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Thursday, December 07, 2006

Baseball America: Rule 5 Draft

This Year’s Picks or “How the Mets Let Their First Good Catching Prospect Since John Stearns Slip Away for $50K”

9:03 a.m.: Bombshell time! After Goleski and Joakim Soria go 1-2, the Cubs and Tim Wilken drop the biggest name in the Rule 5 in years, selecting Josh Hamilton off the Devil Rays’ roster. Hamilton, of course, was the No. 1 overall pick in the 1999 draft but has battled injuries and drug problems since 2001, his only full season in the minors.

Van Lingle Mungo Jerry Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:35 AM | 124 comment(s)
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   1. I am Ted F'ing Williams  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:48 AM (#2254142)
The Pirates chose a player from the Pirates?
   2. Chad  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:51 AM (#2254149)
The Pirates chose a player from the Pirates?

Do they have to pay themselves and then pay themselves again if they don't keep him? This is a negotiation I think Littlefield can win!
   3. Dayton Moore is a Big Fat Idiot (AG#1F)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:54 AM (#2254154)
I believe Sean White is from the Braves.

I don't see a lot good here after Goleski. What about the minor league portion?
   4. haven  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:56 AM (#2254156)
Typo. White is from the Braves.
   5. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:56 AM (#2254159)
"The Pirates chose a player from the Pirates?"

1) He's actually from the Braves' organization, from what I can tell.
2) Word is that he was picked so that he could be sold to another team, just like Tampa and Oakland on Goleski.
   6. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:58 AM (#2254161)
Specifically, Seattle (Link).
   7. Chad  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:02 AM (#2254164)
The Pirates, who didn't have any interest in any Rule 5 players, drafted White, then turned around and traded him to the Mariners moments later for what were termed cash considerations.

The above is from the link.

Why the hell wouldn't the Pirates be interested in taking a rule 5 flyer? Too much work? They'd rather give than receive?
   8. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:04 AM (#2254168)
"Why the hell wouldn't the Pirates be interested in taking a rule 5 flyer?"

Whenever the Pirates do something that doesn't make sense, just remember that Dave Littlefield doesn't know what the hell he's doing, and that'll explain it.

This is actually the third time that they've sold their Rule 5 pick under him, following Matt Roney and Luis Ugueto.
   9. ColonelTom  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:05 AM (#2254170)
Josh Phelps to the Yankees - that's a nice lefty-masher. I wonder if they'll try to get him into shape as an emergency 3rd catcher. If so, he could carve himself a nice niche as a Robert Fick / Todd Greene / Eric Munson-type utility guy.

Kudos to the Nationals on the Flores pick. I'm betting he sticks as their backup this year.

I'm guessing the Phils are going to use one of these Rule 5 guys as a 3rd-string catcher, keeping Chris Coste on the roster as a super-utility guy and the primary backup catcher. Beats paying Rod Barajas an arm and a leg to do the same job. The pitcher they selected, Jim Ed Warden, looks interesting - lots of strikeouts, lots of wild pitches. I'm assuming he throws a nasty splitter. Anyone know anything about him?
   10. zonk  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:06 AM (#2254172)
Sorry to repeat, but if the discussion has moved from the other thread to here...

Sean White was originally a Pirates draft product, was he not?
   11. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:08 AM (#2254174)
"Sean White was originally a Pirates draft product, was he not?"

No, 8th round pick by the Braves in '03.
   12. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:09 AM (#2254177)
Some nice, accurate reportage from the Trib here: he has White being chosen from the Mets, and also seems to think that Omar Falcon was in the Pirates' system (under a mis-spelled name).
   13. zonk  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:16 AM (#2254185)
You and I are on the same page, Col. Tom...

How utility IFs like Ramon Martinez, Neifi Perez, and the like always seem to get guaranteed (and in many cases, multi-year) contracts -- while guys like Phelps, Munson -- and I'd throw others like Jason Grabowksi and Matt LeCroy (who should be a 3rd/emergency catcher, not a primary backup) always seem to be struggling to get even a legit shot at the big league roster is completely beyond me.

