2007 ZiPS Projections - Boston Red Sox

Name         P    AVG   OBP   SLG   G  AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI  BB   K SB CS 
Ramirez      lf  .299  .408  .600 142 498  88 149 31  1 39 118  89 111  1  1 
Ortiz*       dh  .288  .396  .619 151 562 108 162 35  2 49 137 101 119  1  0 
Youkilis     1b  .276  .384  .428 129 463  79 128 35  1 11  62  76  95  3  2 
Pena*        1b  .256  .355  .474 140 464  82 119 24  1 25  82  67 127  3  1 
Varitek#     c   .266  .357  .456 121 410  55 109 25  1 17  65  56 102  3  1 
Lowell       3b  .277  .342  .465 152 542  70 150 46  1 18  85  52  63  3  1 
Crisp#       cf  .299  .352  .456 128 498  79 149 32  2 14  68  39  68 18  6 
Nixon*       rf  .272  .371  .415 110 357  52  97 24  0  9  50  53  52  1  1 
Pena         cf  .276  .331  .483 102 323  44  89 17  1 16  58  23 101  2  1 
Loretta      2b  .302  .367  .404 142 557  75 168 37  1  6  70  50  51  4  2 
Choi*        1b  .240  .348  .422 106 287  41  69 17  1 11  43  45  72  1  1 
Myrow*       3b  .250  .339  .412 110 308  51  77 22  2  8  40  40  83  4  2 
Pedroia      ss  .274  .347  .394 130 482  70 132 33  2  7  52  49  32  2  3 
Hinske*      3b  .256  .332  .406 137 438  59 112 26  2 12  62  47 100  6  4 
Moss*        rf  .261  .323  .397 134 499  82 130 34  2 10  58  45 107  4  3 
Kottaras*    c   .241  .331  .374 115 382  51  92 28  1  7  45  50  94  1  1 
Ellsbury*    cf  .275  .341  .374  99 382  58 105 15  4  5  38  34  43 23 12 
Gonzalez     ss  .256  .304  .404 131 445  52 114 31  1 11  64  27  87  2  1 
Murphy*      cf  .249  .314  .387 140 486  66 121 37  3  8  57  43  80  6  4 
Kapler       rf  .263  .310  .397  92 194  35  51 12  1  4  22  12  31  2  2 
Cora*        2b  .250  .333  .344 108 288  35  72  9  3  4  31  27  32  4  2 
Calloway*    lf  .250  .317  .371 111 364  43  91 27  1  5  45  34  72  7  5 
West         1b  .245  .302  .376 125 444  51 109 32  1  8  47  31  67  1  1 
Mirabelli    c   .214  .304  .377  63 159  15  34  8  0  6  23  16  81  0  0 
Machado      2b  .253  .324  .326 114 359  51  91 13  2  3  32  35  44 14  6 
Otness       c   .258  .302  .355 110 392  44 101 24  1  4  38  20  40  1  1 
Pinckney#    3b  .236  .279  .383 119 436  61 103 31  3  9  49  22  84  4  2 
Harris*      2b  .237  .321  .318 109 299  49  71 13  1  3  24  36  65 13  6 
Bacani       2b  .227  .311  .327 112 343  45  78 18  2  4  35  33  62  7  5 
Miller       c   .197  .281  .351  72 208  29  41 11  0  7  28  21  44  0  0 
Durrington   3b  .227  .285  .306 113 330  45  75 13  2  3  29  25  71 17  8 

Player Spotlight (Beta) - David Murphy
Name               AVG   OBP   SLG   G  AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI  BB   K SB CS
Optimistic (15%)  .268  .334  .443 157 542  75 145 46  5 13  73  52  74  8  4
Mean              .249  .314  .387 140 486  66 121 37  3  8  57  43  80  6  4
Pessimistic (15%) .231  .289  .351 135 467  46 108 31  2  7  48  36  97  5  5

Name          ERA   W   L   G  GS     INN    H   ER  HR   BB    K 
Papelbon     3.66   7   3  47  12   113.0  101   46  14   27  106 
Burns        3.95   5   2  53   0    73.0   76   32   6   16   54 
Schilling    3.98  15   7  32  27   190.0  196   84  25   28  163 
Breslow*     3.99   5   2  55   0    79.0   76   35   6   28   62 
Delcarmen    4.06   4   2  57   0    71.0   70   32   4   27   63 
Corey        4.10   3   2  52   0    68.0   67   31   6   23   51 
Foulke       4.21   4   3  54   0    62.0   62   29   9   15   50 
Timlin       4.31   6   4  73   0    71.0   77   34   6   19   44 
Beckett      4.55  14  10  30  30   182.0  178   92  26   61  143 
Tavarez      4.67   4   4  64   3    81.0   87   42   7   30   49 
Clement      4.67   9   8  26  26   156.0  156   81  17   65  126 
Hansen       4.73   4   3  52   4    78.0   82   41   5   35   53 
Lopez*       4.82   2   2  64   0    56.0   61   30   4   24   31 
Snyder       4.86   7   6  30  21   137.0  161   74  17   32   82 
Baker        4.90   4   3  51   0    68.0   70   37   9   25   55 
Dinardo*     4.90   4   3  25  16    90.0  101   49  10   30   61 
Lester*      4.96   8   8  26  26   138.0  141   76  15   64  108 
Brooks*      5.13   3   5  50   3    72.0   75   41  12   28   55 
Wakefield    5.16  11  12  29  28   178.0  187  102  31   63  114 
Buchholz     5.24   5   6  22  22   103.0  113   60  17   36   70 
Hansack      5.26   7   9  32  19   137.0  155   80  26   37   91 
Martinez     5.31   3   3  47   0    61.0   66   36  11   20   41 
Gabbard*     5.40   9  11  27  24   135.0  146   81  17   66   84 
Alvarez*     5.71   6  10  25  23   134.0  161   85  25   40   69 
Pauley       5.75   5   8  24  24   144.0  177   92  26   42   72 
Jarvis       5.77   5   9  27  20   131.0  159   84  26   38   68 
Rozier*      6.35   4   8  25  25   129.0  155   91  18   74   52 
Bowden       6.40   4   8  25  25   128.0  153   91  18   74   53 
Zink         6.49   4  10  26  16   111.0  127   80  14   76   49 
Tucker*      6.55   2   3  48   0    66.0   75   48   8   48   40 
Evert        6.72   2   6  38   6    83.0   99   62  20   40   56 
Bumatay*     6.75   2   4  52   0    64.0   69   48  11   48   48 
Henkel       6.93   3   8  19  11    74.0   96   57  18   30   39 

Player Spotlight (Beta) - Matt Clement
                    ERA   W   L   G  GS     INN    H   ER  HR   BB    K 
Optimistic (15%)   3.77  11   6  26  26   160.0  154   67  13   54  143
Mean               4.67   9   8  26  26   156.0  156   81  17   65  126
Pessimistic (15%)  6.16   6  11  26  26   146.0  172  100  23   78  111

Disclaimer:  ZiPS projections are computer-based projections of performance.  
Performances have not been allocated to predicted playing time in the majors - 
many of the players listed above are unlikely to play in the majors at all in 2007.  
ZiPS is projecting equivalent production - a .240 ZiPS projection may end up 
being .280 in AAA or .300 in AA, for example.  Whether or not a player will play 
is one of many non-statistical factors one has to take into account when predicting 
the future.