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That's a big complication.
I wonder though, who were the players most often pitched to after someone else received an intentional walk?
This kind of subjective assertion isn't subject to a Rob Neyer-style "Tracer," where one can spot something specific in the statistical record or in a boxscore and proclaim, "Aha, that's bunk!" Instead, if one is unfamiliar with how Rice was regarded at the time, it seems necessary to call upon the opinions of people who observed him at the time to confirm or refute that claim of his stature, or else to note that most-feared-hitter is a nice title to hold but ultimately not outcome-determinative for Rice's HoF candidacy (or shouldn't be).
These aren't the same thing. I don't think that Jim Rice was ever regarded as "the dominant hitter in baseball" outside of 1978. That's not exactly what people meant when they talked about Rice being "feared".
I'll answer this question with another;
Who did the Giants put behind Bonds most often this decade?
Victor Conte with an injection?
I know that Rice's homer total against Milwaukee was one of his lower totals in over 700 plate appearances. And while his rate stats against the Brewers look solid I am confident the bulk of that performance was done before 1980. I can remember too many times Jimmy killing a Red Sox inning against the Crew in 1982, etc.
It was George Brett who got walked in the bottom of the 9th with nobody on base in the AL during the 80's. Not Jim Rice.
BTW, I used to think the same about Harmon Killerbrew as a kid
Take Milwaukee, since Harvey raised it. I can understand if Brewers pitchers didn't fear them in the 1980's, but if they didn't fear him in the 1970's, they should as hell should have. That's From 1977 to 1979, the three years prior to Harvey's comment, Rice's batting average was .428 against the Brewers. I'm guessing they weren't thrilled when he was coming to the plate.
From 1975 through 1979, again removing 8th place hitters, Rice was 42nd in IBB.
But managers thought about walking him far more often than that.
We know this, and know that it's important, because Dan Shaughnessy told us so.
And while his rate stats against the Brewers look solid I am confident the bulk of that performance was done before 1980.
Thanks for the added validation. Rice was impressive before 1980.
And then he wasn't.
The more the Rice advocates write and speak the more foolish they appear. It's becoming somewhat laughable.
Personally, I think Rice is the last gasp for the "But he was" this crowd. Because going forward too many fans AND writers will have a background in how to better assess a player's value. Rice's campaign is predicated purely on legend.
Facts have a nasty habit of exposing legends to being mortal.
Personally, I think Rice is the last gasp for the "But he was" this crowd. Because going forward too many fans AND writers will have a background in how to better assess a player's value. Rice's campaign is predicated purely on legend.
Facts have a nasty habit of exposing legends to being mortal.
Bingo.
What bugs me is the same writers complaining about all of the juiced HRs since the 1990s still look at the stats from the 1970s and 1980s, and don't have a clue as to who are the "best players".
The writers seemt to get the "slam dunk" cases like Mike Schmidt, Joe Morgan, etc, but not the guys who were the best at their positions, best in the league, etc, but didn't manage to get 3000 hits, 500 HRs, 300 wins etc. The HOF shouldn't be just about "round numbers". It didn't use to be that way (Jim Palmer got in, deservedly so). I've heard writers/announcers argue whether "if Pedro Martinez retired today, I don't think he'd be an HOFer".
Why do voters seem to prefer the Don Sutton, 20-ish very good years, to a Pedro who puts up nearly a decade of historically great years (plus some very good years, but not 20)...
Rice's greatness isn't at the "historic" level, but he was certainly one of the best from 1975-86. When I go to Cooperstown, I'd like to see the best players from my childhood inducted:
Jim Rice
Alan Trammell
Rich Gossage
Tim Raines
Orel Hershiser
plus some guys who aren't on the ballot:
Luis Tiant
Ron Santo
Would it be so awful to enshrine great players who didn't get those nice "round numbers"? In a way, I'm happy Palmiero got caught. He achieved those "round numbers", but no one ever considered him one of the "best in the game" (especially if you look at MVP voting, AS games etc).
I disagree that they do. Sutton went in, but not until after he sat on the ballot for a number of years, with people debating whether his 300 wins was enough to earn his ticket considering he wasn't what people consider great. Pedro, I suspect, will go in first ballot with or without getting to any career win milestones, but of course it's too early to say.
The argument of the anti-Rice voters is not about his failure to reach certain round numbers, but that we disagree he was one of the very best of that time period. Personally I prefer Andre Dawson and Dwight Evans. For the all-around game, not for any specific numbers.
Agreed. Yet people in this thread still point to Rice's number of IBB from 1975 to 1979 as if it has any meaning at all. Rice batted before a hall of famer - you don't think that's going to influence IBB?
