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Transaction Oracle— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen
Wednesday, November 15, 2006
2007 ZiPS Projections - Los Angeles Dodgers
Name P Age AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS
J.D. Drew* rf 31 .266 .385 .461 126 436 75 116 25 3 18 74 82 101 4 3
Andre Ethier* lf 25 .296 .366 .463 155 520 82 154 27 6 16 72 54 103 5 6
Nomar Garciaparra 1b 33 .288 .354 .469 104 399 64 115 26 2 14 68 35 31 2 0
Jeff Kent 2b 39 .272 .352 .473 117 427 66 116 28 2 18 77 47 75 2 2
Matt Kemp cf 22 .292 .342 .478 150 538 87 157 33 5 19 85 38 116 21 6
Olmedo Saenz 1b 36 .268 .339 .483 90 205 27 55 14 0 10 42 17 48 0 0
Rafael Furcal# ss 29 .286 .358 .431 155 626 109 179 32 7 15 64 72 88 32 11
Andy LaRoche 3b 23 .274 .349 .443 133 467 63 128 26 1 17 68 52 80 6 4
Russell Martin c 24 .279 .359 .432 153 495 80 138 30 2 14 73 60 72 11 7
James Loney* 1b 23 .297 .351 .434 161 512 68 152 35 4 9 58 42 65 5 5
Wilson Betemit# 3b 25 .262 .328 .451 136 359 49 94 21 1 15 51 35 101 2 2
Tydus Meadows lf 29 .254 .339 .429 92 280 38 71 17 1 10 44 34 74 1 2
Bill Mueller# 3b 36 .264 .352 .390 93 326 46 86 18 1 7 38 41 49 0 1
Julio Lugo ss 31 .283 .348 .393 146 545 82 154 30 3 8 54 51 118 26 8
Marlon Anderson* 2b 33 .273 .328 .441 120 245 34 67 12 1 9 29 20 44 4 3
Kenny Lofton* cf 40 .286 .346 .358 94 332 73 95 11 5 1 38 31 32 17 3
Jayson Werth rf 28 .236 .324 .405 110 343 50 81 18 2 12 49 41 112 9 3
Jason Repko cf 26 .254 .305 .434 122 350 55 89 22 4 11 41 22 95 14 7
Craig Brazell* 1b 27 .251 .286 .439 117 403 43 101 23 1 17 68 18 84 1 0
A.J. Zapp* 1b 29 .234 .304 .380 111 355 36 83 19 0 11 45 33 123 0 0
Eric Riggs# 3b 30 .246 .319 .361 96 305 25 75 15 1 6 34 30 57 2 2
Tony Abreu 2b 22 .269 .312 .370 136 513 61 138 26 4 6 50 29 77 7 7
Delwyn Young# rf 25 .243 .289 .403 147 531 56 129 32 1 17 68 33 114 2 3
Brad Cresse c 28 .234 .290 .394 64 218 25 51 17 0 6 25 15 61 0 0
Toby Hall c 31 .258 .302 .366 93 306 22 79 15 0 6 39 14 38 0 1
Ramon Martinez 2b 34 .259 .322 .331 71 166 16 43 6 0 2 19 15 22 0 0
Oscar Robles* 3b 31 .242 .313 .308 95 273 29 66 10 1 2 21 28 26 0 3
Chin-lung Hu ss 23 .246 .299 .313 136 517 66 127 21 1 4 33 38 58 10 6
Adam Greenberg* cf 26 .202 .316 .285 100 277 36 56 11 3 2 18 42 81 6 3
Wilson Valdez ss 29 .252 .297 .318 136 481 59 121 19 2 3 33 30 61 19 12
Blake Dewitt* 3b 21 .224 .273 .330 146 540 47 121 25 1 10 50 35 98 4 5
Einar Diaz c 34 .219 .267 .309 60 178 14 39 10 0 2 21 10 20 0 1
Edwin Bellorin c 25 .222 .256 .306 104 333 27 74 14 1 4 33 14 61 1 1
* - Bats Left
# = Switch-Hitter
Player Spotlight (Beta) - James Loney
Name AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS
Optimistic (15%) .313 .376 .480 162 517 79 162 40 5 12 71 51 56 7 4
Mean .297 .351 .434 161 512 68 152 35 4 9 58 42 65 5 5
Pessimistic (15%) .278 .326 .387 121 385 44 107 23 2 5 34 27 55 2 5
Name Age ERA W L G GS INN H ER HR BB K
Eric Gagne 31 2.47 6 2 55 0 62.0 46 17 5 17 80
Takashi Saito 37 3.10 6 2 75 0 90.0 74 31 7 27 96
Jonathan Broxton 23 3.32 4 2 75 0 84.0 71 31 8 35 99
Kelly Wunsch* 34 3.68 1 1 31 0 22.0 19 9 2 12 21
Derek Lowe 34 3.83 15 10 34 34 214.0 221 91 21 56 123
Brad Penny 29 3.95 12 8 30 30 180.0 181 79 21 49 129
Hong-chih Kuo* 25 4.13 6 5 47 10 96.0 87 44 9 47 98
Greg Maddux 41 4.33 14 13 33 33 206.0 227 99 27 39 118
Chad Billingsley 22 4.38 10 9 29 28 150.0 146 73 19 75 130
Franquelis Osoria 25 4.44 6 5 58 0 81.0 86 40 8 28 49
