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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Friday, February 05, 2010
TYU: Trade You’ll Ululate?
There may however, be a third option. Since Jesus is only 20 years old, it gives us some wiggle room in his case. The consensus among scouts is that even if he can catch initially, he will have to move out of the position eventually. If Montero can play the position well enough while he’s still young and has some youthful athleticism (into his mid 20’s) then he can serve as a placeholder for one of our other catching options like Austin Romine, Gary Sanchez, Kyle Higashioka, JR Murphy or a number of free agent options. The fact that the Yanks keep drafting Catchers despite having a system stocked at the position might be a window into what they internally think about Montero’s future at the position. They may envision a scenario where he spends his early years at Catcher/DH and moves over to 1B when Tex’s contract expires down the road. Sounds like a long way off, and it is, but in 2016 Jesus will still only be 27 years old.
In discussing this with Mike Axisa from RAB last night, he noted that these things tend to work themselves out, and I would agree with that. But don’t dismiss the notion that Jesus could be dangled for a stud pitcher or positional need. Brian Cashman has already offered him once, for a 32 year old making 16 mil. A young stud earning less would make even more sense. Again, if he can’t stick at Catcher then he’s more valuable to someone who can play him at First Base than he is to us if he’s a only DH. And most scouts think that’s all he’ll ever be for the Yankees.
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Having said that, I'd hope they can keep him, or at least get a long enough look to see what he's really got.
Halladay, I guess.
But what in the world would they trade him for? Depending on how they shake out the playing time, either LF or CF is their only hole, and if they're able to re-sign Damon on the cheap, they have virtually no holes. I guess they could use a more predictable #5 starter, though, if they decide to move Joba to the bullpen. But considering Montero is 20, a monster prospect and a catcher, they may as well keep him and see how he develops. Besides, the Yankees have to start getting younger sometime. But I've been saying that for years.
What you mean "us", blog-boy?
One of the more hilarious things these people will do is wear the hats of the teams for which they root. So pathetic. They're mindless followers. I taught fifth graders. When one of them came in with a Yankees shirt or hat (and you'd be surprised how often this happens), I would make the whole class laugh at them. "You're not on the team, buddy!" I'd say, and then the kids would laugh loudly. We'd point at the offending sheep until he learned his lesson: Don't associate with the team you root for!
It's a minor point, but I don't know why it would be too hard to use the third person pronouns for a post like this (that seems to at least aspire to be somewhat analytical) while still reserving the right to lapse into first person when you're just blogging about how awesome 'we' are.
You take Montero, add in Gardner (instead of Melky) and Arodys Vizcaino, and one more live arm, and they could beat the package Phillies gave up.
They've gotten younger with almost all of their recent moves.
Yes, specifically replacing 2 36 year-olds (Damon, Matsui) with 29 and 30 year olds (Granderson and Johnson).
As to this point:
I think that is a bit harsh. Steve is not really writing as a member of the organization, he is writing as a fan who identifies with the organization. And as to the "painfully clear that you have no freaking clue," I'm not sure what you are getting at there. True, he does not actually have insider information. But if you accept the premise that they offered Montero for Halladay, I think it is perfectly reasonable to say that if he cannot catch and is limited to DH or 1B, he would have more value to a team that can play him at 1st. Now, I have doubts as to whether they could actually translate that gap in value into a trade that brings in fair value for Montero, which is why I disagreed with Steve in the comments to that post. But I think the notion is far from ridiculous, and could eventually be considered by the Yankees.
//end speaking for Steve
I'm not so certain. Unwillingness to include him as part of a larger package for Halladay does not necessarily mean that they will not trade him. Heyman has said they offered him straight up for Halladay, and I would suggest that if the right young star came onto the market, they might consider including him in a package if they have internally concluded, as John Manuel claimed recently, that he is not an everyday catcher.
Who's going to be available that's better than Roy Halladay?
I thought it was pretty gentle, actually. He's not writing as a member of the organization, but he's speaking as a member of the organization would. Hence the disconnect. Hence the grating of "we" and "us" to my ear. That was my whole point, and like I said, it's a minor one.
IOW, he's speculating. Which is fine, of course. But again, "we" and "us" doesn't really work when speculating about what "they" might do.
No one, but I think you might agree that there are players who have more long term value than Halladay, who is 32. Someone younger, with more years of control, might be more enticing to the Yankees. Just by way of example, if Josh Johnson had become available, I think a package for him might have matched or exceeded the Halladay package.
That's a fair point.
Really!?
Given Halladay's modest salary demands, consistency and durability, I wouldn't give anywhere close to the package for Johnson that I would for Halladay. Pitcher aging does not follow the same curve as hitters; 32 is not old when you're looking at the next 4 years or so (which is all they'd control a guy like Johnson for).
I'm not saying that's what I would do, just what I think would happen. The package for Dan Haren was pretty expensive, as was the one for Beckett, if I remember correctly. Teams generally pay a premium to control a younger pitcher. I personally agree that Halladay would be a better bet than Johnson going forward.
It's a good start, but kind of a shame that you stopped there.
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