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Thursday, October 02, 2008

The Possibly-Temporary Postseason Day Two Game Chatter

Since the Game Chatter does NOT have today’s games up yet, I figured I’d submit a catch-all discussion thread which, if I’m lucky, someone will sticky until Game Chatter shows up.

Gamingboy Posted: October 02, 2008 at 05:37 PM | 865 comment(s) | Login to Bookmark
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   601. frannyzoo Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:20 AM (#2965662)
Palin didn't have Kang's baby? I really should watch these things. Meanwhile, no reports of jumpers from the bleachers splatting onto Waveland? No one putting on an "I am Steve Bartman" t-shirt and handing out sharp knives to others in the stands?
   602. isaacc7 Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:22 AM (#2965665)
Z has to keep his #### together if the cubs are going to have any chance at all.
   603. Justin T contains indigenous nudity Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:23 AM (#2965669)
I know that Harden and Lilly can win in LA, but I’m not sure if either of them can win in an elimination game.

Is Carl Spongberg a pseudonym for Steve Phillips or Buster Olney?
   604. nick swisher hygiene Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:23 AM (#2965670)
Bills can get wild occasionally but if I were a Cub fan his second inning would have me shitting bricks--
   605. bunyon Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:23 AM (#2965671)
If the Cubs win tonight they'll win the world series.
   606. Gamingboy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:24 AM (#2965672)
I thought for a second there the middle infielders would watch the ball fall between them.
   607. Sebastian Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:24 AM (#2965673)
?
   608. Walks Clog Up the Bases Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:25 AM (#2965674)
So what's the fallout if the Cubs get the first-round boot again? This looked like such a sharp team all year that it's tough to see what can be changed.

Dick Stockton's an idiot. I know that goes without saying, but the Cubs basically set that bases-clearing double up for them.
   609. isaacc7 Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:26 AM (#2965676)
We need baserunners/runs!!!!
   610. bunyon Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:27 AM (#2965677)
Yeah, he's won the debate easily, but she's done a much better job than my dear colleagues had led me to think she would.
   611. Walks Clog Up the Bases Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:27 AM (#2965678)
Ok, the Cubs team of 2008 are aware that they need to chip away at this lead and not go for it all at once. Unfortunately, the bats have looked incapable of scoring one run.
   612. Justin T contains indigenous nudity Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:27 AM (#2965679)
No offense Carl. I just don't see how either Lilly or Harden could have some physical or mental impairment preventing them from being able to win an elimination game. It sounded like an ESPN talking head thing to say.
   613. Greg Maddux School of Reflexive Profanity Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:27 AM (#2965680)
Zambrano keys the rally that gets them back in the game.
   614. The Curly W Theory Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:27 AM (#2965681)
Z seems to be keeping it together, but this is already feeling like slow-motion death.
   615. Gamingboy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:29 AM (#2965683)
Palin looks like she is reading from a fast-moving teleprompter.
   616. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:30 AM (#2965685)
I hate Fukudome.
   617. isaacc7 Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:30 AM (#2965686)
Boos for Dome.. can't say as I blame them
   618. Gamingboy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:31 AM (#2965687)
(Fukudome strikes out like a Softball player)

In the land of the dollar biiiiiiiiiiiiiilllllllllllll
   619. Biscuit_pants Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:31 AM (#2965689)
So what's the fallout if the Cubs get the first-round boot again?
Now is not a good time to think about this for me, I would blow the team up. Not very happy right now
   620. The Curly W Theory Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:31 AM (#2965690)
Seriously, can WGN get rid of the damned "THIS IS THE YEAR" bite from Santo? I'm ready to throw my ####### radio into my neighbor's yard.
   621. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:32 AM (#2965691)
Hard as hell to blow up a team that has multi year contracts
   622. isaacc7 Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:32 AM (#2965692)
Guys, there are VP debates every four years like clockwork, this is the cubs in the playoffs!!! Where are your priorities?
   623. Esoteric Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:32 AM (#2965693)
Please, please PLEASE FOR THE LOVE OF ####### GOD PLEASE keep the debate chatter OUT OF THIS THREAD. We have the political threads for that. I am purposely not watching the debate and watching the game instead because I want to avoid political hackery (and especially BTF political hackery) for one friggin' night.

