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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Monday, July 13, 2009We’re the Team to Beat: From the Bill Simmons Handbook: the 2009 MLB Top 50 Trade Value – HittersThe Great Mari...uhh Mike with his latest.
Repoz
Posted: July 13, 2009 at 04:57 PM | 38 comment(s)
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Edit: Or maybe that's the point?
30. Alfonso Soriano
I wish this guy were the GM of the Dodgers.
It's certainly bad phrasing but I assume what the guy is trying to say is that they're at an age where we shouldn't expect them to improve. Granderson is 28 and that 136 OPS+ of 2007 is quite possibly the best we'll ever see (and it was largely fueled by the ridiculous 23 triples ... did anyone really think we'd see that again?) Still, his true talent is probably somewhere in the 115-125 range which, as long as he's still decent defensively, is quite valuable.
Phillips is also 28. Offensively, he's never been all that. Even in his 30/30 season, he put up an OPS+ of just 105 -- good for a 2B but nothing to make you think "star". Still, in OPS+ terms, he's been a bit better this year and is on track for a 25/20 season, so I'm not seeing the rationale behind the disappointment. I know some here rave about his defense and if he is good defensively and at least an average hitter for a 2B, he's also a quite valuable player.
A: Better than their record is now. Go play a few simple simulation games and learn something about baseball.
1. I love my DWright, but I would have to say that Longoria has surpassed him in value. Younger and cheaper.
2. Justin Upton needs to be higher.
Were it not for an error not of his doing, he would have been the guy who hit the homer to win game 7 on the road in the World Series, and the guy who played 2b on the team with the best record in the majors the following two years.
Stephen Drew isn't on it? If the Dbacks offered Stephen Drew for Matt Holliday, Beane wouldn't do that? is this a joke? Adam Dunn?
Seriously? He's a first baseman with a career 126 OPS+, and he's already got three all-star appearances, an MVP, and a second-place MVP finish. If anything, he's overrated.
Frankly, this list is not much worse than James's "young talent index," which I think declared Prince Fielder to be the best young player in baseball last year.
And over the four years where he has the All Star appearances and the MVP, he's got a 137 OPS+ (.300 .368 .525 in 2400+ PA)while playing 95%+ of his teams games. He's not a monster at the position, but he's quite good, and looking around the league, it's not like there are a ton of other deserving All Star candidates who have suffered repeated snubs. Seriously, for the last couple years, the AL has been lacking in monster mashers at 1B - especially with Teixeira moving in and out of the league.
Sorry, I just thought "hitting above .303" sounded really strange. Even stranger considering he's hitting .278. The published date is today, but he must have written this a couple weeks ago.
I mean, really, the guy wouldn't trade a year and a half of Lance Berkman for 4 and a half years of Adam Jones?
Yes suh!
yes, i realize in hindsight there are going to be some oversights and guys misplaced by a few spots. also, this is an impossible list to write and please everyone in the process, i enjoy hearing everyone else's thoughts on it though, that's really the whole point of it.
no didn't research for 40 hours (which still wouldn't do it justice) and have Elias looking up and comparing stats and contracts. however, i like most of what I did and don't like some of it. i could juggle the names on there for weeks and not be perfectly happy with it
as far as contracts and young vs. old go, in most of those cases it's not as simple as who makes less money or has more years. in the situation of Lance Berkman/Adam Jones, at some point don't you have to take the guy who you know routinely plays at an all-star level and not the guy you hope will do it in the future? Adam was incredible for a few months this year, but point being, a few months this year. Same goes for a lot of those young guys. not the perfect system i know. Cheap contracts hold weight, but not all the weight.
thanks again for reading (even if only the first line and shutting the window) I'd be glad to argue players and rankings all day with you. Check out the pitchers one tomorrow and we can argue some more! hopefully BTF shouts me out (thanks Repoz, i owe it to you as always) again.
Yeah, but this would make him valuable to an NBA team right? Maybe the Cubs can work out a trade.
Because ranking MLB players based on age, ability, and salary is very interesting, just like Simmons's column. What's your problem?
Isn't Dave Cameron the "Indians front office grade: A+" guy?
and to the guy talking about the FanGraphs list, I too would bet that theirs is 100 times better. Maybe 200 times. I didn't know they do the same thing, but I enjoyed it.
FanGraphs > me that we can all agree on.
I do still think, however, that you really didn't take salary/contract situation (or age, for that matter, when discussing the future) into account as much as you suggested you would. It's applied kind of haphazardly - you acknowledge salary from time-to-time but seem to ignore just how valuable the service time issue is.
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