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Saturday, September 06, 2008

Sabernomics: Bradbury: A Response to My Critique of the Mitchell Report Study

Jumpin’ Kilgo Trout Mask Replicas everybody...good luck!

I have received a response to my critique of Did Steroid Use Enhance the Performance of the Mitchell Batters? The Effect of Alleged Performance Enhancing Drug Use on Offensive Performance from 1995 to 2007 by Brian J. Schmotzer, Jeff Switchenko, and Patrick D. Kilgo.

What follows is the authors’ response. I will comment on this response within the next few days. I thank the authors for responding to me.

To sum up, we feel that many of the issues you have raised as “obvious factual errors” should more fairly be described as differences of opinion. Our methodology, while not perfect, is defensible and leads to the best estimate of the steroids effect that has yet been published. Furthermore, the essential conclusion of our study does not change even when incorporating your suggested changes, which shows just how robust the result is. Based on the information that is out there in the Mitchell Report, we don’t see how you can come to any conclusion except that there is a substantial positive effect on offensive performance due to steroids.

Repoz Posted: September 06, 2008 at 08:54 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Related News: GeneralSteroids

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   1. seeking a clever screen name since 1999 Posted: September 06, 2008 at 09:58 AM (#2931049)
we feel that many of the issues you have raised as “obvious factual errors” should more fairly be described as differences of opinion

You know, if you can't agree on what's fact and what's opinion, your discussions aren't likely to go very far.
   2. Zach Posted: September 06, 2008 at 11:15 PM (#2931622)
Well, the differences of opinion have to do with how to classify particular seasons as steroid seasons, which is a huge and controversial issue. The information just isn't good enough or reliable enough. Ron Rosenbaum's term for this is "evidentiary despair" -- the information existed at one time, and you could in principle have gathered it then, but some of it has been lost and some of it has been concealed, and it's just not reliable now.
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