Every year - there are 2-3-4-5 games where a team is fearful of either PH or PR for a catcher because there's no one else to catch on the active roster. I think it's worth an extra win a year if you can afford to PR for a catcher in a tie/1 run game in the 9th/extra innings... You could all but ensure that the Bakos, Blanco, and Fasanos of the world never have another meaningful at-bat again.

You certainly don't want more than 10-15 innings behind the plate a year out of many of these guys (Munson maybe aside, who seemed to handle a returns to the ToI pretty well) -- but that's a valuable bit of flexibility to me.

If nothing else -- I don't think there's a team in baseball that couldn't use a bat like Phelps off the bench and as a backup 1B.

Hell - in the lefty-centric NL Central (though -- maybe not as lefty centric as last year) and given their issues with LHP, the Cubs could most definitely gotten good mileage from Phelps. If they're just going to sell Josh Hamilton rather than carry him as a 4th/5th OF -- I'd have rather seen them scoop up Phelps.
   14. Confined to the Halls of Congers (formerly Y...)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:18 AM (#2254188)
further evidence that the Orioles are retarded.
   15. zonk  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:20 AM (#2254195)
Thanks, Vlad...

Bonus karma point for answering the same question in 2 different threads ;-)

I'm not sure why, but somehow I always through White was another from the seemingly endless stream of Pirates LHP draftee flameouts, ala Bobby Bradley, etc...
   16. Crispix Attacks is in the best shape of his life.  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:22 AM (#2254199)
I'm guessing the Phils are going to use one of these Rule 5 guys as a 3rd-string catcher, keeping Chris Coste on the roster as a super-utility guy and the primary backup catcher. Beats paying Rod Barajas an arm and a leg to do the same job.

I don't know if it's a good idea to have three catchers on the roster with a total of roughly .8 years of major-league experience (Donachie would be a 23-year-old rookie; Budde a 28-year-old rookie). The Inquirer suggested yesterday that the Phils were going to hire Ben Davis as a veteran backup.
   17. Too Much Coffee Man  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:22 AM (#2254200)
Is Jason Smith any worse than Royce Clayton?
   18. Templeusox has reached his genetic threshold  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:23 AM (#2254203)
There seems to be no Rule 5/Rule V confusion this year. Too bad. That is usually the bone of much unnecessary contention.
   19. Sam M.  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:24 AM (#2254208)
Wonderful. Just #### wonderful. Flores gets drafted by a team that will be more than happy to have him spend the season warming up pitchers in the bullpen, since the Nats are obviously completely happy to lose 100 games or more if necessary.

Nice gamble, Omar. Because God knows we need Victor #### Zambrano clogging up our 40 man roster.
   20. ddp  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:28 AM (#2254217)
I guess yesterday's great news for the O's comes at a cost. "Losing out" on Gonzales means losing one of the O's solid offseason moves. Honestly, why the f*(k do you bother signing Phelps to a minor league deal if you're going to lose him? To make yourself look busy?

I swear other front offices must feel like they're playing one of those video game where the Warehouse is being run on screwy artificial intelligence. You know...where the game announces a team has made a move or a trade and your initial reaction is "WTF? This game has terrible AI." Or how in Madden a computer team drafts 3 kickers. Or when the AI is programmed to reject trades because of some bizarre player rating system and you're thinking, "It's impossible to trade with this team. I don't want their stupid players anyways. No wonder why this team sucks." I'm convincing myself this is what goes on in the minds of opposing GM's when they think of the O's. I mean seriously..why the hell waste time and effort signing a guy at the outset of minor league free agency if you're going to risk losing him in a month?

Why sign Paul Bako to a major league contract and leave Phelps and JR House exposed? Why trade for Freddie Bynum when you've got plenty of crappy utility players.
   21. G A Delgado  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:33 AM (#2254222)
The Pads let Joakim Soria slip away, he's having a pretty good season in the mexican pacific league right now.
   22. jwb  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:34 AM (#2254225)
"Hell - in the lefty-centric NL Central (though -- maybe not as lefty centric as last year) and given their issues with LHP, the Cubs could most definitely gotten good mileage from Phelps."