I can't force anyone to do anything. I'm just begging you: please, take it to the thread already designated for that crap.
   624. Kazmir Effect Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:32 AM (#2965695)
I love how both last year and this year, everyone (me included) has been so worried about Z in the playoffs, and he's looked composed and sharp. Maybe we should start worrying about all the other ####### losers.
   625. isaacc7 Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:33 AM (#2965696)
Z starting the ralley
   626. Biscuit_pants Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:33 AM (#2965697)
Hard as hell to blow up a team that has multi year contracts
And I am sure in about a week I will see things different. Not today.
   627. Gamingboy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:33 AM (#2965699)
You know what Esoteric, you are right. We've lost our freaking minds.
   628. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:34 AM (#2965700)
Zambrano should steal second and then afterwards rip it out of the ground and throw it towards the dugout.
   629. Sebastian Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:34 AM (#2965701)
No offense Carl.

Some taken. You don’t agree then, that there is a lot of pressure on this team? That the Cubs, in the face of a futile century, have a steeper hill to climb than any other team? That they seem to unravel under pressure tonight and not even Zambrano, who I have referred to as the most awesome man alive in more than one Game Chatter, is able to stop it?

Well, that’s your prerogative, I guess. Mine is to not like you based on a throwaway comment you made. Consider yourself disliked. For the record: Pitcher wins are a team achievement. This team, right now, does not achieve. ’63 Koufax might have a hard time winning an elimination game on the road.
   630. frannyzoo Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:35 AM (#2965702)
I'm sorry, but it's 5-0. And I'm trying to be nice and avoid the vicious "boo-yah!" slams on the Cubs by bringing up Palin. Yes...Palin is code for "boo-yah!"
   631. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:36 AM (#2965703)
I hate Soriano
   632. bunyon Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:36 AM (#2965704)
Yeah, I feel bad about it - seriously. I'm off to bed, but kevin, the Palin baseball card thread has some debate chatter.

I was up at 430 this morning and have to be up around that time tomorrow. Maybe if the game were close I'd stay up.


By the way, why the hell is the game on so late in Chicago? Weird. (I mean, I know it's TV).
   633. Biscuit_pants Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:36 AM (#2965705)
Zambrano should steal second and then afterwards rip it out of the ground and throw it towards the dugout.
throwing it after taking a bite out of it and spitting the bite out at the Cubs dugout.
   634. isaacc7 Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:36 AM (#2965706)
SIGH
   635. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:37 AM (#2965707)
Well, I guess the Cubs losing this game helps make up for the email I got today saying I did now win the Cubs LCS ticket lottery.
   636. Esoteric Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:38 AM (#2965709)
McCoy -

It's looking like nobody won the Cubs LCS ticket lottery.
   637. Gamingboy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:38 AM (#2965710)
When the Town of Chicago Diiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiieeeeeeeeeeeeeeed
AND THEY TALK ABOUT IT STILL!


SO LONG FOLKS
   638. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:38 AM (#2965711)

By the way, why the hell is the game on so late in Chicago? Weird. (I mean, I know it's TV).


Its the A game and putting the game on at 9:30 puts the game in prime time on the west coast and put it on at 8:30 in the midwest.
   639. KyleJRM Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:39 AM (#2965712)
Outscored 49-14 in their last 7 1/2 playoff games. About to be 8 losses, all by multiple runs, 7 by 3 or more.

Nothing to see here, move along, move along.
   640. frannyzoo Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:40 AM (#2965713)
Part of my bile toward all this "Cubs deserve it" is the whole 100 years thing, but it's just as much this continued emphasis on a 3 of 5 series after a much more meaningful/important/statistically relevant 162-game season. I hate the playoffs, pure and simple.
   641. isaacc7 Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:40 AM (#2965714)
Dick Stockton is a tool. And he sucks. He is a sucking tool....
   642. nick swisher hygiene Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:41 AM (#2965715)
Vampire Weekend--who's the hipster intern?
   643. Greg Maddux School of Reflexive Profanity Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:41 AM (#2965716)
Nothing to see here, move along, move along.

Wish you would.
   644. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:41 AM (#2965717)
Hey, look an infielder that can actually catch a ball.
   645. The Curly W Theory Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:42 AM (#2965718)
I am already contmplating how ugly Lou's post-game press conference will be.
   646. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:42 AM (#2965719)
Vampire Weekend--who's the hipster intern?

