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Sure, Furcal is a hitter, but is Torre really counting down the days until Garciaparra and Jones return? And is any hitter going to impact this horrendous lineup enough to make a difference?
Yeah, Krukie and Walker took their swings like they were going to hit The Unit. Sure.
Having Furcal back and not batting Pierre first will do wonders.
That's the real rub, isn't it? Guys like Chacon are pretty easy to find, guys like Manny aren't. My guess is they'll tolerate Manny as long as he's one of the 10 best hitters in baseball, and that's not changing this season, and it may not be changing next. It's easy to talk the big talk from the reporters seat, but when you have hundreds of millions tied up and are challenging for World Series titles, these decisions get a lot harder.
This is obviously a man who has not watched DeWayne Wise in center this year. Anderson is an upgrade, Wise sucks.
Right now Manny is not in the top 10 in OPS in the AL, let alone all of baseball. When that is coupled with his injury concerns and abysmal defense I don't see how he can be counted on as one of the best players in the game.
If the Sox could find a team that would give up something valuable for the privilege of signing Manny to a long(ish) term deal they should jump on it.
It's okay. Your innate sense of humor is still noted.
So are Moises' hands.
Question for the Sox is of course who can replace him? Get Burrell somehow? Let the farmhand Moss take over? [He who has mostly sat on the bench since Papi's injury while Tito plays Coco instead] The current crop of elite LFers is almost as thin as the elite SSes, so they probably wouldn't lose much with Moss out there, compared to the competition.
Looking at his hitting charts, this isn't true. He's gone to left as often as he's gone to right. He's yet to hit a homer to right at Fenway this year.
The cliche about Manny is that when he's going good, he's taking the ball to right with power. He really hasn't had one of those rightfield power streaks this year, though, save for a handful of games in their last series in Baltimore.
Also: See J.P., you talk players UP to the press, UP! Did J.P. really work for the A's at one time? That seems like a lifetime ago.
With Edmonds apparently going Gaetti (and for 2/3 a season rather than just 1/4!) - I don't really feel the need for an OFer. I suppose Roberts would be useful, but he doesn't really fill a need.
Everyone always wants pitching, and since Lou's already apparently worn Marmol out - another solid bullpen arm couldn't hurt.
I dream about landing Sabathia, signing him, and pairing him with Zambrano for the next 5-6 years -- but I don't think the Cubs have enough to land him nor do I think they can afford him with Soriano, Zambrano, A-Ram, Lee, et al signed for another 3-4 years...
Even a one-year rental would be worth it....
Pedro circa 1999-2001 isn't walking through that door.
If Manny is hitting his decline phase at the very end of the guaranteed portion of his contract, bravo to Dan Duquette.
vi -- nobody was talking about a trade here. That was in resposne to the pull quote above, which was, who is the most dominant pitcher Beane had ever seen. He nominated Gooden and Harden, because batters supposedly looked like they knew they had no chance. I think Pedro easily was in that class.
I'm aware of that; if the Sox get lucky they'll be able to "pull a Sheffeild" with him.
I think once he hired Boras as his agent he signaled that he was looking for more than just having his options exercised. If the Sox can find a place he'd like to go that would be willing to guarantee both options or negotiate a 3 year deal he's probably not going to stand in the way.
I don't see it being worht $20MM, but if you are the Red Sox, can you replace that production, in the free agent market or from the farm, for less?
I kind of doubt it, but I think Ramirez will be playing for the Cleveland Indians in 2009-11.
Not a Tribe fan, (although I do kind of root for them, due to the 60-year drought) them) but I think they will be looking to make a big move, he fits their on-field needs perfectly, and it would be a nice story. I also don't see Epstein and Co wanting to be on the hook either for the option or wanting to give him an extension for his age 37-39 years. I think something will get worked out, one way or the other, such that Ramirez signs a three-year deal in Cleveland.
I have doubts that Manny accepts arby. He certainly won't get a raise, and is unlikely to match the $20M that he's getting this year. If he accepts arbitration, he's got to expect to take a pay cut... potentially a (maximum) 20% cut all the way down to $16M on a one-year deal.
Now, he has to (or more correctly, Boras must) determine if 1/$16M is smarter than ... I dunno, 3/$40M? 4/$50M? Does he enjoy Boston that much (as well as being on a consistent championship contender)? Taking a one-year deal for your age-37 season is dangerous.
But the Sox absolutely have to offer him arb. If the worst-case scenario is a 900-OPS (130 OPS+) player on a one-year deal for $16-18M, and best-case scenario is that he plays out of his head to position himself for a multi-year deal in 2009 or declines arby to give the team 2x top picks.
BTW, Cot's doesn't list a buyout of that option year.
Seems like a no-brainer to me.
Offer him arby.
Ramirez is probably a 125 OPS+ hitter for 2009.
Burrell can provide that level of production for 2009. The problem is that he's likely to command a 4 or 5 year deal, but he'll be 32 next year. It's likely that he won't sustain a 125 OPS+ level of production into his late 30's.
Dunn will only be 29 next year and also figures to be a ~125 OPS+ hitter. The problem there is that he's left-handed and it would be nice to have a right-handed bat to complement Ortiz and Drew (signed thru 2010 and 2014, respectively).
Burrell and Dunn are the only two impact outfield bats that figure to be available in the 2008-09 FA class. Teixeira is the biggest name available (they could move Youklis to LF) and he'll only be 29 and he's a swicht-hitter. He's only likely to cost a bundle and want 6+ years.
In 2009-10, the following will be available:
- Jason Bay (31 in 2010)
- Vlad Guerrero (34 in 2010)
- Magglio Ordonez (36 in 2010)
Remember, the Sox have a $20M option on Ramirez for 2010 as well as 2009 (assuming they exercise the latter).
If they don't think that they've got a shot at Teixeira, I wonder if their best option might not be to keep Ramirez thru 2010.
Assuming that Burrell and Dunn get similar deals to Carlos Lee ($100M/6yr) and Teixeira a bit more, the question becomes:
- Ramirez at $40M/2yr for age 37-38 seasons
- Burrell at $100M/6yr for age 32-37 seasons
- Dunn at $100M/6yr for age 29-34 seasons
- Teixeira at $120M/6yr for 29-34 seasons
The big advantage for sticking with Ramirez is that if he completely falls off the cliff or gets hurt in 2009, the Sox can cut bait and sign another FA the following season.
My guess is that the Red Sox will wait on Manny until they know what's up with Teixeira (and trade possibilities, maybe Bay), and then make a move in November / December based on what they find. I think the most likely outcome is that they pick up the 2009 option.
For the Angels I hope they can get one of Dunn, Burrell, or Ramirez to sign and DH. Hopefully one of their teams will be scared of arbitration, Angels need a first round pick next year.
- Jason Bay (31 in 2010)
- Vlad Guerrero (34 in 2010)
- Magglio Ordonez (36 in 2010)
Matt Holliday too, and he'd be 30 in 2010.
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