Or Julio Zuleta. But they'd probably have him on a 3/$9M contract or something, so never mind.
   23. Dayton Moore is a Big Fat Idiot (AG#1F)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:35 AM (#2254226)
The best news of this is that to make room for Soria, the Royals released Runelvys Hernandez! WOO-HOO!!!!
   24. bibigon  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:36 AM (#2254228)
Flores seems to me the best player taken - I like him more than Goleski even, although I have a fetish for C prospects. He also seems more likely to stick than Goleski, since you can give him a decent backup role for the Nats without hurting the team, while the A's are going to be contending.

21 HRs for Flores at age 21 in the FSL is pretty impressive. It's just one year, but that's a solid pickup by Bowden if he gives him a shot.
   25. Padgett  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:41 AM (#2254241)
I love how the A's continue to defy scouting expectations. From scout.com's preview:

Such inconsistency makes it unlikely a club would gamble on [Goleski] to stick at the big-league level and he's too old (age 25 by opening day 2007) to select and then try and work out a deal to stash him away in the farm system.

His 2005 season does look strange, though.
   26. zonk  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:42 AM (#2254243)

Or Julio Zuleta. But they'd probably have him on a 3/$9M contract or something, so never mind.


...and IIRC, Zuleta actually did some catching early in his minor league career before shifting to 3B then 1B.
   27. Repoz  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:46 AM (#2254254)
Josh Phelps to the Yankees

Well...that clears up the 2007 Yankee Yearbook cover problem!
   28. Brandon in MO (Fire Trey Hillman)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:51 AM (#2254267)
Joakim Soria bio

21 years old. Pitched 11 2/3 innings in Fort Wayne in 2006. Pitched 37 innings in 39 games in Mexico in 2006. Struck out 41 in 48.2 innings.

And he'll take the pitching jobs that Americans don't want.
   29. Der Komminsk-sar  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:53 AM (#2254274)
Not to defend Littlefield, but Matt Roney and Luis Ugueto are two good arguments for selling your Rule 5 pick.

Soria is an interesting pitcher, but I don't think anyone can blame the Pads for not protecting him.

Why sign Paul Bako to a major league contract
This merits being asked more than once.

the Cubs could most definitely gotten good mileage from Phelps
Weak glove. He can stand there near first, but you want him as a PH/DH if at all possible. However, like you, I like having guys like this around as an emergency catchers.

Warden: not much. His stats were pretty sick this year, but I think that was in part because of a low BABIP.

Speaking of sick stats - check out how Oakland pick Jay Marshall did versus lefties in the Carolina League: .096/.113/.115 - 62 GB, 3 FB. Jeebus. Righties hit him hard, though - he's a sidearmer (and somewhat new to his armslot, IIRC).
   30. Brandon in MO (Fire Trey Hillman)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:55 AM (#2254276)
Wait, someone signed Gabor Bako to a major league deal?
   31. HowardMegdal  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:57 AM (#2254279)
"Nice gamble, Omar. Because God knows we need Victor #### Zambrano clogging up our 40 man roster."

I don't have any sense of the Mets plans at catcher. The best in the organization under 30 now is probably Drew Butera.

I still don't know why Victor Diaz wasn't converted long ago... maybe the guy they got for him is so overwhelming, they don't need another COTF...

"I have a fetish for C prospects."

Someday, when Baseball America starts running personals, this will become a cliche.
   32. Brandon in MO (Fire Trey Hillman)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:02 PM (#2254290)
So, how do you say Joakim?

Who-akeem?

Hua-keem?
   33. Sam M.  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:11 PM (#2254302)
I don't have any sense of the Mets plans at catcher. The best in the organization under 30 now is probably Drew Butera.

