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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Monday, November 09, 2009
Hardy: Boy, game plan for disaster?
The obvious and most probable outcome is that both groups are right. Hardy’s speed likely inhibits his range in the field, which is partially made up for by great positioning and an ability to consistently and reliably make outs in situations where he’s expected to make them. Is his positioning so great that it allows him to challenge for the most plays made outside his zone every year? Probably not.
I expect that when we finally get to see Hardy play everyday next summer, we will be a little surprised at how he moves. But that’s where the numbers come in. He’s obviously making a ton of plays, more than a vast majority of shortstops in baseball, and he’s earned his reputation (on paper and on grass) as one of the best defensive infielders in the game today.
Any questions we might have will (obviously) get answers once we actually watch him play. Until then I’m content knowing that we did get a very good defensive shortstop in return for Carlos Gomez.
Ultimately it doesn’t matter how you get the out as long as you get it. It’s just like picking up the win—just get it. And that’s something J.J. Hardy is apparently very, very good at. Both sides agree on that.
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Fixed.
Is Hardy going to be as good in the future as he was in '07-'08? I would guess probably not. Is Escobar a better defensive shortstop? Probably. Is Mike Cameron over the hill? Sure.
But Brewers fans are way too focused on dumping Hardy after his bad year -- and with Escobar in the wings and J.J. facing arbitration, I agree. J.J. Hardy is beside the point, though. We just replaced Mike Cameron with Carlos Gomez. And I can't see any possible positive outcome to that.
Brewers offensive innings will end more quickly, so fans can get home earlier.
Gomez is charming. He's actually fun to watch. He's also quite a ways from his 35th birthday, or whatever Mike C is coming up on. And when you pair him with $10m worth of starting pitcher and compare that with Cameron, he'll look really good.
OK, mostly the last one. But that's pretty good.
You can probably get him for $8M, but, yeah that's about right.
Anyway, the worrisome thing about the Hardy/Cameron to Escobar/Gomez move is that Hardy & Cameron were great defenders. Usually when a team replaces hitters with non-hitters, the non-hitters are better defenders so the downgrade is not as large as it first would appear. However, Escobar and Gomez are going to have to be exceptionally good to even match the defense of Cameron and Hardy, much less exceed it by enough to make up for the massive offensive downgrade.
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