For the most part, it looks like a two horse race. If the White Sox win the Central, Quentin’s 40+ homers and 120+ RBIs will be enough. If the Twins somehow continue to rake with runners in scoring position and make the playoffs, Morneau should win his second MVP.
There are a few other possible scenarios, none of which seem particularly likely. If the Tigers wake up from their 4.5 month slumber and make a run into October, Miguel Cabrera may have the numbers and late support to win it. Youkilis is a possibility, although it’s hard to imagine him hitting much better than he currently is, and he may not have the national name recognition anyway.
Hamilton has finally fallen off his 170-RBI pace, and that’s hurt his chances. If the Rangers were to make the playoffs, he’d be the obvious choice (at 124.9), but that’s not going to happen. Not being on a playoff team is almost impossible to overcome for a guy whose candidacy relies on RBIs; if his line was more HR-heavy, like A-Rod in ‘03, he’d be right in the mix.
Speaking of Rodriguez, he could theoretically still sneak into the race; the Yankees would obviously have to make the playoffs, and he’d probably need at least a couple walk-off homers to retain the “clutch” reputation he briefly had 11 months ago. He is really hurt here by the time he missed; if plays every game the rest of the way, and keeps up his current per game pace, he projects to 64.7. Not that it’s relevant to this discussion, but A-Rod has also taken over the AL VORP lead.
Repoz
Posted: August 20, 2008 at 11:49 AM |
11 comment(s)
|
Login to Bookmark
Related News:
General,
Awards
Reader Comments and Retorts
Go to end of page
Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.
Playing what videogame?
As if the world needed another weak two-time MVP
Given several years, you're probably right.
According to the Dbacks front office, Eric Byrnes is actually a lot better. But call them equal
Healthy Eric Byrnes @ $10m/year * 1 home run/$10k = 1,000 home runs/year
Only injury prevented the greatest explosion in home run production known to man
I rest my case. When I say that Jeff Moorad is a freaking genius, I'm understating
In 2007, Byrnes hit 21 home runs while making $4,575,000. So 4,575,000/21 = a dollar value $216,857.14 per home run.
In 2008, Byrnes has 6 home runs while making $10,000,000. So 10,000,000/6 = a dollar value of $1,666,666.66 per home run.
As you can see his home runs are almost 8 times as valuable as last year. Pure profit.
The longer the season has gone, the more this has eaten away at my baseball soul. It's not getting better. I'm not getting over it. I feel so empty inside.
You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.
<< Back to main