Well, remember last July they signed Tony Pena's son, Francisco, out of the Dominican Republic, for $750,000. He was highly touted, and is certainly now the best catching prospect in their system. He's also 17 and has to be considered a good 4-5 years away, if he ever makes it.
   34. battlekow  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:12 PM (#2254303)
The Brewers traded Campusano to the Tigers.
   35. battlekow  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:14 PM (#2254307)
I'd also like to say that I am surprised and relieved that nobody took Steve Bray, the Brewers' Rule 5 hero from last year and my dark horse for the 2007 bullpen.
   36. zonk  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:18 PM (#2254313)

And he'll take the pitching jobs that Americans don't want.


Is that another cheap shot at the Orioles or Pirates?
   37. Danny  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:20 PM (#2254318)
Speaking of sick stats - check out how Oakland pick Jay Marshall did versus lefties in the Carolina League: .096/.113/.115 - 62 GB, 3 FB. Jeebus. Righties hit him hard, though - he's a sidearmer (and somewhat new to his armslot, IIRC).

That's nasty, but I don't see any way for the A's to carry him with their logjam in the bullpen.
   38. Josh  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:21 PM (#2254320)
If signing Phelps is one of the few solid moves the O's made thus far this offseason, seeing him picked in the Rule 5 draft is the least of the O's concerns. Exclamation point.
   39. Greg Maddux School of Reflexive Profanity  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:23 PM (#2254323)
Good thing they signed Embree. One year removed from a 7.62 ERA, in case anyone had forgotten.
   40. Dayton Moore is a Big Fat Idiot (AG#1F)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:23 PM (#2254325)
What happened in the minor league portion?
   41. HowardMegdal  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:29 PM (#2254330)
"He's also 17 and has to be considered a good 4-5 years away, if he ever makes it."

Right. I guess my thinking here is, Paul Lo Duca is 34, 35, and Ramon Castro is the only plan B. Remember who our backup catchers were going to be last October if Castro didn't come back?
   42. battlekow  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:33 PM (#2254335)
   43. JPWF13  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:37 PM (#2254341)
Just wondering
Flores didn't play until 2004, but was signed 3/02
This is the 5th rule 5 since he was drafted- is it possible that someone in the Mets org didn't realize that he had to be protected?
   44. Nothing Iffey About Griffey  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:40 PM (#2254344)
   45. Der Komminsk-sar  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:41 PM (#2254345)
Flores played in the non-continental summer leagues, which count toward eligibility.
   46. Dayton Moore is a Big Fat Idiot (AG#1F)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:42 PM (#2254347)
Geez, the Nats lost seven guys in the minor league portion????
   47. Padgett  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:45 PM (#2254350)
Geez, the Nats lost seven guys in the minor league portion????

And the Giants five. How does that happen?
   48. Free Rob Base  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:46 PM (#2254352)
It seems like every year the Mets lose some schlub to the Rule 5 draft that never amounts to anything. Its not worth wasting energy on.
   49. zonk  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:47 PM (#2254353)
Dammit.

Hendry really has a knack for pissing me off lately.
   50. ddp  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:48 PM (#2254354)
Josh--

Exactly!!! Only made worse that it's been nullified by losing him in the draft!
   51. Raskolnikov  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:49 PM (#2254357)
Seriously, someone in the Mets organization should be fired, or at the very least demoted, for losing Flores. It's inexcusable.

The Mets could have hired me for 100 bucks and a couple of tickets to games vs. the Pirates to re-check their 40 man protection list and organization list before submitting it to the Rule 5 draft. I would have told them that Flores needed to be protected.

First Beato, now Flores. I'm shaking my head.
   52. HowardMegdal  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:52 PM (#2254359)
Are there any happy MEts Rule V stories? I am thinking of Tom Seaver, of course... we have no Johan Santana stories, correct? Doug Simons is our closest comp, I think...
   53. Padgett  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:52 PM (#2254361)
Because I was curious, teams losing three or more players in both phases:

Nats: 8
Cubs: 5
Giants: 5
Twins: 4
D-Rays: 3
Orioles: 3
   54. 1k5v3L, Useless  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:53 PM (#2254362)
Seriously, someone in the Mets organization should be fired, or at the very least demoted, for losing Flores. It's inexcusable.


