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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Thursday, June 01, 2006
This announcement appeared in the N&O this morning, but I can’t find an on-line link at the moment. Best of luck to Keith in his future endeavors.
Mike Emeigh
Posted: June 01, 2006 at 09:32 AM | 370 comment(s)
Related News: Toronto
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That's because the flannel is camouflage.
What if he didn't like it? What if he really liked writing?
And Tom Cruise quotes? Are you high now?
Wow. I didn't even see 94 on the first go around. That's blatant and persistent.
I agree w/you w/regard to Jim's unfortunate mention of you and your work. It shouldn't have happened. I find this somewhat related. Law posts here occasionally. We know nothing about his job description, nor do we know what anyone thought of his work, nor do we know the reasons why he moved from one job to the next. I find, therefore, the assumptions associated w/trashing his performance for the Blue Jays utterly unfounded and inappropriate. Additionally, basing much on perceptions from his writings ("he seemed like a jerk"; perceptions btw I do not share - I always thought he seemed decent enough) about his job performance or his qualifications for the job seems a stretch.
Did you think that line was original in that movie? Is that what threw you?
Fair enough. I basically have two thoughts on Keith Law: 1) on a personal level, I found him to be a bit of an ass during our exchanges on email and Usenet; and 2) putting that aside, he wasn't the most original/creative/insightful/talented/whatever writer on the old BP staff. Obviously the first point is entirely irrelevent, but the second point does have some bearing on measuring the effect of performance analysis on baseball decisionmakers.
In my opinion, he wasn't the best representative from the sabremetric community. If that is an accurate assessment, then it's not fair to base his performance (as reflected by the Jays transactions) as evidence for or against the use of sabremetrics in the front office.
I agree w/you w/regard to Jim's unfortunate mention of you and your work. It shouldn't have happened. I find this somewhat related. Law posts here occasionally. We know nothing about his job description, nor do we know what anyone thought of his work, nor do we know the reasons why he moved from one job to the next. I find, therefore, the assumptions associated w/trashing his performance for the Blue Jays utterly unfounded and inappropriate. Additionally, basing much on perceptions from his writings ("he seemed like a jerk"; perceptions btw I do not share - I always thought he seemed decent enough) about his job performance or his qualifications for the job seems a stretch.
Where have I trashed Keith Law?
I had no idea that you were reprimanding me. I came in and I asked if we knew enough to judge his tenure apart from judging JP's tenure. From all the responses that were made I concluded and expressly stated that we don't have enough information.
I never read the man at all, and don't have anything to offer on his qualifications. I have averred and I think its totally reasonable to aver that its late enough into the game that we can start to evaluate what contributions the sabe-revolution had on baseball teams.
I mildly defended those that averred another person would have been better by pointing out that it doesn't look like that the finding of a sabe in many early cases didn't look like it was a search for the most qualified candidate.
By any stretch, he is more qualified than me, and I said as much. I said a person that admits he is not prolific is more qualified than me.
To my knowledge, I have never, ever, once said anybody sucked at their job. The closest you will find is me saying that Hee Seop Choi was not getting playing time because of ability, not merit. Heck, Beane, who I am associated with trashing, I've said is an above average GM.
But this is a baseball site. I imagine front office people, newspaper people, and players read it too. If there is a reason to be critical about baseball performance, I think its reasonable to be critical about that performance. If that time appears, I don't think its unreasonable to post about that performance.
Now, if Dial, Szym, Shredder and you were seeking to chastise me for the comments I did make, I missed it.
Heh. Keith is way too honest for TV. I wish him luck, though, in doing the broadcasting stuff... he'll be a lot of fun and he's a good communicator, I've always felt. Whenever I talked to him, I always came away with a rather startling impression of how much he was learning. Made me jealous. :)
Almost from day one, there were people in Toronto who wanted his head on a platter. It must have been a lot of pressure to work under.
All the stuff we're engaging in is utter speculation. We don't even know exactly why the guy was hired. Even 6-4-3's post immediately above makes assumptions that we just don't know to be true. Who cares if he wasn't the most "original" sabermetrician, whatever that means? What would that (being original) have to do w/the special assistant job?
My point, again, is simply that all this is based entirely on speculation. There are no facts to grab on to, except
(1) He was hired as "Special Assistant to the GM". I'm not even aware whether there's only 1 such person. AFAIK, we have no idea what that position pays. Like I said, by its title it sounds like a hard work/low compensation job that young men take b/c they love the thing they're doing.
