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And Branyan managed to be rated higher than Beltre with worse defense and an identical OPS (even in terms of proportions).
Now, if Jose can just get that SLG up...
Also, does the positional value (VERY GOOD, EXCELLENT, AVERAGE) take into account the fielding aspects? If so, I was wondering if you could explain how Beltre with his 104 OPS+ and Excellent defense is AVERAGE, whereas Branyon with his 105 OPS+ and Fair defense is VERY GOOD. I apologize if I've just missed an already existing explanation.
Also, does the positional value (VERY GOOD, EXCELLENT, AVERAGE) take into account the fielding aspects?
No, just the bat.
Ahh. Fair enough.
Also, the OPS+ difference of 1 understates Branyan's superiority with the bat. His OBP is slightly higher (.006) & his isolated power is much higher (.037)
That's truly horrific. How is it possible for a team to have only 2 corner players in the whole organization who project above "poor"? And that's putting Ichiro in RF. Only 3 starters and 1 reliever who project above-average? The Royals might have more talent.
I was gonna ask about the crappy Ichiro projection but hadn't realized how "meh" he was 2 of the last 3 seasons. Toss in age-related decline and that's about right. There doesn't seem any reason not to keep him in CF.
Top Near-Age Comps: Bert Blyleven, Larry Dierker
So either Felix's arm is about to fall off or he's going to have an overlooked HoF-worthy career.
Yeah, when your second best offensive player is a $1.5M scrap-heap signing, you've got some heavy lifting to do.
Even in baseball video games this team takes 5-years to turn around.
The RLYW preseason simulations had them at 77 wins (and, by contrast, the Rays at 82 wins). Without going through all 30 teams, I would guess that only the Padres underperformed their projection by more. Of course, that's no consolation for next year.
What do people know about Adam Moore? I see that he just spent a year at AA, throwing out 35% of basestealers. How is his fielding?
Why? He's 35. He's not going to get 200 hits some year, right?
By the way, is eight straight years with 200+ the record?
OPS+
2006: 125
2007: 121
2008: 124
2009: 105 (projected)
Not only is he old, but he was also a late bloomer, and he's a terrible fielder and a not exactly graceful baserunner. There are a lot of potential warning signs around him, which have been shown by other players who have suffered rapid declines.
Even if he drops to a 105 OPS+, however, he'd still be an upgrade for a couple teams.
Ouch.
Sure, but that projection basically gives him only a one in three chance of making it, and that seems silly to me, especially considering how driven Ichiro is to get that particular milestone each year.
Yes, Ichiro and Willie Keeler share the record.
(to be fair though, the bad luck made it look even more hilarious)
Ah, OK. Thanks very much for the clarification.
I'm certainly not dumb enough to say that Ichiro won't get hurt, but based on his conditioning and past record, I wouldn't think there would be anyone else in baseball who is as likely to play 160 games year-in-and year out as he is.
True. He's not very good fielding just one position, I think he'd have a lot of trouble fielding five.
It's hard to believe that at this time last year most of the media had the Mariners as contenders. Jesus that's a bad team.
I doubt he'd have too much trouble handling DH defensively
And their cleanup hitter.
Just imagine what they'll do with a whole offseason.
Calling an arm that's only attached by the thread of the shirtsleeve a "million dollar" arm seems to overstate the case.
I could get it done in MVP 2004 in two, tops. Might even make the playoffs the first year if I get to sign Burnitz.
Anyway, last spring I was almost assaulted by some meathead in a bar when I asserted that the Mariners were more likely to finish last in 2008 than make the playoffs. I wish I could meet that guy again.
The Bedard deal was even worse than we thought; even in the process of choosing how to grossly overpay for Bedard, they failed to assess their organizational depth properly and now their only two prospects are both blocked by Kenji Johjima and/or each other.
Yeah. Cuz I'm sure he's really cool now.
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