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I love Porkins' projected OBP. He sure would look nice in the Giants lineup. Also, the Marlins have a couple of nice bullpen pieces (Calero and Donnelly) but they seem especially volatile.
e: Scratch that. Calero threw 60 IP last season, I thought it was half that.
The Marlins have such a thin margin for error, considering ownership never has their back, that they really can't afford any more wacky experiments like making Emilio Bonifacio the starting 3B for 4 months.
Can't be that surprised, I'd imagine! 25-year-old shortstop with .900 career OPSs, steal a lot of bases, and hit .320 are pretty darn rare! That Ripken is the number 1 comp shows how darn hard it is to find shortstops that hit that well with speed.
What's their projected rotation? Johnson/Nolasco/Sanchez/Volstad/Miller? Where does that leave Badenhop, West, and VandenHurk?
2B Coghlan
SS Ramirez
3B Cantu
RF Ross
1B Sanchez
C Baker
LF Carroll
C Paulino
1B Helms
3B/1B Jimenez
UT Bonifacio
OF ??? (warm body they'll pick up from other non-tenders)
SP Johnson
SP Nolasco
SP Sanchez
SP Volstad
SP Miller
CL Nunez
RP Pinto
RP Meyer
RP Tankersley
RP Sanches
RP Wood
SW Badenhop
Starting pitching depth will be Badenhop, West, and Vanden Hurk. Possible we'll see Coghlan in left with someone like Kelly Johnson at second. I have to think first base belongs to Sanchez with Jimenez as the backup corner infielder.
EDIT: Sanchez will not be playing third. He did that in college with spectacular results in the College World Series.
Infield defense is still going to be pretty bad. The bullpen will be iffy too, but it always is when you put it together on a shoestring budget. It could be good.
As usual, the difference between this being a 75 win team and a 90 win team is (a) the young pitching staying healthy and progressing and (b) Hanley not getting hurt. A repeat performance of 87 wins is not out of the question, but with a better Mets squad, a strong Braves team, and an improving Nationals team the Marlins will probably fall in the 80-85 range if they don't bring in any offensive firepower or see any big surprises there.
-- MWE
How far from Hanley is ARod as a comp?
For years, Harold Ballard would have been the obvious answer.
More recently in Hockey, I'd say whoever currently owns the Islanders (Charles Wang?), although Tampa has had an interesting string of owners as well.
Well, he's made no progress in three years; what would you expect?
Pretty far. Hanley's probably closer to Jeter than to ARod. Don't forget that ARod had been a major league regular for six years, and had almost twice as many major league HRs, by the time he was the age that HRam is now.
-- MWE
So, I guess that means he'll do it in real life.
Al Davis?
Really, I think the other bad owners are incompetent. I think Loria's (greed/desire to make money) is just more obvious than other owners' (greed/desire to make money).
-- MWE
While Bill Wirtz lived he was far worse than Loria.
The was serious talk of the Fish non-tendering their second biggest offensive asset because he was due to make something approaching his actual value in arbitration. Barring Beinfest and Hill being made of magic--which they may damn well be given their history--they'll get a bullpen arm, an A ball starter with some upside, and maybe a bench player. Probably from the Giants.
.277/.375/.456 in AA at age 21
.319/.399/.463 in New Orleans at age 22
an 89 OPS+ through age 22 in 250 MLB PAs
and he projects at 79?
FWIW Chone projects Maybin at .265/.352/.405, Dan's .243/.322/.354 looks REALLY low...
recent SS, ages 23-25:
Rk Player OPS+ BA OBP SLG HR PA To From1 Alex Rodriguez 153 .307 .394 .606 135 1976 1999 2001
2 Hanley Ramirez 145 .325 .398 .549 86 2051 2007 2009
3 Nomar Garciaparra 138 .326 .371 .571 92 1981 1997 1999
4 Derek Jeter 128 .321 .397 .478 53 2181 1997 1999
5 Troy Tulowitzki 114 .283 .359 .490 40 1049 2008 2009
6 Travis Fryman 114 .277 .341 .456 60 1944 1992 1994
7 Jose Reyes 112 .292 .355 .461 47 2231 2006 2008
8 Jhonny Peralta 106 .272 .342 .442 58 1849 2005 2007
9 J.J. Hardy 104 .276 .329 .463 55 1406 2006 2008
10 Khalil Greene 103 .259 .321 .437 32 1100 2003 2005
perhaps I should have asked why Nomar didn't make it as a comp....
