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This team is one more stud starting pitcher and one stud hitter away from being a very scary contender. Does anyone know if they're going to go after Giles? If they rotated Giles, Jenkins, Lee and Hart among the four outfield positions (with Giles spelling Clark in center every once in a while) they could do a serious amount of damage and would have a lot of depth with a killer bat off the bench.
I am going to write this now so I can beat the Xmas rush. Ben Sheets will have his "breakout" season in terms of wins in 2006. Why? Why NOT?!!!
Sheets will stay healthy, pitch like, well, Ben Sheets, and the Brewers will actually score some runs for him.
Book it.
What they need most is starting pitching. This rotation isn't bad and is reasonably deep, but add a second top starter and this might well be a wild-card team this year. Or an ML-ready prospect with that kind of potential and in two years this could be a really good team. An upgrade at C wouldn't be bad but I don't know if anybody substantially better than Miller is available.
You could probably say this about half the teams in the league.
So would a lot of teams. Nothing against the Brewers, but its true.
If someone besides Sheets comes up with a breakout season, they're in the playoffs, at least as a wild card.
And 25 HRs from Fielder? Whoa.
1. But for the longest time, the Brewers were in the other half.
2. The Brewers are one of the few teams that if you could do that, their sucess would be sustainable over a long period of time.
How cute.
You can't spell Milwaukee without a K.
Of course, of those top 7, you won't have Overbay and Fielder both in the lineup nor both Lee (who doesn't K much) and Cruz. And Branyan hasn't had anywhere near that many PA since 2002 (Zips is not a playing time projector. :-) But yeah, their top 4 sluggers may get 550 Ks.
That's the report I've seen, multiple places (though I would imagine it all originates from the same source). I was surprised too -- though with rumors at this stage you never know if the Crew was also asking for JP's first-born.
-- MWE
Hardy and Weeks are the only two on the entire team from whom I'd expect better seasons. Maybe Sheets. A lot depends on what they get for Overbay, and whether they're able to move Lee or Jenkins, but it's unlikely even that those deals will pay off this season.
What Russ points out in post 1 is exactly why they aren't as good as people think, and exactly why they're in a difficult position right now in terms of making deals. They're fairly solid at every position, with no glaring weaknesses, but also with no franchise players. When you have a bunch of average-above average players, that's exactly what kind of team you'll have. You need superstars to win. This team really has only one, and he's coming off a serious injury. Then again, if the White Sox could do it. . .
I think that's a mischaracterization of a muscle tear.
I see Ben Sheets, Rickie Weeks, and Prince Fielder as guys who could make the leap.
Mike and I have disagreed on Bill Hall for several years now. If he continues to edge forward on his plate discipline I believe he will solidify the gains from 2005.
Brady Clark is only considered a fluke because nobody was intelligent enough to play him five years ago when he deserved a job. Go look at his minor league numbers where he twice led leagues in OBP and explain to me again why he can't post a .370 OBP in the majors.
Why was Capuano a prospect in Arizona but in Milwaukee he's a fluke? Yes the wins total is a reflection of support, yada, yada, yada. But the PERFORMANCE is there to be a solid rotation starter. And if you keep your team in the game SOMEBODY will get the wins.
Derrick Turnbow has a 98 mph fastball. That cannot be either manufactured or created. It just IS. Maybe he loses the control in 2006. Maybe Mike Maddux continues to help the lad master his stuff.
But hey, you go ahead and insist they stink, they were a fluke, and why bother taking a bunch of hayseeds seriously.
Hall was actually pretty amusing to watch last season, in that you could occasionally see him straining himself not to swing at certain pitches he use to chase with regularity. He did succeed in cutting his strikeouts down by quite a bit (from 119 in 390 ABs in 2004, to 103 in 501), while increasing the number of pitches he saw per AB (3.80 to 4.16).
He's got good power for a middle infielder (especially to RF) - in a non-Hardy world where Hall played everyday at SS, his .837 OPS would have ranked second to Felipe Lopez' .838 amongst NL SS.
Hall was probably among the least-known players who had a VORP above 40 last year (42.7)...
And don't forget the defense. And the baserunning.
I love all these folks wanting to find reasons for the Brewers to stink in 2006.
If they regress it's a consolidation year. If they move forward I get to gloat about being right.
I'm diggin' 2006. :)
Other parts of the site are accessible. Just an FYI......
Regarding the Brew Crew, they will be an exciting team to watch. I'm hoping for a second place finish, hopefully an 85ish win team.
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