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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Thursday, September 25, 2008
Joe Torre gets the last laugh. While his former team, the New York Yankees, will be missing the postseason for the first time since 1993, Torre is headed to the playoffs for the 13th straight season as the first-year manager of the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Torre’s return to the postseason became official when the St. Louis Cardinals defeated the Arizona Diamondbacks, 12-3, on Thursday afternoon. That result enabled the Dodgers to clinch the National League West Division title - their first since 2004 - even before their game against the San Diego Padres on Thursday night.
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Los Angeles (83-75) was under .500 as late as September 2 (69-70) before getting hot and likely will have the worst record of the eight playoff participants.
NTNgod
Posted: September 25, 2008 at 06:57 PM | 52 comment(s)
Related News: General, Arizona, LA Dodgers
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Heh.
Andy LaRoche is looking, as of right now, to be precisely the sort of talented-but-unmotivated bust that some within the organization predicted he would be. Manny will either move somewhere else in the offseason or become L.A.'s headcase problem if they sign him, but he's been a ridiculously fantastic acquisition given that he came for free. Kuroda is an offseason gain that turns out to have been quite smart, and against all expectations Joe "Veteran" Torre played TEH KIDZ just because, well, they were better.
Maybe he got lucky. Hell, let's be honest: he got lucky. But we are fans of a sport that is ultimately a results-based industry, and Colletti got the results that Josh Byrnes, with his smart acquisitions of Haren, Dunn, and Rauch, did not get. It's gotta count for something in the end.
Ramirez for the Dodgers: .398/.491/.757
LaRoche for the Pirates: .153/.224/.240
Without that trade, the Dodgers sit at home this October.
Also, part of the reason you want young pre-arb players is money and Manny has made the Dodgers a lot of money.
Actually, Dewitt will likely be the starting second baseman next year, with Kent retiring. The Dodgers will yet again have a hole at third base, unless they resign Casey Blake.
Yes, you need to have no brain to make that move.
What's not to like?
Seriously, scare, you would've done what?
The Dodgers now MUST re-sign Manny AT LEAST. I give this a 40% chance of happening (which is maybe optimistic).
Druw was a very bad move, one I opposed at the time. The Dodgers' ultimate problem is they're jettisoning talent faster than they can promote it to the big club. Manny introduced a hole at 3rd they will have to fill in 2009 (Blake is going back to Cleveland in 2009 almost certainly).
Whether we think it or not, it certainly could happen. They've been on a roll in September, and some of the recent pennant and WS winners haven't been the likeliest candidates, that's for sure.
It's really easy to end up looking stupid if you claim to know what's going to happen in the playoffs.
There's an argument to be made for holding onto LaRoche, too: it says that they need him next year, with Kent's retirement and a hole at third base. It says that he's a cheap, probably good bat for that position. In my opinion, that's not something worth holding onto at a short-term loss, since it's easily replaced, especially for a team with money (and whether or not the Dodgers are in, for a team in their market, with their payroll, financial trouble is irrelevant to that assessment--their payroll is over $90 million, so an average hitter for third or second base is something they can easily get).
Now, trading any prospect better than LaRoche would have been a bad move.
Steve Phillips, is that you?
Or they could keep DeWitt at third, and acquire a FA second baseman. Most second basemen don't seem to command big bucks on the FA market.
That's a raw line from mostly high-altitude cities. But I didn't say I'd cut him or trade him for Turk Wendell. I said he's not worth keeping instead of trading for Manny Ramirez as the only thing going the other way.
I referred to that possibility in the penultimate sentence of my post, NTN. I should have made it clearer, though.
we already had that with the pierre and jones deals. and, again, i'll admit it scares me to think what might happen in the off season.
but the ramirez deal worked.
Just two home games in the playoffs is worth at least 10 million to their franchise, probably a good deal more.
And finally, the Dodgers RIGHT NOW, are just as good as any other NL team. Since August 1, they lead the National League in OPS with an .801 mark. (Cubs are second with a .796 mark and Mets are 3rd with a .784 OPS since August 1.
On the pitching side of the ledger, since August 1 they are second with a team ERA of 3.67, behind only Milwaukee's 3.47 and ahead of 3rd ranked Philly with a 3.72 Team ERA.
Any talk of sample size or regression is moot. This is not the same roster and lineup construction as the team they were fielding before August 1, and the pitching has been good all year. Dodgers are just as big a threat to get to the W.S. as any other team. They also have some kind of weird Manny Mojo going on that is hard to describe, but it's there, and it gives them CONFIDENCE, which is a concept that is much maligned perhaps, but still important.
but laroche is not those guys. don't mean to harp on him, i have no idea about the upside of the other players in the deal.
and what shoewizard said. they will have revenue and other resources to draw on to make up for whatever they gave away to get a division title.
and if ned manages to blow it next year, i'll be as upset as anybody else. but he earned the little honeymoon he'll get now for what he did over the last couple of months.
I've seen a lot of the Pirates games lately (vs. the Cubs and Brewers), and, man, Mordecai Brown could count on his pitching hand how many times I've seen that person hit the ball on the screws. His swing looks pretty bad.
Do you think the Pirates will catch on eventually?
Am I mistaken about that?
Whee. So, a one-year, one-time shot at the postseason. And what do they do next year when both Casey Blake and Manny are in, respectively, Cleveland and Mets uniforms?
I recall 1984, , the Tigers won 104 games, and their opponents the KC Royals were a bearely-above avg club, but they and the media kept saying that "since May 22" or some such date, the Royals record was actually BETTER, as if that made them the favorites or something.
Hisotry has taught me not to put a lot of stock in recent performance. Yes, the Dodgers are better now than a 85-win club. I sure don't expect them to beat the Cubs tho, nor even the Phillies.
Use the draft picks from Manny, and Blake to restock the farm system. Blake might end as a type A player, even: he was the highest ranked type B after 2007, and his points total would have barely have gotten him ranked a type A in the NL.
Either sign a stop gap like Crede, or trade some prospects, the loss of which should be covered by the draft picks from Manny and Blake, for Adrian Beltre.
You forgot to add use the playoff revenue money to sign Adrian Beltre. ;)
This is a good point. I don't think I can stomach FOX--even muted--if the WS is Dodgers/Red Sox.
I'm just going to pretend this isn't a possibility. Do dee do dee do. All is well. All is happy...
I have a colleague, huge Maddux backer, who has been drooling all year at the prospect of Mad Dog passing Clemens in career wins. If Greg is hurt, he won't get it in 08. But I wonder if somehow he got 'bumped' a day or two just so he didn't have to try to get his last win against Peavy? :)
Reports state that he was simply bumped, and will start Saturday instead. I can't find a very specific reason for this, so your theory might be correct.
I don't get your point either.
So LaRoche stands to get better. Sure. He can hardly get worse. So what? Having a shitty player who might get better later wouldn't help the Dodgers this year.
Suddenly a top prospect with a .400 OBP in the upper regions of the minors becomes a shitty player when he plays his rookie season with a torn thumb ligament?
Dunno.
But I do know the D-Backs are not.
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