More like bandwagoner. The hipster has already moved on.
   647. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:43 AM (#2965720)
Hey, look an infielder that can actually catch a ball.

never mind.
   648. Greg Maddux School of Reflexive Profanity Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:43 AM (#2965721)
Okay, let's get the outfield involved now.
   649. isaacc7 Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:43 AM (#2965722)
Hmmm, the nanny has let both "dick" and "sucking" through. I'll be sure to remember that... ####! Does the entire infield need to get in on the act?
   650. nick swisher hygiene Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:43 AM (#2965723)
ok, the condescending hipster intern.....
   651. Dan Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:43 AM (#2965724)
So now all the infielders have an error? Oh sorry, Theriot's error was ruled a hit.
   652. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:43 AM (#2965725)
Why oh why are they so fudgin tight?
   653. The Curly W Theory Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:44 AM (#2965726)
There. That completes the infield defense ####-up fest.
   654. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:45 AM (#2965727)
catcher and pitcher don't count?
   655. Kazmir Effect Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:45 AM (#2965728)
Why oh why are they so fudgin tight?


Are you serious? THEY ARE THE CUBS.
   656. KyleJRM Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:45 AM (#2965729)
"Wish you would."

Wish someone would answer my question about the statistical probability of this level of difference between regular season performance and five postseason games for a Cubs team of this ability.
   657. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:45 AM (#2965730)
So?
   658. Orange & Blue Velvet Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:46 AM (#2965731)
Is this game fixed?
   659. isaacc7 Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:46 AM (#2965732)
Z is doing his job, wish everyone else would too
   660. Biscuit_pants Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:47 AM (#2965733)
Are you serious? THEY ARE THE CUBS.
Holy #### your right they are the Cubs. Who the #### let this team in the playoffs, I mean they are the Cubs. What did they win this year 15, 20 games?
   661. nick swisher hygiene Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:47 AM (#2965734)
all four infielders made error=post season first?
   662. Justin T contains indigenous nudity Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:47 AM (#2965735)
Well, that’s your prerogative, I guess. Mine is to not like you based on a throwaway comment you made.

I think you saying Lilly or Harden could win in LA, but not an elimination game is the throwaway line. That makes no sense. It's stupid.

If that is your belief, then I don't see how you could have thought the Cubs had a real shot to win the WS, if they could only do it so long as everything went just right.
   663. Harris Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:47 AM (#2965736)
saw the first couple innings of cubs game..then the wife hijacked the tv to watch the debate which was dvr'd.

Comments:
Zambrano looked sharp, but fielders didn't. Think it was 5-0 when tv got hijacked (i had to pack for fishing trip, so I relinquished rights technically...)
So far in the debate, Palin looks bad. I want to like her I want to vote for McCain. I'm republican. Nothing said tonight by her is reinforcing my faith in the GOP.
   664. Greg Maddux School of Reflexive Profanity Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:47 AM (#2965737)
Wish someone would answer my question about the statistical probability of this level of difference between regular season performance and five postseason games for a Cubs team of this ability.

First, there is no "five postseason games for a Cubs team of this ability." There's one and change. Number two, instead of assigning other people homework, feel free to figure it out for yourself.
   665. The Curly W Theory Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:47 AM (#2965738)
Maybe Carlos shold start going all Michael Barrett on guys between innings.
   666. isaacc7 Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:48 AM (#2965740)
Did that Direct TV ad just have a disclaimer saying that it is just a scene from "Poltergeist" and not a real event? How stupid is this nation? And no VP debate jokes please
   667. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:48 AM (#2965741)
Mark DeRosa was a Ranger, Aramis Ramirez was a Pirate, Derrek Lee was a Marlin (and WS champion), Jim Edmonds was a Cardinal (and WS champ) Alfonso Soriano was a Yankee, Fukudome was, well he was something over there.

So yeah the laundry says Cubs but so what.
   668. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:50 AM (#2965742)
Lee only did that because there were no runners on.
   669. isaacc7 Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:50 AM (#2965743)
Alright DLEE starting the ralley
   670. KyleJRM Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:50 AM (#2965744)
"First, there is no "five postseason games for a Cubs team of this ability." There's one and change. Number two, instead of assigning other people homework, feel free to figure it out for yourself."

If you don't want to take the time to prove something that should be relatively simple, quit mocking people who bring it up.