Brett Tomko 34 4.47 10 9 36 26 165.0 173 82 19 56 105
Justin Orenduff 24 4.50 6 5 20 19 94.0 90 47 13 45 73
Eric Stults* 27 4.61 10 10 28 27 158.0 161 81 21 64 114
Yhency Brazoban 27 4.62 7 8 72 0 78.0 73 40 10 38 66
Mark Hendrickson* 33 4.79 10 11 30 28 173.0 191 92 20 55 100
Aaron Sele 37 4.84 8 9 28 22 132.0 150 71 16 42 66
Greg Miller* 22 4.85 1 2 39 1 52.0 46 28 3 45 43
Joe Beimel* 30 4.89 2 3 62 0 70.0 79 38 10 28 40
Elmer Dessens 36 4.93 4 5 51 6 84.0 94 46 11 27 54
D.J. Houlton 27 4.94 8 10 30 26 153.0 162 84 24 60 114
Spike Lundberg 30 5.12 6 9 30 16 116.0 130 66 14 46 65
Tim Hamulack* 30 5.34 3 4 56 0 64.0 64 38 9 37 55
Justin Reid 30 5.35 4 6 36 13 111.0 119 66 22 46 81
Jose Diaz 23 5.48 1 1 16 1 23.0 26 14 2 12 12
Scott Elbert* 21 5.59 7 11 27 25 132.0 127 82 20 98 115
William Juarez 26 5.71 4 6 26 13 82.0 88 52 14 48 56
Luis Gonzalez* 24 6.13 2 5 36 0 47.0 48 32 6 39 35
* - Throws Left
Player Spotlight (Beta) - Brad Penny
ERA W L G GS INN H ER HR BB K
Optimistic (15%) 3.33 15 7 33 33 203 190 75 21 49 156
Mean 3.95 12 8 30 30 180 181 79 21 49 129
Pessimistic (15%) 4.65 8 9 25 25 147 158 76 21 45 102
Disclaimer: ZiPS projections are computer-based projections of performance.
Performances have not been allocated to predicted playing time in the majors -
many of the players listed above are unlikely to play in the majors at all in 2007.
ZiPS is projecting equivalent production - a .240 ZiPS projection may end up
being .280 in AAA or .300 in AA, for example. Whether or not a player will play
is one of many non-statistical factors one has to take into account when predicting
the future.
Players are noted with their most recent teams unless Dan has made a mistake.
ZiPS is projecting based on the AL having a 4.51 ERA and the NL having a 4.37 ERA.
Dan Szymborski
Posted: November 15, 2006 at 10:51 AM | 22 comment(s)
Related News: LA Dodgers, Projections, ZIPS
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God, it looks like Lugo's going be ridiculously overpaid by some AL East squad. Let's hope it's the Matsuzaka-buying New York Yankees of Boston.
I think he'll make some adjustments and come back fairly strong. He's got too many tools/skills to stay down for long.
And Lowe is working out perfectly. I take back any bad things I said about his signing 2 years ago.
And .303 last year. And is 33.
Dodgers announced the retirement of third baseman Bill Mueller.
Mueller, forced to call it quits by a knee injury that wasn't going to get any better, will serve as a special assistant to Los Angeles GM Ned Colletti. This takes his $4.5 million salary off the Dodgers' books, but it seems likely that there's some sort of agreement entitling him to at least a significant portion of what he was due. The 35-year-old Mueller finishes his career with a .291/.373/.425 line, 85 homers and 493 RBI in 11 major league seasons. His best year was 2003, his first year with the Red Sox, when he won the AL batting title and established career highs with a .326 average, 19 homers and 85 RBI. In 2004, he came up with the big hit that drove in Dave Roberts in Game 4 of the ALCS and batted .429 in Boston's World Series victory. Nov. 17 - 8:11 pm et
<img src="http://pic.templetons.com/burnpic/burn2/monolith.jpg" alt="" border="0" />If only.
He gets every penny. No idea if he gets anything additional for his service as "special assistant" this season, though.
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