(2) He worked in that job for a while.
(3) He left that job for a new one; a job superior in its description to a job he held prior to taking the job in point 1.
Why that would cause some to speculate that he failed is beyond me.
Man, I'm w/Dial, Shredder, Zim and others on this one. Some people are reading way too much into the job change. Who knows why he changed jobs? He was only the "Special assistant" to the GM, which I'm sure is a pretty low-paying, high-intensity gig, much like being a staff lawyer at the White House. Those guys burn out quick, despite the perks, why should we be surprised that Law decided to move on, get a bigger and better writing gig than he had before (recall, his career began in writing)? Maybe he wants to be a professional sports writer? Maybe he wants to be on TV
Kevin's self professed expertise in matters notwithstanding, BP's "conversation with an executive" in this year's book pointed out what the salaries are - This was a GM who wasn't willing to spend $90,000 on a competent executive because of baseball's front office salary structure. Hell, a guy right out of school today can earn that much on Wall Street - and then you go into banking, where the money is bigger. I'd bet even money that Peter Gammons gets paid more than most Ass GM's in Major League Baseball, to say nothing of "Special Assistant of the GM's" - Law clearly isn't going to get paid "that" much - but who knows - this could be just about the money. The people in a front office who make the money are the GM's, and maybe a high powered consultant - it ain't exactly the NFL or the NBA in terms of coaching/front office money.
Normally, there is more than one such person. Pittsburgh has five. Toronto has one other one as well.
Well, because it *seems* as though writing for ESPN.com is a step down from working for a major league team in what sounds like a very important job, and therefore it's logical to speculate on why someone would take that (apparent) step down. I think the speculation arises mostly from a likely misunderstanding of what the job actually is.
-- MWE
And Keith has an MBA from Carnegie Mellon, one of the 10 or 20 best B-schools in the U.S. All of which, of course, is even less relevant at ESPN than it is in MLB, but I think it does underline the fact that this guy didn't fall off the sabermetric turnip truck.
-- MWE
And Keith has an MBA from Carnegie Mellon, one of the 10 or 20 best B-schools in the U.S. All of which, of course, is even less relevant at ESPN than it is in MLB, but I think it does underline the fact that this guy didn't fall off the sabermetric turnip truck.
Hey, I have an undergrad from CMU (the same School, fwiw) - think Toronto's going to give me a shot ? ;)
But yeah - he's not exactly starved for options - if anything, it's a nice resume filler applying for that job at Goldamn Sachs or ESPN.
BTW: I talked to a friend of mine earlier this year, who has a job with a major league team, and he confirmed the point that the "unnamed" executive made.
-- MWE
Mike - is this the bit about the salary ?
From what I know of Keith, I'm guessing that what happened was that he wanted the Jays to pick up a hot young prospect out of Free Country USA called Homestar Runner. When JP refused, undoubtedly discouraged by the prospect's lack of visible arms, that was the last straw.
For anyone who knows Keith, I think I speak for all of us in awarding this an Instant Classic Primey.
I didn't perceive myself as defending anyone in this thread.
But I went back and read it.
Here is the dynamic as I see it. Andy asks if anyone has any inside information.
Kevin ( upon re-reading pretty mildly) speculates that he didn't know what he was doing.
Then there were a few other conversations about who would have been an apt candidate at the time, etc.
For the most part, I thought I was going with the flow and was more interested in the points made by you and Jeff K.
But then it does look like the volume got turned up on Kevin and he had to defend a speculation as an assertion. I'm well aware of that dynamic.
I thought he qualified pretty well that he didn't know law from Adam, and was explaining how his sepeculation could be valid. And then he actually rates the administration as mediocre, which I think is a pretty fair rating of the administration as a whole.
Now, I've got no desire to tell the man he sucks. I didn't really join that conversation at all because it doesn't have a real end game. Until I can find out with more specificity what he did, I can't rate him at all. The only person that I know that has even an inkling about it is Burley. Paul D. has provided probably the most information on that subject in this thread, but its not enough for me to opine.
I didn't think Shredder challenging the assertion was a big deal. I don't think you disagreeing with the assertion is a big deal. I'm nuetral on Szym. I flat out believe that Dial is spanning multiple threads looking for a fight with a member of the Union or mgl, whoever bites first.
But I didn't think I went after any point on his acumen. I am very interested on a spin-free view on how the sabes have contributed to actual baseball. Its likely I'll form many different hypotheses on that subject.
