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Transaction Oracle — A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen Sunday, December 03, 2006Jays - Signed ClaytonToronto Blue Jays - Signed SS Royce Clayton to a 1-year contract worth $1.5 million.Well, the Blue Jays had a hole and went out and filled it. Too bad they filled it with Royce Clayton, which is about as effective as fixing a hole in your drywall with mashed potatoes. Blue Jay fans better hope that the good side of Ricciardi's brain isn't currently writing for ESPN. Clayton can't hit, can't field, and expresses dismay when he doesn't get playing time, so he's not even worth league minimum. I don't think Clayton's even as good an overall shortstop as Russ Adams, and that's not much of a compliment. 2007 ZiPS Projection - Royce Clayton
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AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB BA OBP SLG
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Projection 499 56 131 29 3 3 43 37 108 9 .263 .315 .351
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Opt. (15%) 521 70 146 36 4 4 55 40 99 14 .280 .337 .388
Pes. (15%) 276 27 65 14 1 0 17 15 69 4 .236 .280 .293
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BTW, John McDonald has a .579 OPS in 260 atbats, Edgardo Alfonzo had a .468 OPS in 37 atbats, and Russ Adams had a .600 OPS in 250 atbats. I guess the difference is, Clayton will not make 35 errors, will hit better than that, and steal 15 bases maybe?
I think an Adam/McDonald platoon makes more sense, since Adams is a rare lefty hitting SS, and you can also do the late inning defense for offense switch.
No, you had it right with awful.
Speaking of their need for a 4th outfielder, can Carlos Pena play a reasonable left field?
Lugo would look nice batting leadoff/#2. I wonder what would happen if the Jays signed a legit stolen base threat- would they actually start running? Adams was supposed to have good speed coming into the system, but the Jays don't seem to cultivate the running game in their prospects, which I think may be a mistake.
Clayton, I've ripped JP a good deal, but this is my least favorite move he's ever made. I dread seeing Clayton on the field in any capacity. Maybe he'd do alright as a groundskeeper or something. 3B coach. Don't want him as a part time SS.
This might actually be the worst free agent signing so far this year. At least Soriano and Pierre will likely help their teams win more than they otherwise would have, even if the cost was too high. Clayton does literally nothing for the Blue Jays that needed doing.
No, they're saying Johnson is the starting left fielder with Lind spending more time in AAA. Johnson made huge strides last year and I think he's earned the starting spot, but I'm happy to have Lind right behind him in case Reed turns back into the ideal 4th outfielder he always looked like before 2006.
As in, signing Royce Clayton/trading for Royce Clayton/allowing Royce Clayton to even purchse licensed garb for your team means:
- GM must relinquish all MS Excel, Access, and SQL licenses
- GM must refrain from usage of any and all - but not limited to -- the following terms: Win Shares, VORP, OPS, OPS+
- relinquish all copies of Moneyball
- be kicked out of the Kool Kids clubhouse
- be beaten to a pulp by Paul DePodesta while Paul screams "you've had HOW long on the job, and you can still do THIS!?!?!"
I think JP should now be required to enroll in one of the remedial GM curricula --
- The Bowden school of toolsy OFers that can't play baseball
- The Wade school of pissing money away on middle relief
- The Hendry school of accumulating worthless MIs
- The Beatagan school of buying your way to irrelevance
Now, JP has traded away Lopez and Izturis, and he whiffed on Adams, but he deserves credit for Hill, too.
Rather than entering the season with little depth there, he grabbed a guy now with no less of draft pick who can field SS in the majors. For a contract so small that that player could be cut. This isn't signing Batista for 3rd.
Adams now doesn't appear to even be replacement level, and that that's a doubt I have doesn't speak well of him. I want him him in AAA where the damage is minimal.
Where Clayton hurts (and maybe Stairs and the Rule 5 SS, too) is in roster construction. Carrying two or more of Clayton, the Rule 5 SS, Gomez, and John Macdonald leaves the team brutally thin on SS production and worse on 3B production should Glaus go down (not that I want that, but you have to plan for that with a somewhat brittle fellow).
Hattig's possibly making the roster or being called up isn't enough insurance at 3B.
A guy like Hinske would have been so much better than Stairs; ironically, he was traded to save $3 million or so on the 2007 payroll, and with JP's mercifully pulling out of the Lilly/Meche nosedive, that money will go unspent, and Hinske will be useful for the evil enemy. I wonder if they could get him back for a song.
There are scant few position players coming down the pipeline. These little deals now to establish backups and injury replacements are going to be huge for the Jays. I've blocked from my memory which year it was they got caught in an injury epidemic and featured Berg at 1B and other follies, but I fear that possibility for 2007.
How would I recommend JP solve this? Reacquire Hinkse, and get Clayton-esque players who would accept AAA assignments as Phillips did last year. Agressively push some of the youngsters up if need be to see if they are ever going to cut it (Santos, Ford-Griffin, etc).
And I hate to say it, but entertain seriously any offers from the the Dodgers for Wells, with a window for them to resign him, too. Penny and Kemp and prospects? That's looking sweet now.
I'd also recommend that he make a big push for Lieber for a reliever.
Has there ever been a Rule 5 pick who won the starting shortstop job outright the following season?
I believe so.
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