It's not really the worst projection, anyway. If he plays well defensively, he's still a usable regular in center right now, despite the flaws and just 23.
The current clown show running the Tampa Bay Lightning is probably worse. Keep in mind that they signed Dan Boyle to a 6-year, $40 million contract, making him one of the highest paid defensemen in hockey, with a full no-trade clause, and then forcing him to accept a trade out of town before he had played a single game under that contract, and that that probably isn't their worst personnel decision in the last two years. It may not even be in the top three; hiring Barry Melrose to be the coach and then firing him after 17 games is probably at the top of the list. They are hopelessly under financed, horrible at PR, and have no idea what they are doing.
At least Loria has a plan: he's intent on sucking every dollar out of someone else's pockets that isn't glued in, while paying out as few of them as he can. He's also very good at it. It isn't clear that Len Barrie and Owen Koules are any good at anything other than making torture porn movies.
Are you KIDDING me? The Florida Marlins, who have barely had two decent years in their hisotry, and never a GREAT team, but own two WS trophies? THOSE Marlins!? The fans of the Marlins are possibly the luckiest fans/team ever in terms of recent actual versus deserved success on the diamond. The quoted statement is just nuts.
and that isn't just because NO sucked (which they did) the park factors I've seen suggest you can ignore the fact that they play in the PCL.
The 1997 team was just pretty good. But they won one less game than the Phillies did this season and no one was going to accuse these Phillies of being shams.
And I deserve a World Series trophy EVERY ####### YEAR.
Who do you think you are, a Yankee fan?
The Marlins signed Scott Strickland to a minor league. I had no idea he was still pitching.
It doesn't help that the Marlins play in the biggest strikeout park in the majors nearly every year (Maybin projects as an OPS+ of 82-89 in every other park in the NL).
There are strikeout parks? How so? Does it have to do with the size of the foul territory, or the sun shining in the batter's eyes, or something?
backdrop.
I'm guessing it's The Torture of Hope by Auguste Villiers de l'Isle-Adam.
EDIT: The linke pasted from Wikipedia doesn't seem to work for the author. I think there's a special character in there.
CF Maybin
LF Coghlan*
SS Ramirez
2B Uggla
3B Cantu
1B Sanchez
RF Ross
C Baker*
C Paulino
1B/3B Helms
3B/1B Jimenez*
UT Bonifacio#
OF Carroll
SP Johnson
SP Nolasco
SP Sanchez
SP Miller*
SP Volstad
SP Vandenhurk
SP West*
SP Trahern
CL Nunez
RP Pinto*
RP Badenhop
RP Sanches
RP Meyer*
RP Wood
RP McClung
I like this team.
Are you worried they don't have enough left handed batters? Might be a good year for Baker and Coghlan because they shouldn't ever see a lefty that isn't really good.
I've often thought that this concern is overblown. If I remember correctly, the 2003 team that won the championship had 6 straight righties in the lineup after Pierre and Castillo. It didn't stop them from beating some very good right handed pitching in the playoffs, as just about any good hitter fares pretty well against RHP. The greater concern would be stacking left handed batters who struggle against LHP together in a lineup.
I believe righties have a universal 8% platoon advantage against lefties, so yeah, the variance isn't huge. Lefties, on the other hand, have a widely varied platoon split that averages out to around 20% better against righties. So platoon if you can, but if you can't, just put the best player in there and hope for the best.
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