Same front office picking the players, same 1, 3, 4 in lineup. All but one inning pitched by people last year's team. Same city, same ballpark. Same catcher, same second-baseman.

But nothing to see here, move along, move along, every team is a different iteration and there is no organizational effect. Ever. And anyone who brings it up is worthy of scorn.
   671. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:51 AM (#2965745)
Lee gone.
   672. isaacc7 Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:51 AM (#2965746)
Dlee breaking up the DP for once, hope he's OK, better him out there than the alternative...
   673. Sebastian Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:52 AM (#2965748)
That makes no sense. It's stupid.


If that is your belief, then I don't see how you could have thought the Cubs had a real shot to win the WS, if they could only do it so long as everything went just right.


That makes no sense. It's stupid.


Runs: 0
Hits: 2
Errors: 3
   674. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:52 AM (#2965749)
Ohmygod not the same 1.3.and 4! Wow that is like almost 90%!! Same ballpark? Holy crap!
   675. Harris Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:53 AM (#2965750)
sarah....please quit saying 'nuk-u-ler'.
it just further associates you with bush.
and that's not good.
   676. KyleJRM Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:54 AM (#2965751)
"Ohmygod not the same 1.3.and 4! Wow that is like almost 90%!! Same ballpark? Holy crap!"

Wow, it almost looks like nothing at all is the same when you chop it down to two of the many things I said.

Heaven forbid we question things when no one's attempted to bring any empirical evidence into the fray...
   677. KyleJRM Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:54 AM (#2965752)
All those years the Cubs led the league in strikeouts? Total fluke, because it was different years and sometimes the players were different. The organization had no effect.
   678. Kazmir Effect Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:55 AM (#2965753)
Holy #### your right they are the Cubs. Who the #### let this team in the playoffs, I mean they are the Cubs. What did they win this year 15, 20 games?


They are a fine team. They are also laboring under pressure and expectations and a sense of foreboding that no team in baseball has ever encountered before, with the possible exception of the Red Sox post-'86. The '04 Red Sox came up with a way to deal with that pressure, and still needed a fair amount of luck to win; the Cubs cannot deal with it. I generally don't subscribe to baseball pundit blather about "pressure" and "momentum" and crap like that--give me PECOTA projections, please, and hold the details about Jeter's calm eyes--but the case of the Cubs in the postseason is different: their performance on the field is clearly affected by the pressure, which exists at a level unprecedented in major league baseball.

Also, wrong "your," dude. Should be "you're."
   679. isaacc7 Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:56 AM (#2965754)
If you don't want to take the time to prove something that should be relatively simple, quit mocking people who bring it up.

Same front office picking the players, same 1, 3, 4 in lineup. All but one inning pitched by people last year's team. Same city, same ballpark. Same catcher, same second-baseman.

Correlation does not imply causation. You are the one that needs to come up with a theory that shows how those similarities lead to losing a best of 5 series for however many years you want to go back. If there is an "organizational effect, you need to figure out what it is and then test for it. Doesn't sound too simple to me. In fact, it sounds a little far fetched that the GM, coach, etc. (in other words, organizational effect) would have much difference playing and losing a best of 5 series. Sorry, but the onus is on you....
   680. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:56 AM (#2965755)
Wow, it almost looks like nothing at all is the same when you chop it down to two of the many things I said.

Heaven forbid we question things when no one's attempted to bring any empirical evidence into the fray...




Oh sorry. Ohmygod same city!!! Geezus christ they are clones!!! Same second basemen? Oh my god that is terrible. How dare they send out Mark DeRosa. Same catcher? Ohmyg. . .wait what? Soto was the Cubs catcher last year? How did he do in June?

Rich Harden was on the team last year? Marmol should be gone?
   681. Harris Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:57 AM (#2965757)
you cubs fans sure get uber-snarky when your team is losing.
   682. isaacc7 Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:57 AM (#2965758)
Ugh, I came back from Yemen for this?
   683. tl; dr (Voxter) Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:57 AM (#2965759)
That was far.

This series has been surprisingly anticlimactic so far.
   684. Tuque Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:58 AM (#2965760)
Huzzahs for Manny!
   685. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:59 AM (#2965761)
you cubs fans sure get uber-snarky when your team is losing.