Off with Omar's head.
   55. Dayton Moore is a Big Fat Idiot (AG#1F)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:55 PM (#2254367)
Are there any happy MEts Rule V stories? I am thinking of Tom Seaver, of course... we have no Johan Santana stories, correct? Doug Simons is our closest comp, I think...

I wonder who the best Rule 5 pick by organization would be.

I think the Royals is Andy Sisco.
   56. Crispix Attacks is in the best shape of his life.  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:57 PM (#2254372)
I think the Phillies is Shane Victorino.
   57. G A Delgado  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 12:59 PM (#2254376)
The Pads had Victorino in the Rule V draft of 2002 I think, but he was too green still.
   58. Sam M.  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:00 PM (#2254378)
I am thinking of Tom Seaver, of course

Not a Rule 5 situation, but somewhat roughly parallel in a not so equivalent way, I guess. ;-)
   59. Der Komminsk-sar  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:00 PM (#2254379)
Who was the last catcher to be selected in Rule 5 that stuck around for the season (not counting Shelton, who wasn't really used as a backstop)? Tood Pratt in 91/92, I think. (Other catchers of note include Eddie Taubensee in 90/91 and Jody Davis in 80/81.)
   60. Josh  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:02 PM (#2254381)
Gruber was a Rule 5er, wasn't he?
   61. HowardMegdal  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:03 PM (#2254383)
"Not a Rule 5 situation, but somewhat roughly parallel in a not so equivalent way, I guess. ;-)"

Sam, he wasn't Rule V second time around? Could've sworn he was when Mets lost him after '83...
   62. Russlan wants Pedro to be a Met again  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:10 PM (#2254391)
This is the first move that the Mets have made in awhile that I completely and utterly disagree with. There's absolutely no reason whatsoever for Flores not to be protected.
   63. Sam M.  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:12 PM (#2254392)
Sam, he wasn't Rule V second time around? Could've sworn he was when Mets lost him after '83...

Tom Seaver lost to the Rule 5 draft at the age of 38 in 1983? Um, no.

That was the short-lived, never-lamented (don't even know the rule or if it had a rule) free agent compensation pool draft. Teams that had lost FAs got compensation by drafting unprotected players off the active rosters of other teams -- not minor league prospects (though some of those may have been eligible, too; I don't recall). It was somewhat similar, in that it was a draft and the Mets left Seaver unprotected. But Rule 5? Nope.
   64. Der Komminsk-sar  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:13 PM (#2254393)
Gruber was, yes - they snagged him from Cleveland. George Bell and Willie Upshaw were as well.

Catchers: I forgot Kelly Stinnett (a Met!) and the last catcher to stick, Alberto Castillo, though he'd spent the prior few years in and out of the bigs anyway, so that's kind of away from the intent of the question.
   65. Russlan wants Pedro to be a Met again  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:16 PM (#2254396)
What are the chances Flores makes it back to the Mets? Flores isn't nearly ready to be a back yet. Are the Nats really going to keep him on the roster the entire year as a third catcher?
   66. HowardMegdal  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:18 PM (#2254400)
"That was the short-lived, never-lamented (don't even know the rule or if it had a rule) free agent compensation pool draft."

Got it. Checked the Baseball-Ref page after posting it- and not only are you right, but you sponsor the page!
   67. bibigon  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:18 PM (#2254401)

What are the chances Flores makes it back to the Mets? Flores isn't nearly ready to be a back yet.


I'd guess upwards of 90%.
   68. HowardMegdal  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:21 PM (#2254405)
If a major leaguer was taken off of the 40-man and sent to AAA, would he be eligible for Rule V?
   69. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:22 PM (#2254406)
"Are there any happy MEts Rule V stories?"

Henry Owens.
   70. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:23 PM (#2254407)
"If a major leaguer was taken off of the 40-man and sent to AAA, would he be eligible for Rule V?"

