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Tuesday, September 18, 2007

Vegas Watch: What Are The Odds: .400

If only, Angel Bravo...if only.

8. Magglio Ordonez (33 years old, .322 BA in 05-07)
Career odds: 1 in 5165
2008 odds: 1 in 36154

Before this year, Magglio had never hit above .320; right now, he’s at .357. If he went 42/45 down the stretch, he’d be at .401; I tried to run the odds on that, but it just says 0.

10: Robinson Cano (24 years old, .313 BA in 05-07)
Career odds: 1 in 8496
2008 odds: 1 in 135924

Cano was third on the hit streak list because he never walks, and he’s only 10th on this list for that same reason. It should be noted that he’s at least walking more than he used to- his BB% has doubled from 3.0% in 2005 to 6.0% this season.

Repoz Posted: September 18, 2007 at 12:31 AM | 3 comment(s)
  Related News: General, Projections

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   1. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: September 18, 2007 at 09:23 AM (#2529722)
I feel confident that on a long enough timeline, someone will eventually hit .400 again.

I'm kind of surprised that there's no Ichiro on his list, but I guess he cut him out with the thing about the walks.
   2. bond1 Posted: September 18, 2007 at 10:02 AM (#2529764)
Todd Helton has the second highest active career BA.
   3. CrosbyBird Posted: September 18, 2007 at 10:52 AM (#2529817)
I'm kind of surprised that there's no Ichiro on his list

Ichiro's 9th.

A left-handed hitter for average with speed in a good hitting park. That's the recipe for .400.
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