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He should have his childhood heroes taken away...
You don't even have to go that far to see the effects of luck on their respective win totals. Just look at the game logs. Only twice this year did Webb leave games eligible for the W and watch the bullpen blow it, compared to 5 times for Lincecum. Take this into account, and their win totals are virtually even.
Today on PTI, Michael Wilbon and Rick Reilly agreed that Tim Lincecum should not have won the Cy Young. Wilbon went so far as to say Lincecum should've finished no better than fifth. He stated Brandon Webb should have won because (paraphrased) "nobody wins 20 games any more." This was the first time in probably two years that I watched PTI. I'm glad I won't see it tomorrow.
Only 3 times this year did the Giants blow a lead for Lincecum in the 8th or 9th.
"Only" 7 times this year did the Mets blow a lead for Santana in the 8th or 9th.
I saw that too. Wilbon and Reilly were both totally ignorant on this. Wilbon was especially indignant about it and I guarantee you he couldn't recite a single stat for any of the top finishers other than the 22 wins for Webb and that Lidge didn't blow a save.
At least everybody on the ballot was actually a pitcher.
I also used to think that. Not lately though, maybe too many years of listening to Kornheiser's nonsense has rubbed off on him.
Neither of 'em is really a "baseball guy." When they get onto talking about baseball the conversation is barstool-esque. That is often a good thing, they can be real funny, but don't look for 'em to be cutting edge or anything
Webb's really not a horrendous pick. The BoB is a lot tougher place to pitch than US Cellular or Shea, and his FIPs are better than Johan's. But not thinking Lincecum is one of the three best pitchers in the NL is kinda wacko.
You could say that about any of the top four.
But who's your fourth?
After Lincecum, you could strong cases for rounding out your remaining spots with two of Santana, Webb, Hamels, and even Haren. (I'd rank 'em that way, but could be convinced otherwise.)
I don't see how you can have Lidge in your top three and not have Sabathia ahead of him. In which case your top four is Lincecum, Sabathia, Lidge, and Santana? (And putting Johan fourth seems kinda wacko.)
You don't even need to move beyond wins and losses to recognize Lincecum's season. He went 18-5 for a team that won 72 games. He had a quarter of his team's wins and the non-Lincecum Giants went 54-85 (that's a 63-99 pace). Lincecum was 2nd in the NL in wins and winning percentage (Adam Wainwright went 11-3). Look at wins, losses, and nothing else and it's still hard to justify leaving Lincecum off of your ballot.
Sure. Webb, Lidge, Santana all deserve top 5 mention.
But admit it: not having Lincecum is a little terrible.
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