|
|
|
|
Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Tuesday, October 30, 2007
Or as I overheard in the bar the other night…“Mike Lowell would have lesser than zero home runs at Yankee Stadium”
3 - Lowell will be 34 years old during the 2008 season. Every free agent signing is a risk, but older players carry more risk. I’m worried about a small letdown in 2008, and then there’s 2009, 2010, and possibly 2011 to worry about, too. The list of 37 year old players who hit like their 33 year old selves is a short one. Again, it’s perfectly possible for Lowell to maintain his current pace, but it’s not something to count on or pay for.
4 - Fielding was not actually a strength of Lowell’s this past season and is a skill that clearly declines with age. Two fielding systems based on separate sets of fielding data peg him around average for a third baseman: one is at -6 runs and one is at +5 runs. UZR, the best publicly available fielding measure, puts him at -6, +9, +1, +20, and -7 runs from 2003 through the first half of 2007. You can’t be more solidly average defensively than an average-fielding third baseman.
Repoz
Posted: October 30, 2007 at 11:48 AM | 8 comment(s)
| Login to Bookmark
Related News: General, Boston
|
Support BBTF
Thanks to Backlasher for his generous support.
Bookmarks
You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.
Hot Topics
Newsblog: BPro: Wyers: Reintroducing PECOTA (20 - 11:06pm, Feb 08)Last: McCoyNewsblog: NYT: Alderson Remakes Needy Mets From Bottom Line Up (9 - 10:50pm, Feb 08)Last: RoyalsRetro (AG#1F)Newsblog: BASN: The MLB FRAUD - Oakland, Los Angeles, and New York (50 - 10:43pm, Feb 08)Last: salajanderNewsblog: Edes: 'Think Factory' projects falloff for Ellsbury (32 - 10:38pm, Feb 08)Last: Select Storage DeviceNewsblog: Fangraphs: Cameron: The 10 Worst Transactions Of The Winter (47 - 10:37pm, Feb 08)Last: NYCTigersfanNewsblog: 'Duk: Tim Lincecum slims down with swim routine, loses appetite for McDonald’s (238 - 10:32pm, Feb 08)Last:  Rafael Bellylard: Built like a MolinaNewsblog: OT: The Soccer Thread: February 2012 (92 - 10:16pm, Feb 08)Last: vortex of dissipationNewsblog: OT: NBA Monthly Thread, February 2012 (309 - 10:00pm, Feb 08)Last:  Der_K is getting more dogmatic.Newsblog: Sources: Cubs’ Starlin Castro Accused Of Sexual Assault (5687 - 10:00pm, Feb 08)Last:  Lassus:Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Texas Rangers (11 - 9:51pm, Feb 08)Last: AustinHall of Merit: Craig Biggio (18 - 9:20pm, Feb 08)Last: OCFNewsblog: MLB: Hall of Fame worthy? Furthest thing from Schilling's mind (5 - 8:23pm, Feb 08)Last: The Long Arm of Rudy LawNewsblog: NYBD: Silva: Yankees Fragrance and 1996? (9 - 8:19pm, Feb 08)Last: Karl from NYNewsblog: Edwin Jackson turned down three-year offer from Pirates (98 - 8:15pm, Feb 08)Last: The Yankee ClapperNewsblog: MONEYBALL~ Oscar Nominations 2012: Academy Award Nominees List ~ MONEYBALL (565 - 8:15pm, Feb 08)Last:  Swoboda is freedom
|
|
Reader Comments and Retorts
Go to end of page
Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.
While he is correct that Lowell projects to be a league average third baseman over the next couple of years, the author is wrong about how much wins cost in the current marketplace. Tango had a win costing $4.5 mil last year, and it will probably cost $5 mil this year. This makes Lowell worth anywhere from $10 to $15 mil per year. I'd be more worried about the length of the contract he will receive after being WS MVP and now that Yankees will probably have to sign him to avoid having a hole at third base. I'd be pretty happy with a 3 years/$14 per year. It might be a slight overpay, but doable for the Red Sox. It's getting into fourth year that will lock Boston into paying (and playing) Lowell when he's a bench quality player.
And finally a non A-Rod thread. Let's not turn this into a Boras Think Factory
That certainly makes a difference, both for the analysis and for wondering why the hell teams would be willing to sign many free agents.
i really don't want that report to effectively eviscerate this world series win, but i worry that it will.
I imagine the teams already have access to the report. Or at least teams that are friendly with Bud. I'm cynical, aren't I? But seriously, I would bet money the teams can ask about specific players if they need this information. It's the media that has to wait.
I'm sorry, but I couldn't read on after that sentence. I couldn't stop laughing
Players & agents won't delay negotiations for the Mitchell report, so you'd basically be out of the market until the report comes out. If that's mid-December, that'd be quite a disadvantage if the [possibly untainted] talent goes elsewhere.
You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.
<< Back to main