I'm a bit lost on this one to Mike. Is this in reference to your post #93 on the duties of the Special Asst. to GM?
http://www.businessweek.com/bschools/content/aug2004/bs20040824_9874_bs049_0.htm
Not only does he have an MBA from CMU, he did his undergrad work at Harvard and worked for a very well -known financial consulting firm.
UT, however, is 12.
To that, I cannot speak. I haven't read anything else today, so am unaware of Dial's prowling.
I appreciate your assigning of motive, your MO, but no, I'm just calling them like I see them.
Sorry there isn't some inherent evilness to my posting.
Huh?
This link puts them at #15. That's MBA programs, not undergrad... am I looking at the wrong data?
Just for the sake of clarifying what I meant by "original," I was referring to the types of contributions that he made while with BP. To the best of my recollection, most of his commentary was rather formulaic and he seldom (if ever) introduced new ideas or methods--he just applied the work of his colleagues (Wolverton, Davenport, Woolner, Voros) to make self-evident points. Furthermore, among the "commentators" at BP, I found the quality of his writing to be inferior to that of Sheehan or Kahrl (or Neyer, for that matter, to extend the scope outside BP for a moment).
Just for the sake of clarifying what I meant by "original," I was referring to the types of contributions that he made while with BP. To the best of my recollection, most of his commentary was rather formulaic and he seldom (if ever) introduced new ideas or methods--he just applied the work of his colleagues (Wolverton, Davenport, Woolner, Voros) to make self-evident points. Furthermore, among the "commentators" at BP, I found the quality of his writing to be inferior to that of Sheehan or Kahrl (or Neyer, for that matter, to extend the scope outside BP for a moment).
http://www.businessweek.com/bschools/content/aug2004/bs20040824_9874_bs049_0.htm
Not only does he have an MBA from CMU, he did his undergrad work at Harvard and worked for a very well -known financial consulting firm.
The article is helpful, although I can't read past the lunch time. From that description it would seem that his duties are/were pretty analogous to an early level associate at a big law firm. Advising, acting as a face for the org, providing input, etc.
As such, it would seem that there is nothing to rate. The only criteria would be whether JP thought he did a good job.
If he didn't get any growth beyond that beginning, I would leave too. After a few years, that would probably be pretty repititive. And if JP did like him, he would probably tell him it was time for him to fly on his own.
That also corroberates a lot of Emeigh's suppositions. It sounds like a decent break-in gig, but it doesn't look like there would be that much movement, a grass-ceiling if you will. A great chance to make some contacts, and learn the business, but limits on getting responsibility inside the business. If you wanted to move, you'd probably have to move to a player-dev or scouting job in most of the org structures that I know anything about.
Anyone who has watched me in action these last couple of years knows I am never, ever straight on the links. Long, sometimes, but never straight. I'd be better off throwing the damn thing for 18 holes.
A fake-grass ceiling. This is Toronto we're talking about.
I'll drive them long and straight for you. Just take care of that damn putting at the end.
Somewhat. You're looking at 2004. I was looking at 2005 data.
As I understood it, the "it's about the money" point was not to claim he left FOR more money, but to counter the notion that he was leaving big money behind. He may have left for any of the reasons you mention, and many others, but the point is, as the article shows and as BL just summarized, he was leaving some incredible gig behind, but a grinder-type position.
Why do you need to surmise anything?
No grad school for me.
Think of how much smarter you'd seem if you enrolled in Emory's weekend MBA program!
It would also leave the weekdays free for drinkin', fightin', cussin' and whorin', which is always a plus (if a little tough to do on Tuesday nights).
And that will conclude a post that literally nobody cares about.
Like Democrats?
Vote for Backlasher University, a division of the Union Colleges. Its a highly underrated program.
Ha! Actually, now that I've decided to go the Finance route, I have two friends who went through Harvard MBA who are offering to hook me up with internships, jobs, and a somewhat inside track to Harvard MBA.
If you don't go to a top 20 MBA, you really might as well not go. But if you go to Harvard, with those connections, that's like a license to print money.
At UT? Hell, no. I was in a class today and the professor asked "How many of you are Democrats?" About 90% of the hands went up. "How many are Republicans?" About 8%. "Independents?" Me and one other guy.
Vote for Backlasher University, a division of the Union Colleges. Its a highly underrated program.
Freshman class schedule:
Sophistry and how to combat it
billy beane for pope, #######
Line-by-line argumentation
Must...not...make...joke...TOS...violation...