Sure. He'd be unlikely to be picked, though, since a team that wanted him could've just claimed him when he was put on waivers.
   71. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:25 PM (#2254410)
Since people seem like they might be interested, Wikipedia's partial listing of past draft results.
   72. Sexy Lizard  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:33 PM (#2254421)
I wonder if the Reds are considering Hamilton as a pitcher. I remember that in high school he allegedly threw in the low 90s, and he's a big lefty. He's had good foot speed when I saw him in Rookie ball, so maybe they're seeing if he sticks as a LOOGY, pinch runner, and Adam Dunn's defensive replacement? And eventually turns into Brooks Kieschnick II? It seems wildly unlikely, but I guess there are worse ideas.
   73. Sam M.  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:33 PM (#2254422)
What are the chances Flores makes it back to the Mets? Flores isn't nearly ready to be a back yet.

I'd guess upwards of 90%.


You think? I don't. The Nationals are obviously writing off 2007 in terms of competing. What do they have to lose in just holding on to Flores as the bullpen catcher, giving him a handful of starts or innings? And they can certainly tell the Mets, "Hey, we'd like to send him down to AA, but you of course can force us to keep him in the majors. We're more than prepared to do that. Tell you what. We'll give you Jimmy Schlubworth, non-prospect, in exchange for you not exercising your right to buy Flores back if we send him down. If you say no, we'll just keep him with us all year as our 25th man. So, we'll lose 103 instead of 101. No skin off our nose."

Flores is gone, I think.
   74. Sexy Lizard  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:35 PM (#2254424)
I wonder who the best Rule 5 pick by organization would be.

Canada's is Adam Stern.
   75. HowardMegdal  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:35 PM (#2254425)
With veteran relievers pricing as they are, wouldn't a Brooks Kieschnick be obscenely valuable in today's market?
   76. Crispix Attacks is in the best shape of his life.  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:38 PM (#2254431)
Adam Dunn's defensive replacement

That's actually one of the better justifications I've heard for a Rule 5 pick.
   77. PreservedFish  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:47 PM (#2254436)
Their First Good Catching Prospect Since John Stearns

Justin Huber.
Todd Hundley.
Mackey Sasser.
   78. HowardMegdal  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:49 PM (#2254438)
Brook Fordyce. Barry Lyons. John Gibbons.
   79. Matt Waters  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 01:53 PM (#2254441)
O man, I'm so happy the Yankees got Phelps. Give the guy a shot at first! I'm a little biased, he is a personal favorite, and I urged the Yankees to sign him on my blog, which makes me feel smart in a vague sort of way.

"I’m telling you George, all my baseball people kept telling me Josh Phelps, Josh Phelps, Josh Phelps, Josh Phelps…."
   80. Van Lingle Mungo Jerry  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 02:03 PM (#2254445)
Justin Huber.
Todd Hundley.
Mackey Sasser.

...

Brook Fordyce. Barry Lyons. John Gibbons.


You forgot Ed Hearn. Okay, so change the snarky lead to "The Guy With A Good Chance To Be Their Best Home-Grown Catcher Since John Stearns" since other than Todd Hundley, none of the others proved to be worth much in the majors.

As for Mets Rule 5 success stories, does Eric "I Gave Up Meat" Valent count?
   81. Wolverine  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 02:11 PM (#2254452)
Phillies best choice would be Dave Hollins, taken from the Padres in 90 or 91.
   82. bibigon  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 02:11 PM (#2254455)
You think? I don't. The Nationals are obviously writing off 2007 in terms of competing. What do they have to lose in just holding on to Flores as the bullpen catcher, giving him a handful of starts or innings?


I would certainly normatively agree with you - I think many more teams should do this, but for whatever reason, they don't. Not a lot of rule 5 picks stick, and even fewer of them are position guys. I think the Nationals should certainly give Flores the backup spot, but I also think some team like the Pirates or the Devil Rays should have given Colter Bean a real shot by now, or someone should have taken Pedro Strop and stuck him in the bullpen. It seems like bad teams should regularly be using the Rule 5 draft to fill up the back ends of their rosters with these guys, in a throw it against the wall, and see if anything sticks, type game.

