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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen
Monday, November 28, 2005
2006 ZiPS Projections - Minnesota Twins
Name P AVG OBP SPC G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS Mauer* c .303 .377 .427 122 452 59 137 22 2 10 56 55 63 12 2 Morneau* 1b .266 .336 .491 145 530 76 141 25 2 30 93 53 103 0 1 Ford cf .285 .363 .411 143 513 73 146 30 4 9 61 51 78 13 5 LeCroy 1b .271 .342 .445 100 310 32 84 12 0 14 49 31 82 0 0 Kubel* rf .296 .355 .432 135 477 77 141 25 2 12 70 44 67 8 8 Hunter cf .264 .328 .447 129 492 72 130 31 1 19 76 43 93 16 8 Cuddyer 3b .263 .340 .427 120 391 52 103 24 2 12 49 44 87 4 5 Stewart lf .283 .342 .399 124 519 66 147 26 2 10 60 42 68 6 5 Bartlett ss .281 .354 .387 128 462 77 130 22 3 7 47 46 71 12 10 West lf .258 .317 .444 136 480 62 124 33 1 18 70 34 120 2 3 Romero# lf .278 .336 .393 131 460 63 128 21 1 10 56 34 66 8 5 Jones* rf .261 .319 .433 145 541 71 141 26 2 21 76 42 121 11 7 Boone 2b .251 .324 .415 129 494 64 124 26 2 17 73 51 106 7 4 Rodriguez# 2b .281 .343 .374 129 452 60 127 29 2 3 44 43 49 3 4 Buchanan rf .251 .324 .405 79 215 35 54 13 1 6 27 19 54 3 1 Tiffee# 3b .266 .308 .421 119 425 52 113 26 2 12 60 24 42 3 0 Williams# 3b .256 .305 .416 88 317 42 81 17 2 10 43 19 69 3 2 Jones* 1b .244 .286 .439 134 476 67 116 22 1 23 70 27 117 5 3 Redmond c .269 .320 .346 62 182 17 49 11 0 1 20 9 21 0 0 Ryan* rf .241 .301 .388 115 345 42 83 17 2 10 44 30 80 4 3 Tyner* lf .278 .333 .329 128 486 69 135 18 2 1 37 37 56 13 8 Bowen# c .230 .314 .352 90 270 33 62 12 0 7 27 30 78 1 1 Rabe cf .247 .311 .375 116 405 58 100 22 0 10 49 35 79 12 9 Heintz c .260 .298 .368 91 315 31 82 17 1 5 37 17 56 0 0 Rivas 2b .256 .287 .389 119 386 53 99 19 4 8 43 15 54 12 4 Miller c .211 .312 .343 91 280 37 59 16 0 7 31 30 56 0 0 Moses* 3b .235 .291 .353 108 388 53 91 15 2 9 46 27 99 8 4 Punto# 2b .242 .303 .330 101 339 39 82 15 3 3 28 31 77 11 7 Castro ss .244 .272 .362 104 287 27 70 17 1 5 31 12 49 1 2 Ojeda# ss .219 .309 .293 114 334 45 73 16 0 3 26 34 37 5 5 Dunwoody* cf .233 .269 .370 102 330 36 77 22 1 7 38 14 80 5 6 Tomlin cf .221 .257 .290 131 411 53 91 17 1 3 31 19 71 12 5 Name W L ERA G GS INN H ER HR BB K Nathan 7 1 2.41 71 0 71.0 48 19 4 22 92 Santana* 18 6 2.91 33 33 232.0 181 75 22 48 250 Rincon 10 3 3.00 72 0 81.0 63 27 4 32 86 Crain 8 6 3.82 71 0 80.0 74 34 7 29 45 Baker 11 8 3.99 30 30 185.0 183 82 24 36 129 Silva 10 9 4.02 29 29 195.0 221 87 24 19 74 Liriano* 11 9 4.08 27 26 159.0 138 72 19 61 165 Radke 11 10 4.09 32 32 211.0 224 96 30 26 122 Bowyer 4 4 4.33 59 0 79.0 67 38 10 48 89 Balfour 2 2 4.37 31 0 35.0 30 17 4 19 38 Kemp 5 6 4.44 59 0 79.0 77 39 8 35 59 Guerrier 4 5 4.46 34 15 119.0 124 59 19 26 79 Romero* 3 4 4.50 71 0 64.0 58 32 6 40 55 Perkins* 5 6 4.57 24 23 128.0 131 65 18 45 94 Korecky 3 4 4.57 52 0 63.0 65 32 8 18 44 Lohse 10 13 4.64 33 32 190.0 207 98 25 53 105 Neshek 4 5 4.69 52 0 71.0 71 37 12 23 64 Gassner* 8 11 4.87 28 24 146.0 163 79 22 33 75 Durbin 4 6 4.89 23 20 103.0 101 56 13 50 85 Eyre 5 8 4.91 44 11 110.0 111 60 13 51 78 Mulholland* 3 4 5.20 44 7 97.0 113 56 15 31 39 Bonser 7 14 5.33 28 28 157.0 159 93 31 63 146 Mays 5 10 5.50 29 23 139.0 164 85 21 38 53 Schoening 3 8 5.56 35 12 102.0 110 63 19 43 71 Miller 2 7 6.08 13 13 71.0 84 48 13 29 32 Olson 3 13 6.75 35 12 96.0 107 72 23 53 71 Disclaimer: ZiPS projections are computer-based projections of performance. Performances have not been allocated to predicted playing time in the majors - many of the players listed above are unlikely to play in the majors at all in 2006. ZiPS is projecting equivalent production - a .240 ZiPS projection may end up being .280 in AAA or .300 in AA, for example. Whether or not a player will play is one of many non-statistical factors one has to take into account when predicting the future.