Baseball: +3% - could be 5% if they could improve their acceptance by mainstream and old school insiders
Fandom: +40% - or even close to 50%
There are tons of good jokes to be had:
Bonds broke the Law
Law's MBA won't help analyze Bonds
etc.
But seriously, you don't think Kevin started something or was baiting do you?
I understand disagreeing. I understand JC's reluctance to talk about a Primate and their job performance. But it doesn't look like he made any inference that was really outlandish, nor did he jump on somebody's jock. He just argued a point.
But you aren't doing that. You said earlier that people exchanging a few emails with him don't really know him.
So why would you begin to think you can surmise anything? You aren't using your head for anything there. You're just being,ell, stupid. You don't know why Keith changed jobs and you cannot make any educated guess *because you don't know anything about the situation that Keith is in nor Keith and what he values*.
Of course, you don't seem to ever understand the limits of your knowledge, so I guess you are right - I shouldn't try to convice you to stop - heck, even JC couldn't. Maybe JC's head is a hatrack on this as well.
In addition, I happen to think it is none of my business why Keith changed jobs. But I see why you think it is yours.
And, since you are using your head as a suppository, as opposed to a hatrack, the analogy isn't between Law and Bonds but between people who think they know Law without ever meeting him and people that think they know Bonds without ever meeting him, and hte irony of you chastising people who think they know Law without ever meeting him.
And if you think someone calling someone else fat is "pounding someone like veal scallopini", then you have the mind of an 8-yo. That you support that type of interaction points up your maturity level. But dig in.
Chris, I like you. I could live with an insult free site, etc. etc. But Base is a performance artist when it comes to insults. If you are still in his cross-hairs, he is fukking lethal.
Which is likely the same thing, or close to it. One downside to the corporatization of baseball is that they've taken on the fad of giving obscure, impressive-sounding titles to people with the same position.
But seriously, you don't think Kevin started something or was baiting do you?
You're talking to me? I neither know nor care.
This should read "the practice".
Yes, that calling me fatso is brilliant.
He's Union all the way, I guess.
Kafka, you are dangerously close to plagiarizing Taxi Driver here. Be more careful, wouldja?
Oh, and btw, A Few Good Men came before Demi Moore's enhancedness, and Dial's line about winning a prize isn't identical to the line about a prize in that movie, which isn't original to that movie, anyway.
If you can get me a Masters in Econ real cheap, on the weekends so I can actually make money while going to school, and actually teach me the subject, I'll vote for you.
Let this be a lesson to younger Primates, don't take my approach to school or you'll windup in a soul killing job that gives you enough money to live on but not much else.
I don't even think Base likes me, you would have to ask him.
Yes, that calling me fatso is brilliant.
No, his ability to think quick, improvise off a central theme, and write with eloquence and elegance is respected by me.
The fact that he manifests those skills in insults is not necessarily a virtue. So its not like, "I don't care if he TOSes, I just like to watch him post." but a person should know his limitations. I would not be scared to get in a war with Base, but I'd respect his ability. I would not be scared to get in a war with mgl on analysis, but I respect his ability. I would not be scared to get into a war of logic with JC, but I respect his ability. I would not be scared to challenge Srul on the law, but I know his ability. I would not be scared to go after Nieporent in IP, but I've never seen him wrong. Mug-Geography; Burley-Jays; Field-History, Andy-sociology etc. etc.
You can keep picking fights with people on their area of strength if you desire. I'm just offering a friendly warning.
I *didn't* tell you what to think or not to think. I asked you *why* you had to surmise anything. And then I asked you why you thought you could intelligently surmise anything.
Just don't bring it over here and try to start fights with me because you are angry with Base, which is what you are clearly trying to do.
Here's a free lesson in maturity, kevina, sticks and stones can break my bones but words will never harm me.
I'm not angry with Base. He acts about 8, and gets other 8-yo to LOL (to quote JC) along with. He gets you to call simplistic remarks like "fatsO' like I'm taking a pounding and BL describes that type of insult as "fulkking lethal". Hey, you guys can think that, but it's not very clever in my book. And it doesn't hurt my feelings one bit because unlike you guys (evidently, from your concern over my feelings about Base) I don't generate my self-esteem from someone calling me childish names over the internet. BL seems to worry about it the most, then kevin, and well, I don't think JC cares too much what people call him.
