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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Friday, December 19, 2008
Berg interviews Patrick Newman of NPB Tracker.
Berg: Finally, Yu Darvish. How good is he, how good can he be and can we expect to see him pitching in the Majors in the next couple of years?
Newman: Darvish is the best pitcher in Japan right now. He’s put up two consecutive sub-2.00 ERA, sub-0.90 WHIP seasons at age 21-22. To compare, Matsuzaka’s best ERA in Japan was 2.13, at age 25. Can he get better? Probably. He’s 22 (three months younger than Junichi Tazawa), has solid command of a couple breaking pitches, and has added a couple of miles per hour to his fastball over the last couple of years. He certainly has the stuff and composure to continue to improve.
Darvish has said repeatedly that he’s not interested in coming to MLB—his most recent comment was that he wanted to win 200 games in Japan. He’s 48-19 in his career so far. Note that this is to some extent unusual—Uehara, Hideki Matsui and others had talked openly about wanting to play in MLB before making the leap. My guess is that he’ll eventually want to give MLB a shot, but it’s a ways off. He’s a minimum of five years away from free agency, and I don’t really see him getting posted. So we’ll see what happens. The interesting thing is that this is the first time we’re seeing an NPB star attract a significant following outside of Japan this early in his career. I hope this can be leveraged to attract new fans to the league.
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I mean, he's a newsman's delight: He's young, he's big in Japan, he's nasty good, he is half-Iranian in a traditionally Xenophobic society. If he were to continue with his want to stay in Japan, then the Media would have even more stuff to go over on a slow news day. I mean, can imagine the fracas on the ESPN talking head shows if he were to outright state during the WBC after beating, say, the US or the Dominican, that he didn't want to play in the Major Leagues anytime soon- if ever : Some would call him a idiot for passing up the money, some would respect his decision, some would call him a sign that America continues to lose influence in the world (which is looking way too into it) and some would no doubt say that it was all a ruse to get his price higher up. But the big thing would be that Baseball fans who normally wouldn't give a crap about a NPB player unless he was in the middle of a bidding war or chasing some American Record would be talking about a NPB player who wasn't going to be playing in the majors.
The Braves reportedly have real interest in Kawakami. It would be the capper on the off-season if they lost him to the Mets.
A: Yes, on my mother's side.
my assumption is that Darvish's arm will fall off by the time he's 25
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