It just doesn't seem to happen that often. That's why I wouldn't bet on Flores being gone - reasonably interesting young players like him are available with regularity - the Dan Ugglas who get roster spots are the exceptions.
   83. Danny  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 02:17 PM (#2254465)
The A's sent Jay Marshall, along with $100K, to the D-Rays for Goleski.
   84. Dayton Moore is a Big Fat Idiot (AG#1F)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 02:20 PM (#2254470)
I'm really surprised the Royals weren't more aggressive in the minor league portion. They have a whole new team in the Appy League to fill a roster out on.
   85. JPWF13  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 02:21 PM (#2254472)
I would certainly normatively agree with you - I think many more teams should do this, but for whatever reason, they don't. Not a lot of rule 5 picks stick, and even fewer of them are position guys.


Most aren't real prospects either. It's not usual for a real prospect, someone as young as Flores (signed originally before he was 18), to go in the draft.
   86. Raskolnikov  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 02:26 PM (#2254478)
But is it even worth the stress thinking about possibly losing Flores?

I haven't looked at the protect list - but I bet I could come up with at least 5 names (not including Zambrano) who I would have dropped to protect Flores.

Seriously, this is such a significant gaffe.
   87. St.Philly  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 02:29 PM (#2254485)
The Phillies best Rule 5 was Dave Hollins. The Phillies worst was losing George Bell to Toronto (at the same time they graciously traded away Sandberg and the immortal Julio Franco).

The Phils have traded away the Rule 5 catcher they picked up from KC, Donachie, to the Orioles for the Rule 5 pick they made, Alfredo Simon. Simon hasn't pitched well since he was traded away from the Phils to the Giants a few years back and actually was just signed by the Rangers a few weeks back. The Rangers had shut him down in winter league ball in the Dominican either because he was hurt or because he was throwing 98MPH and were trying to hide him.

It probably will amount to nothing, but for today it's the most foreign intrigue you can have without radiation poisoning.
   88. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 02:37 PM (#2254497)
The best player the Pirates ever gained in the Rule 5 was Clemente, pretty clearly. The best player they lost was probably Bobby Bonilla, though they added him back in trade later that year. The best they lost for good... maybe Bip Roberts?
   89. cseadog  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 02:44 PM (#2254519)
Is Hailton eligible to play immediately? If not, can he practie/workout with the team?

He's had a tough go of it (yes self-inflicted, but I'd like to see him succeed.
   90. Der Komminsk-sar  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 02:47 PM (#2254524)
Clemente is a funny case, given that the draft worked a little differently then.
***
I think Flores is gone - judging by BA Handbooks, he's one of the top rated prospects to be made available in recent memory, regardless of age or position. As a gamble, I get it - catchers don't get picked and stick often and he might need those option years later - but this may have backfired.
***
The minor league phase pool was really drained by the CBA change - there are clubs that only left a dozen or so unprotected and they weren't the best talent. Plus, most of those guys were way too old for Rookie league ball.
   91. Russlan wants Pedro to be a Met again  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 03:04 PM (#2254552)
As a gamble, I get it - catchers don't get picked and stick often and he might need those option years later - but this may have backfired.