Almost all of us can agree that Rice is overrated by the main stream media, but the efforts of people to argue that he wasn't feared in the late 1970's is just absurd in my view.
It is absurd. A more logical tactic would be to say "so what"? I'd rather honor the players who did the most to help their teams win than those who were the most feared.
I'm sure nobody was ever afraid of Ozzie Smith, but again, so what?
Walks do not equal fear. Reggie Willets walks more often than Vladimir Guerrero. It has nothing to do with the level of fear, or respect. Its just an approach at the plate.
It is absurd. A more logical tactic would be to say "so what"? I'd rather honor the players who did the most to help their teams win than those who were the most feared.
This is fair. I think Rice was a hell of a player who did a lot to help his team win - but for only a short period of time (1977-1979), and there are a lot of players who are pretty damn good for three years. Fear is related to quality as a hitter, which is why people bring it up, but once again, Rice was only worthy of that fear for a little while.
Jim Rice was by far the most feared hitter at the time and remained so for many years much more than Reggie Jackson or George Brett
Schmidt had a bad 1978 and hit for a low average so it took a while for him to gain respect
Rice didn't strike out that much and looked rather explosive at the plate
Being a black man with a moustache made him even more scary
Dave Parker had a similar persona in the NL
Parker was awesomely scary, for FBI's reasons plus he was monster-sized for that period.
Why the hell do you assume this? Sutton took 5 ballots to get elected. Koufax went in first time. Dizzy Dean took 10 ballots, but was elected the first time he would have been eligible under today's rules (he last pitched in 1947, got elected in 1953). Catfish Hunter, who didn't have anything like a decade of historically great years but was nonetheless a peak candidate, got in in three.
Pedro will get in first try, with over 90% support.
Can't think of any player that is worthy of fear that struggled to have a career high on the order of 60 walks. Pitchers, coaches, opposing managers apparently didn't share the fear.
I don't believe you. Any writers/announcers who think that do not have the power of speech.
Why do voters seem to prefer the Don Sutton, 20-ish very good years, to a Pedro who puts up nearly a decade of historically great years (plus some very good years, but not 20)...
They do not. See 22 and 30. Martinez will make it easily.
In my memory, Jim Rice hit the longest HR I ever saw. Yankee Stadium, 1984, I still say it went over the white facade in left field. They say no ball has been hit out of the Stadium, and I think a ball over that wall has to be out of the stadium. I guess a ball hit that far would also be at least 550 feet. Well, that's what I saw, what can I tell you.
I don't know if he deserves the HOF. Maybe not, but I won't be upset if he makes it.
Victor Conte with an injection?
In the Billiard Room?
Victor Conte with an injection?
In the Billiard Room?
With a double-headed Louisville Slugger?
It's how I feel about Dale Murphy and Dave Concepcion. I saw both and they're both borderline (and I tend to vote "No" on borderline cases).
I know Concepcion's numbers look pretty weak today, but at the time, he was one helluvan (heh) amazing player. His hitting was considered exceptional at the time.
He's definitely one of those players who garner a 'yes' on the Keltner List question about whether he was better than his (traditional) numbers might suggest. From 1973-82 he was 177 RCAP ... that's a terrific ten year run. A league average bat from a superb fielding shortstop for a full decade was exceptional back then.
Best Regards
John
I always thought that Jack Clark, 1987, ranked very high on fear. His IBB total for the year was a mere 13, but the "UIBB" or "pitch around him" instances were extremely high. In particular, I remember the walks going up sharply after the all-star break. (OK, that's checkable. BB by month: April 13, May 23, June 26, July 41 (!), August 27, Sept. mostly hurt.) Clark was, of course, the only power threat of any kind in that lineup, and he was batting with lots of RISP and lots of open bases (thanks to SB). They were walking him to get to Willie McGee, who was hitting about like McGee usually hit. And McGee got 105 RBI from all of those opportunities.
Some of those guys were indeed having bad years. But, dude: Dietz was freaking phenomenal in 1970, with an OPS+ of 152, and Henderson's that year was 129, which is more than "pretty good." And Henderson and Dietz were the #5 hitters in 137 games in 1970.
Jeff Kent. Followed by Ray Durham, Benito Santiago, Edgardo Alfonzo, and Pedro Feliz.
-- MWE
It turns out that both Dietz and Henderson drew a ton of walks themselves, which would have passed some of the resulting RBI opportunities down to guys like Fuentes and Lanier who didn't do much with them. The team led the league in BB and in runs scored. (First in runs scored, last in runs allowed, and 16 games behind an early version of the Big Red Machine that didn't have a good 2B.)
-- MWE
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