
If the Marlins can get two minimum wage guys ready to play in the bigs, say a #2-type starter and an above average OF, in return for Cabrera, then sign ARod for his ~$30M, they are getting (IMO) better value than giving $10M to a poor fielding 3B who plans to leave the organization ASAP and spending $20M on free agents.
As an aside, could the Fish skip ARod by offering Cabrera to the O's for Bedard and Tejeda, with no $$ changing hands? That seems awfully slanted in favor of the Fish, but Tejeda is coming off a subpar season and is on the block (again). There's talk that the O's won't be able to afford Bedard and are exploring other options...
Cabrera to SF for Lincecom + Lowry + position player? That'd shore up the pitching and free up the ARod money.
I don't know why I'm thinking about this so much--I don't give a crap about the Marlins.
You honestly believe Hughes + Melky (which I agree would not get the job done) is less than what the Rangers for Teixeira? Really?
If they can't afford Bedard, how can they afford Cabrera? If they can dump Tejada's contract, how can they not afford Bedard for at least a couple more seasons?
Wasn't Salty regarded as savior of the Catcher position here at BBTF?
It's certainly not an absurd point of view.
Bedard is two years away from free agency. If you can't afford to pay him more than 7 years, 126 million like Zito got that's one thing.
But for the next two years any talk that they can't afford his arbitration price is 100% bullshette. This is a team that has no problem paying Aubrey Huff, Melvin Mora, Jay Payton, and Jay Gibbons, and they can't afford a pitcher who just had a Santana-type season for 1 year, 8-10 million? They just paid that much for Kris Benson and Jaret Wright to sit out all/most of the year. If Bedard is traded for anything less than 2 superprospects the time for revolution will be at hand.
All I can say about Cabrera is that the player depicted here is nothing like the player he was four years ago in AA, when he worked as hard as any player I've ever seen.
EDIT: Steve Phillips's last comment is spot-on.
-- MWE
a) He never hits anything in the air, which makes it tough for me to give him much future power projection and
b) His physical frame looks like the body of a guy who's going to add bulk as he gets older, costing him his speed.
I'm open to the possibility that I'm wrong, of course, but that's how I see it right now.
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