I can understand the gamble. Most teams aren't going to let a guy in A-ball be the backup catcher because he has to "handle the staff". I'm pretty sure Omar knew there was a good chance that he'd get picked up. Maybe he's playing a game a chicken with whomever picks him up.
   92. Van Lingle Mungo Jerry  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 03:15 PM (#2254564)
I understand the logic behind the gamble. What I don't understand is why Omar felt he HAD to gamble in the first place. Putting Zambrano aside, he felt Steve Schmoll and A-Hern would have been greater losses than Flores? Good-hitting, good-defense catchers who post an 822 OPS in the FSL in their 21 y/o seasons don't exactly grow on trees. This was just indefensible. The Nats will lose 100 with or without wasting a roster spot on a third (not backup) catcher, so why not grab him and anoint him your starting catcher for 2009?
   93. Russlan wants Pedro to be a Met again  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 03:20 PM (#2254570)
I don't get it. Does Zambrano even matter in this discussion. I thought people on the 60-day list didn't count on the 40-man roster. I'm not disagreeeing with the points made. Seems silly to me.
   94. Sam M.  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 03:21 PM (#2254572)
Most teams aren't going to let a guy in A-ball be the backup catcher because he has to "handle the staff".

Van Lingle has it exactly right: Flores won't be the Nats' back-up catcher. He'll be their third catcher. It's about a wasted roster spot, not being willing to have a bad second-string catcher. For a team like the Nats, a wasted roster spot in 2007 is a small price to pay for a catching prospect like Flores. They've got their eyes on the long-term. Omar should have realized there might (probably would) be a team out there in just that position.
   95. Russlan wants Pedro to be a Met again  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 03:25 PM (#2254579)
I hope the Nationals have many 18-inning games in which their starters get knocked out in the first inning. That's the last thing I'm going to say about this. I knew Flores was going to get picked up the minute he was left eligible. This isn't going to be good for Flores either. That's the thing I hate about the Rule 5. Flores needs to be playing in the minors next year, not rotting on a bench as a third catcher.
   96. Van Lingle Mungo Jerry  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 03:27 PM (#2254583)
In fact, Sam, if had stopped to think about it, Omar should have realized that the Nats were the team that was going to do it, given their anticipated roster and performance for 2007 and the fact that one of his coaches had just become their manager.
   97. Russlan wants Pedro to be a Met again  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 03:32 PM (#2254594)
I lied, I am going to say another thing. I can also see the Marlins trading for Flores if the Nationals decide not to keep him the whole year. They want guys making the minimum with upside and that's Flores. Florida might actually give him PT.
   98. Shalimar  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 03:47 PM (#2254617)
I don't know, it's not just a wasted roster spot: The Nats also waste one of his pre-arb years on absolutely nothing, so even if Flores does develop (a huge if) they still get less value than they would just trading for him. The Mets didn't protect him, so obviously Flores isn't untouchable. The important questions should be how much he costs in trade and whether acquiring him that way would be worth saving the arb year.
   99. Walt Davis  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 03:51 PM (#2254624)
How utility IFs like Ramon Martinez, Neifi Perez, and the like always seem to get guaranteed (and in many cases, multi-year) contracts -- while guys like Phelps, Munson -- and I'd throw others like Jason Grabowksi and Matt LeCroy (who should be a 3rd/emergency catcher, not a primary backup) always seem to be struggling to get even a legit shot at the big league roster is completely beyond me.

Blame expanding bullpens. With 12-man pens, you've got 13 position spots. In the AL (where these guys can DH some), you've only got 4 bench spots. One of those has to go to your #2 C, one has to go to a backup MI (and most teams will insist that be a guy who can play SS), and one has to go to a backup OF (and most teams will insist that be a guy who can play CF). That leaves one spot and most teams rightly prefer that go to a guy who can play the corner OF and 1B positions (and preferably 3B). This is especially true if your starting DH is an Ortiz, Thomas, Hafner type who is useless in the field. With the possible exception of Grabowski, none of these guys are good fits.

In the NL, you do get 5 position player bench spots, but no DH and, again with the possible exception of Graboswki, there's no place to play these guys.

Back in the day of 10-man pitching staffs, this kind of player would have gotten MLB jobs. Now those roster spots go to LOOGYs and 60-IP relievers.
   100. Dayton Moore is a Big Fat Idiot (AG#1F)  Posted: December 07, 2006 at 03:53 PM (#2254627)
Does Zambrano even matter in this discussion. I thought people on the 60-day list didn't count on the 40-man roster.

Everyone on the DL has to be activated in the off-season.
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