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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Tuesday, May 06, 2008Post-Gazette: Inside the McLouth breakoutWarning! Zoonosis outbreak expected!
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My BookmarksYou must be logged in to view your Bookmarks. Hot TopicsNewsblog: Fred Schwarz on Baseball & Conservatives on National Review Online (4780 - 11:35pm, May 16) Last: Clarence Thomas luuuvs Jacoby Ellsbury (scott) Newsblog: SportsTicker: Phillies CF Werth enters team record book (9 - 11:30pm, May 16) Last: Edmundo(Erstwhile Master of Diagramming Sentences) Newsblog: NY Times: A Meeting, an Apology and Support for Randolph (RR) (5 - 11:29pm, May 16) Last: gef the talking mongoose Newsblog: AP: White Sox fire 3 scouts following investigation (5 - 11:25pm, May 16) Last: hunting for a halo-red october Newsblog: BDD: Baer: How the Phillies Can Fix the Brett Myers Situation (17 - 11:21pm, May 16) Last: Joey Belle needs love too Newsblog: Crosscut: Van Dyk: The M's need a smarter management team (16 - 11:19pm, May 16) Last: kevin Newsblog: Chicago Tribune: Wood now throwing strikes from the start (RR)
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Take two chill pills and call me in August.
Step 1: Pay no attention to what Jim Tracy thinks.
No, McLouth isn't going to hit like Brian Giles in his prime for the rest of the year, but I had him pegged as a breakout candidate, thinking that with his blend of skills (including an unreal SB%) that he'd be a run scoring machine if they ever let him be and lead off for a full season.
OK, even for HS, that's pretty amazing, both the average and the steals. you'd think at least once the pitcher would have guessed right and picked him off.
This Mr. Baseball thing made me curious... the guy he shared the title with was one Scott Koerber, in 2000.
Previous winners include Drew Henson (1998), Derek Jeter (1992) and apparently the one and only J.J. Putz in 1995. Couldn't believe it took him so long to reach the majors, but it checks out.
I hope the 2006 winner makes the bigs, for the announcers' sake if nothing else. His name is Dale Cornstubble.
I wonder how rare that is. I wasn't ever anything close to a prospect, but my first CS did not occur until I was 30 years old playing in an amateur league. My experience was that little league and HS catchers can't throw, though a fast player in HS is probably as fast as he'll ever be.
It says a lot that the two guys Tracy buried--McLouth and Doumit--are both enjoying possible breakout seasons, while the two he preferred--Morgan and Paulino--both are looking more and more like the marginal players they are. I think Tracy might actually have been dumber than Littlefield.
I really like Morgan, I hope he can stick around as a backup. In spring training he was heard referring to center field as "Morgantown". He has old-school stirrups. And despite being a black guy named "Nyjer Jamid Morgan" from California, he was a late bloomer baseball-wise because until age 20 he was concentrating on another sport -- ice hockey.
10 for 10 is probably pretty common. But 51 for 51 is sick. That's not just stealing second, it couldn't be.
Shawon Dunston hit .790 his senior year of high school.
http://web.baseballhalloffame.org/news/article.jsp?ymd=20080103&content_id=5922&vkey=hof_news
So my two stolen bases against Morton High School in Berwyn, Illinois back in 1987 have to be taken with a grain of salt? That's not even mentioning the time I stole second standing up against Glenbard West because the dumbass pitcher forgot I was there and threw from a windup.
My problem wasn't skills, it was opportunity. Had I played in California, I'd have had five career bags, easy.
Oh, you said "actual prospect". Sorry...
Sean Forman hasn't integrated HS stats into B-Ref, at least not yet, so it's impossible to say, but my guess is there are 1000 kids every year who hit .500 or better in high school. Most of them are not even prospects. Part of it is sample size, given a few hundred thousand kids playing every year (just a guess, I'm not sure how many exactly), a bunch who are true .300 hitters in HS will get lucky and go 17-34 or something.
Then there's the liklihood that you can't translate these stats anyway, take two kids who are true .500 hitters in HS (pretend you have some way of knowing this), one might be a prospect and the other might be completely incapable of hitting advanced pitching.
No, seriously, the guy threw me only one strike (and only one other close pitch) in 4 PA. Trust me, I was up there hacking in that last PA (we had the game in hand) but I got nothing within 2 feet of the plate (I have my standards!).
I know it couldn't be more meaningless, but it was cool making only 4 outs all "year".
Was Benito Santiago batting behind you?
I only got caught stealing once in HS and I stole almost every time I got on. I had some speed, by HS standards or regular guy standards, but not by "pro athlete" standards. It can be done.
Previous winners include Drew Henson (1998), Derek Jeter (1992) and apparently the one and only J.J. Putz in 1995. Couldn't believe it took him so long to reach the majors, but it checks out."
Hm, Koerber is actually in the minors right now.
I'm sure he was a pretty dominant HS player. He was a 4-year starter as a hitter at Mich St and a pretty good one too. 175 hits in 166 games with 20 homers. .352/.456/.608 with 7 homers and 11 doubles in 40 games as a senior. BAs of 285, 322, 315 and 352. Didn't pitch until he was an upperclass man, an wasn't very good, but struck out 37 in 39 career IP.
Cubs signed him as an undrafted free agent for his arm and hes actually done pretty well as a minor league reliever.
I'm sure he was a mighty beastly two-way HSer.
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