You guys don't seem to know what emotional toughness is, but you can't reach me on a personal level by using names like fatso or four-eyes (I wear glasses if you want to use that, Rob), or calling me a weakling, or a bad hitter or because I don't have a PhD (but please, mock people who mention SAT scores).
You should be ashamed of yourselves, but I understand why you aren't - you're you.
And the world will be glutted with bios of Tacks Lattimer.
You never go wrong with the classics.
You've spent about 2 years insulting us, and now you're all sensitive? Gimme a break, Chris. Kevin is right that whatever issues you have w/Base you should take up w/him.
That sounds like it would cost $300 an hour from the backpages of the Austin Chronicle.
I've got 5 children and a bro-in-law who writes jokes for a living. I'm used to it.
Nice pun, but that's a challenge I'd take.
Or call him fat.
That seems to make him vociferous (not that I'm saying he shouldn't be; ad hominems are bad enough, when they reach a personal level, that's actually one time I'll deem things over the line.) If you mention UT, he has no comeback. Because it's incontrovertible.
I've been trying to shut him up for more than 2 years, and now you guys tell me?
I pretty much used all of my muse for a while on that one. I'll write something again, but it will be a while. I am impressed by the guys who can blog or write on a steady basis.
I need to come up with some potboiler with mass appeal to buy myself time to do other stuff.
Texas has done everything they can to copy the original. Keep trying.
That one, I might get scared about. I'm a one dish wonder. I'd have to engage a serious training program.
If you can get me a Masters in Econ real cheap, on the weekends so I can actually make money while going to school, and actually teach me the subject, I'll vote for you.
What do you consider cheap? I can handle the other criteria, but we aren't certified yet.
all you have to do to quiet down Dial is remind him that he went to the second best UT.
Or call him fat.
I've got no desire to call the man fat. I'll joke about Peyton's Place. I'm allowed, I went to an SEC school. I've got no desire to insult the man in any way whatsoever.
Tonight it looks like he wants a fight. And since I've pretty much wasted the day, I'm trying to calm his ass down. But if he's feeling that squirrly, he should know that eventually he'll get what he wants from me. And I'm not sure that is what he's really after.
I mean if you guys don't want the kinder, gentler backlasher, I can give you site villian, and I do that role really well.
If I said something like (completely made up), in the context of a thread on base stealing where you posted, "Don't listen to JC when he posts about base-stealing. His posts about base-stealing are always wrong and poorly researched" and failed to address the actual points brought up in it.
That's an ad hominem by the definition. The argument isn't attacked, the arguer is. I wouldn't call that "personal", though.
All right, Mexican food at fifty peppers.
Dude, The DaVanon Code.
I was actually trying to set you up for a joke, but I guess you're in serious mode tonight, or it wasn't apparent.
Oh. I'm not in a serious mood, I just didn't get that that's what you were doing. And on further reflection, I still don't see where I was supposed to go.
Remember, this thread has established I am a moron.
Inside I smirk when I get called fat. I know how big I am, and I know how much smaller I am than ALOT of these posters, because I have met a lot of them. So when you call me fat (or laugh along with someone who does), all the ones that know I am not as big as they are, likely think less of the posters that would go teh "you're fat" route.
I mean, 5'11" 218#. Yes, I'm huge. I wash myself with a rag on a stick.
Its the calculus. Its got Jeff on edge.
Between Austin and Knoxville? Are you ####### joking?
IOW, who'll save the children from the fat jokes?
Ok now that was pretty funny.
I thught of something like that right after I posted. "Casey At The Bat" is actually an encoded message from our overlords. And the truth behind Mike Paxton's baseball card will be revealed.
That challenge is for Buckeye Boy.
Sure, kevin, ignore your posts that asked for the response.
How is 6) a taunt or an insult? It's a statement of fact. So is 7). And 8)?
Deconstruction isn't your strong suit, kevin.
Plus, JC, if you guys stick with that you'll likely stay off the other slurs.
I think that tonight, I have read my favorite lines ever by Szymborski (#5 in the Phillies lineup thread) and Dial. Impressive.
Okay. Because I guarantee that a Special Forces sniper could take aim from my porch and put a bullet in the front door of a Mexican restaurant that would be, at the least, the second-best Mexican place in Knoxville. I leave room for an outlier in Knoxville, and of the 3 places he could hit, I'd rank them somewhere in the 50s for Austin.
You aren't using your head for anything there. You're just being,ell, stupid.
And, since you are using your head as a suppository, as opposed to a hatrack
The general tone on this site needs improvement.
Only one of those comments is constructive.
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