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Wednesday, May 28, 2008

YESNetwork: Goldman: Yankees looking at a transition year

The latest Pinstriped Bible: Presented by Ford...uhh, Jeep.

Actually, if I may digress for a moment, I had that expectation with Jeter based on his play last year, but I doubted my own judgment. Back in December, writing the Jeter comment for this year’s Baseball Prospectus annual, I said, “For years, Jeter’s offense has made him a net positive at shortstop despite his defense. The second half of 2007, taken together with his age, suggests that the day of reckoning may finally have arrived.” Emphasis on “may” added-if you have the book, you will note that the qualifier isn’t there. Cliff Corcoran, who reviewed the text in his sagacious way, and an experienced follower of the Yankees in his own right, argued that we should strike it, making the statement more definitive: “The day of reckoning has finally arrived.”

“Argue” is probably too strong a word for what Cliff did, as I didn’t argue with him. I noted the change and mentally shrugged, saying, “He’s right. By all available evidence, the time has come.” Yet, in the back of my mind, I was still hedging. “This is Derek Jeter! He’s got an edge, baby!” (Of course he does; he’s the only one who can afford the gas.) As time has gone by, I’ve become more convinced that that change was the right one, and become grateful for it, as Jeter’s performance has borne out the more emphatic prediction. End of digression.

Repoz Posted: May 28, 2008 at 09:14 AM | 12 comment(s)
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   1. Sometimes it Rains (sj) Posted: May 28, 2008 at 09:28 AM (#2796654)
Jeter sucked yesterday. And Latroy Hawkins needs to stop. Just stop pitching in the major leagues, he can't keep the ball down anymore.
   2. TomH Posted: May 28, 2008 at 10:03 AM (#2796685)
Check out the Yankees stats vs their opponents. Eerily similar, 'cept the NYY have a big edge in doubles. If they give a few less innings to guys with ERAs above 6.5, they will win 90 games. In spite of my desire that they completely tank.
   3. Cowboy Popup Posted: May 28, 2008 at 10:57 AM (#2796714)
Jeter had an awful, awful game last night, but still had a couple of big hits. But this doomsday thing about Jeter is goofy. His numbers were hovering just below his adjusted stat career norms when he got hit in the hand and he went into a 1-20 slump. He'll bounce back at the plate when his hand heals completely. As for the defense, he looks better, not good, but better and there's simply no reason other than the lazy "he's a year older" to believe his defense is worse. All the numbers, in small sample, suggest he's playing better.

Without question the Yanks should have won last night. Girardi had his worst game as a manager last night. Latroy Hawkins isn't a Major League pitcher, Ohlendorf should never throw more than one inning, even if it's a five pitch inning.

Looking at who is up so far this year, I feel pretty good about the Yanks being able to catch the D-rays, Twins and the A's in the wild card.
   4. Tim Lincecum-stain (SuperBaes) Posted: May 28, 2008 at 11:01 AM (#2796720)
• The Angels have obviously done a fine job of succeeding despite injuries to key personnel and some very disappointing seasons, but you have to wonder why Gary Matthews (.218/.311/.358) has spent the whole year batting second while Casey Kotchman (.311/.364/.478) is going to waste at number six. Consider Monday's lineup. Kotchman was followed by Brandon Wood, Sean Rodriguez and (wrapping back around) Maicer Izturis. If Kotchman hits anything less than a home run, the Angels have very little chance of scoring in his innings.

Can you really argue with Mike Scioscia's handling of the Angels right now? They have more wins than any other team in baseball and are doing it without their starting 2B, 3B, and SS. Also missing from the expected equation is their projected #2 starter. And they just got their ace back a few weeks ago. Lots of luck to counterbalance the injuries, but managers should get their share of credit along with blame.
   5. The Essex Snead Posted: May 28, 2008 at 11:35 AM (#2796753)
Can you really argue with Mike Scioscia's handling of the Angels right now?

You can definitely argue that flip-flopping Matthews & Kotchman in the batting order would actually make them better, which is what SG seems to be saying without taking anything away from what they've accomplished to date.
   6. 1k5v3L Posted: May 28, 2008 at 12:10 PM (#2796786)
Ian Kennedy DL-bound. 2/3rd of the untouchable troika not looking too hot right now.
   7. In the Disney betting pool, Roy Oswalt Posted: May 28, 2008 at 12:47 PM (#2796825)
[bunting] reduces a batter's chance of reaching base, however meager, to zero

This is the error of overlooking the chance that the defense can't successfully field the bunt. Not that I necessarily disagree about whether it was the right call, but putting it this way is overstating the point.

(I'm assuming he doesn't take "reaching base" to mean a hit or a walk. There's stats, and then there's results. Post hoc, you don't care how the guy got on base without making an out.)

NB. I originally read the ad on top of the screen to say "Jeter is a registered trademark of Chrysler Corporation." Which would be kind of awesome when you think about it.
   8. Petunia Posted: May 28, 2008 at 01:33 PM (#2796876)
Funny coincidence. I just happened to look at the Angels box score yesterday and had to look twice. Izturis and Sarge Jr at the top of the order, G.A. at cleanup, and Kotchman 6th followed by Mathis/Wood/Rodriguez. I know the numbers say that batting order is extremely insignificant, especially in the AL, but that just doesn't look right.
   9. OCD SS Posted: May 28, 2008 at 01:42 PM (#2796885)
I have to admit that I've very curious to know who's going tell Hank about the "transition year" and what the results will be.
   10. Larry Mahnken Posted: May 28, 2008 at 03:22 PM (#2797019)
I have to admit that I've very curious to know who's going tell Hank about the "transition year" and what the results will be.
Hal.

If the Yankees can find two solid relievers, if Joba is good as a starter and the rest of the rotation is solid (i.e., Wang/Pettitte/Mussina/Rasner pitch sorta like they have, though Rasner not as good), this team will contend.

They need to start trying guys out in the bullpen, and they need to give Britton a real shot. He's done nothing to deserve their lack of faith in him, he's been good in nearly every appearance he's had in pinstripes, his couple of bad appearances weren't so bad that they should condemn him.
   11. APNY Posted: May 28, 2008 at 07:47 PM (#2797310)
Wasn't Goldman demanding Giambi's release like a week ago?
   12. pkb33 Posted: May 28, 2008 at 10:50 PM (#2797859)
Can you really argue with Mike Scioscia's handling of the Angels right now?

No, but he's the anti-sabermetrics manager so guys like Goldman always take shots at him anyway.

The Angels (and to a degree the Twins) simply have a different approach and focus on different skills than the sabermetrics teams, and fans, do. I can't say I like their approach personally, but I recognize it works for them and thus, I can't really ding them for doing things their way consistently well.
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