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I guess ZIPS thinks he will learn how to hit a breaking ball this year.
Boone's not making it through the season.
If Cuddyer has that same season again, they're really gonna have to do something.
This team could use some hitters, huh?
I think a healthy Stewart (and possibly Morneau) would likely top those numbers.
Johan Santana is a Lord among men.
Lew Ford seriously needs to be freed.
Somehow they can see fit to go to arbitration with a one-dimensional Punto, though, when they've got plenty of other options for his role.
You're right, he is. Evidence: I have never heard of him.
Sounds familiar. Not that LeCroy will go on to become a post-season hero and MVP candidate.
There's no way LeCroy goes on to have an Ortiz-like career. He's 3 years older than Ortiz was then, is in worsh shape physically, and is a lefty-masher. If you can't hit righties that well, you don't have enough opportunities to make an impact. By all accounts, he's a great person though.
If Zips is wrong, whose @$$ do I get to kick?
If BJ Ryan is getting a 5 year $47 million deal, and other closers on the market are getting anywhere near 4/40 deals, Nathan should have huge value on the trade market. I don't know which teams they might match up with, but I wouldn't be at all surprised if there is a team around willing to trade a great hitter for Nathan. I wouldn't even complain if they kept Romero and Lohse in that scenario.
If by "Chase Utley" you mean "Jason Michaels".
Or the Orioles throw Brian Roberts and some prospects to the Twins for Nathan now that they are out one BJ Ryan. The Braves for Marcus Giles?
Let's not go bananas here, GMoney. Joe Nathan may be a proven closer and slightly underpaid, but trading away a home-grown, good-hitting, popular, low-paid second baseman with 10-15 years left in his career (e.g. Utley, Roberts, Giles) is something that any team would really hate to do. Especially second basemen, they're tough to find (as you know from the Rivas experience).
he's the guy we're going to get back for mike lowell!
Don't do that, it makes my head throb.
Here, you share the pain: "This is where we trade Hunter and Nathan for Utley and Michels." See how it makes your left eye water? Be kind to others, man.
The money saved will be better spent on inferior players like Kevin Millar or Carl Everett, just like it went toward players like Rick Reed and Cristian Guzman in 2003.
And we all know that a couple coincedental similarities virtually guarantees they'll turn out the same.
Yeah, especially with Justin Morneau's Dominican Republic Roots, we all know Morneau will take off just like Ortiz did.
Everyone knows you can't walk off the (Vancouver) island.
Up until last season, Morneau actually had very similar production at similar levels and ages as Jim Thome. However, until Morneau learns to start walking, that comp will quickly pass.
Let's not forget about Luis Castillo. ZiPS has him at 74 walks and 54 Ks. I'm sure that ratio is one of the top projections for 2006. Last year I think his was better than 2:1. Replacing last year's disaster at 2nd base with Castillo is probably worth 4 wins.
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