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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Thursday, February 04, 2010
Here’s a guarantee: Several times within the next month, you will consume a news story—not even counting this blog post—asserting that a particular baseball player is Reporting to Spring Training in the Best Shape of His Life. Chances are, you will read several of these stories, because they are a rite of the baseball calendar, and because certain players do bust their butts during the offseason. When they reemerge into the public eye, ready for workouts, everybody notices the difference.
The invention of spring training stories about fitness coincided, best as I can tell, with the invention of February itself. Not that the accounts have always been positive. A 1932 story in the Post about aging “big moundsman” Fred Marberry included several quotes from team president Clark Griffith, who said, “[H]e is getting older, and takes on fat over his shoulders and around his stomach, and has trouble not only getting it off but keeping it off. Why, he gains a few pounds when he has two or three off-days. And this excess fat also prevents him from getting all of his stuff on the ball.”
The Best Shape of His Life article is in the best shape of its life.
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It's less of a story when it's about Francoeur, or other players whose performances are not effected by being in better or worse shape.
?
that seems to be happening to me. that, and more hair.
P.S.: Commenters are also working on a new pitch.
So's your mom.
Interesting. How much of the effect is regression to the mean? A player making a big deal about being in shape is likely to be coming off a down year, which itself is likely to be at least part random variation downwards.
Nitpick, but that wouldn't be "regression to the mean" effect.
I have a new treatment for my chronic blisters, so I should be able to go 200 innings...
Issues from last year involving my divorce/sick child/cultural adjustment/contract situation/incarcerated parent have been resolved, so with no distractions I will be focused on winning this year...
I have sweet new fake fingernails so my knuckleball is moving the best it has in the last dozen years...
of course if their is any correlation/overlap between those actually in the best shapes of their lives, and those reputed to be in the best shapes of their lives... it's likely too small to be useful
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