You non cubs fans sure come out in droves when the Cubs are losing.
   686. isaacc7 Posted: October 03, 2008 at 01:59 AM (#2965762)
Nah, we get snarky when someone implies that the losing is because it is the cubs. This is a different team, this is a different loss. I don't see much similarity between this year and the last except perhaps the result, says nothing about the reasons.
   687. KyleJRM Posted: October 03, 2008 at 02:00 AM (#2965763)
So you think it is within the sabermetric spirit to mock and dismiss any possibility of an effect without doing the slightest bit of empirical research?

49-14.

These aren't some flukey one-run losses. These are unholy beatings by a team that was easily superior to two straight opponents. It's worth consdiering, is that so hard to admit?
   688. Biscuit_pants Posted: October 03, 2008 at 02:00 AM (#2965764)
Also, wrong "your," dude. Should be "you're."
Yep, I saw it but was too pissed to care to go back and change it.
   689. isaacc7 Posted: October 03, 2008 at 02:02 AM (#2965766)
Rameriez had that razzing coming to him
   690. KyleJRM Posted: October 03, 2008 at 02:02 AM (#2965767)
"Nah, we get snarky when someone implies that the losing is because it is the cubs. This is a different team, this is a different loss. I don't see much similarity between this year and the last except perhaps the result, says nothing about the reasons."

9-21.

Eight straight losses at a run differential of -36 and counting.

But we can't possibly consider even the faintest possibility of an organizational effect, because that's heresy.

You know how clutchiness went away? People studied it. You know how we learned about BABIP effects? People studied it.

But heaven forbid anyone consider the possibility of an organizational effect.
   691. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 02:02 AM (#2965768)
So who are the two opponents?
   692. Harris Posted: October 03, 2008 at 02:03 AM (#2965770)
The Pittsburgh Pirates are a pretty good example of organizational effect.
   693. Sebastian Posted: October 03, 2008 at 02:04 AM (#2965772)
Cubs Game Chatters were one of maybe three that were always frequented. And yeah, the chatterers were gloomy all year. But it served a purpose, because this team knows (knew? who knows) how to stage a comeback and by starting out surly we got so much more from that. It’s a shame that the Chimp had to enter rehab or go on vacation today.
   694. McCoy Posted: October 03, 2008 at 02:04 AM (#2965773)
So the organization goes out and finds players that do what? Choke in the playoffs?

DLee is a choker now? Jim Edmonds is a choker?

This Cubs team is made up of veterans that have played for other clubs.
   695. The Curly W Theory Posted: October 03, 2008 at 02:05 AM (#2965774)
This may be my fault. I convinced my wife to let us buy a new $1600 TV to watch the NLCS and WS this year (I don't have sat. right now). I'm never going to be able to look at that TV the same way.
   696. isaacc7 Posted: October 03, 2008 at 02:05 AM (#2965776)
So you think it is within the sabermetric spirit to mock and dismiss any possibility of an effect without doing the slightest bit of empirical research?

OK, so what is the effect? That's what we're mocking. You haven't done anything except point out the losses. We all knew that. You keep insisting that there might be an "organizational: effect and I'm asking you what that could be. You can't point to the losses and insist that "something" is causing it without telling us what that something is if you want us get into the sabermetric spirit. You gotta have something to look for son, that's how real statistics is done.
   697. Biscuit_pants Posted: October 03, 2008 at 02:06 AM (#2965777)
So you think it is within the sabermetric spirit to mock and dismiss any possibility of an effect without doing the slightest bit of empirical research?
Honestly what kind of research needs to be done, "well in the regular season a lump of coal shoved up the Cubs infielders ass turns into a diamond 4 hours slower than in the playoffs, I guess they ARE tight."
   698. Vaux, A.B.D. Posted: October 03, 2008 at 02:06 AM (#2965778)
The Cubs are playing so badly that Charlie Steiner just called them the Giants.
   699. KyleJRM Posted: October 03, 2008 at 02:06 AM (#2965779)
I don't know what might be causing the potential effect. No clue.

That's not the point. The point is we should be asking ourselves if we are seeing something happen that is beyond the realm of normal statistical variance.

Once we empirically decide if it is or isn't, then we can start trying to nail down effects or dismissing all possibility of them.
   700. Harris Posted: October 03, 2008 at 02:07 AM (#2965780)
This one game chatter for three games is kinda cool.
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