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In 2005:
And I think the Mariners may still paying part of Cirillo's $7 mil this year (Brewers are paying $316K). Ouch! :P
DePodesta has carpal-tunnel from being on the computer!
DePodesta poops his pants!
Not.
Never inplied anything like that.
That was an odd response.
Sure, Robert, they'd be undefeated with Beltre in the lieup.
Plus, your ticket would be two dollars more. That's one less half of a Dodger Dog.
player truly moving to a new level of ability, vs.
a young player merely having a fluke season, BEFORE
the fact (i.e. before we have a full record of his
accomplishments, through say age 30)?
For example, on the one hand you have Andruw Jones
2000, when he was 23 years old, and when he set new
career highs in BA, SLG, OBP, RBIs, etc. But he
never has come within 26 points of that .303 BA
since.
Then we have as exhibit B Sammy Sosa, who was
even older than Beltran was. Clearly 1998 wasn't
a fluke in retrospect, but at the time would you
be willing to bet Sammy would be within 50 points
of his new highs in SLG and OBP the next year?
And McPherson.
amazingly, the dodgers 3b have performed about the same as beltre; better when parks are taken into consideration. so far, depo's looking good on the non-signing.
player truly moving to a new level of ability, vs.
a young player merely having a fluke season, BEFORE the fact (i.e. before we have a full record of his accomplishments, through say age 30)?
About 30 years ago, I established my "two year rule" -- they gotta do it two years in a row before I believe it.
The two year rule has probably not helped me beat the 50/50 mark, but it sounds good. And of course, it didn't protect me from my share of irrational exuberance.
Then we have as exhibit B Sammy Sosa, who was
even older than Beltran was. Clearly 1998 wasn't
a fluke in retrospect, but at the time would you
be willing to bet Sammy would be within 50 points
of his new highs in SLG and OBP the next year?
I don't know about 50 points, but I wasn't THAT surprised. In 1994 and 1995, he was on 40-HR paces (strike years). In 1996, he was on a 50-HR pace (broken hand, missed the last 40 games of the year). (In 1997, he just flat sucked)
And I got to see a lot of Cubs games over those years. Sosa changed his hitting approch substantially in 1998, laying off some of those low outside pitches and also hitting outside strikes to right. It was a tremendous improvement in his hitting approach.
Like I said, my two-year rule didn't keep me from making those leaps of faith when Cubs were involved.
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