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I understand the misgivings in dealing Kouzmanoff, but this also frees up $3-5M to get a bigger bat for the OF or 1b that would otherwise have been spent on a playe like Belliard, while freeing Inglett to return to the utility role he looked very qualified for last year.
http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/prospects/news/262727.html
Year 2004 2005 2006 2004-06
SD 439 376 416 1231
StL 441 397 382 1220
PHI 416 380 421 1217
... and Barfield hit 319/355/484 in road games this year, too. I laugh everytime I read about how pathetic the Padres offense has been, to be honest. I do find it interesting that the replies here seem to favor the Padres side, whereas every other place I've read about the deal, there's a pro-Indians spin on it. If the Pads can fill their 2b hole (presumably with Giles The Younger), the deal could help both teams a lot, IMO.
Yeah. I think if you look at the whole package, this could be a great deal for the Indians and is very sound in design. I have questions about it from the Padres' side.
I disagree with this. Barfied has a demonstrated ability to be an average player while playing for the minimum. That kind of players has a lot of value. By VORP he was the 13th best secondbaseman in the majors last year. The guys above him are either very expensive, clearly better, or flukes. Moreover of the guys below him only Weeks and Kendrick are likely to be better next year. You know you're not getting them in any trade.
So basically you got the most valuable available player in exchange for an oldish prospect with an excellent track record but some injury question marks. This is a classic win-win deal that general managers need to make in order to improve their team. Being a good general manager isn't about trying to strike it rich, it's about making a number of win-win deals that improve your team on the margins. The smartest thing Billy Beane ever said was that you have to give up good players in order to get good players.
Unless, of course, you're dealing with Krivsky in which case any old crappy reliever is good enough to get it done. But those kind of deals are the exceptions and if you sit around waiting for those kinds of gifts to fall into your lap you'll end up not getting anything done. The problem is that fans expect their managers to make those kinds of deals. For instance the lunatics at halosheaven think that a package involving Figgins, Cabrera and Saunders is enough to get Vernon Wells and that this would be a good deal for both teams.
Uh, you misspelled Robinson Cano.
Hill is probably more like .265/.350/.340 if his back's sound, which still wouldn't get you jumping-for-joy from a starting 2B.
I'm not a Cano for the hall of fame guy but Cano still falls into the "clearly better" camp.
Yeah, my bad, I misread your post and jumped on the chance to bring up Cano because I'm a fool. Sorry.
Willing to lay a bet that Marte outhits Kouz this year..
As for first base, the Indians will get along fine with Garko/Martinez. Andrew Brown OTOH might end up having a fine season in SD, esp with Bud Black there now..
You can't say all he has done is hit in the minors, and then in the next line try to explain why he didn't hit in the minors last year.
If he was offered a starting job, I'd bet you he'd re-sign in an instant.
Actually, I forgot he was a free agent (I thought he was still on the 40-man for some reason).
I'm in an NL only auction league based in Philadelphia. I cleaned up this year by playing Dan Uggla at 2B for $1. For next year:
1. Chase Utley will be far and away the best NL 2B, and will go for the most money. Since it's a Philadelphia-based league, I would have to pay a whole lot more than he is worth to get him though. (This was an advantage when other players would overpay for David Bell, but hurts now that Philadelphia actually has good players.)
2. With Utley unattainable, I was targeting Barfield as a potential sleeper who was probably better than his 2006 numbers, and could improve. But, now he's out of the league and unavailable. So . . .
Q1: Who is the second best (after Utley) Roto 2B in the NL for 2007?
Q2: Who is a good NL 2B sleeper to target if I can't afford either Utley or the answer to Q1?
sleeper hmm : castillo has some pop. biggio is not bad for a 5x5. will give you some homers and steals.
Do the Cubs have a second baseman? :)
Q2: Hudson?
-- MWE
I was going to say second best is going to be Giles if he can stay healthy...
or how about the guy who was 2nd best in 2006? Brandon Phillips?
or 3rd best Ray Durham?
Weeks was having a real good season and is only going to improve.
think he is capable of 20 HRs, 20 steals and 100 runs next year
Philips might get an edge because of his ballpark, but if they trade Dunn ( and with Kearns gone ), that lineup might be sucky
My initial thoughts, open to revision, were:
Q1: Giles (but only if he doesn't get traded to SD)
Q2: Aybar (but only if Giles does get traded to SD)
I overpaid for Kent this year, and am leary about Weeks's injury risk.
Brandon Phillips may have been 2nd best in 2006, but I would consider him over-rated and due for a decline in 2007. His minor league numbers just didn't predict his 2006 performance. (which doesn't mean that he might not still be among the best after a decline, just that he wouldn't be worth what I'd pay for him).
It's maybe 50/50 whether Castillo is going to be traded this offseason, and if he isn't, he's probably not going to go into the year with an everyday job (the Bucs will go with Bautista at 3B and Sanchez at 2B). Don't waste the money/pick there.
Depending on your GP threshold, the second-best guy might be Bill Hall (4 games at 2B). If that's not enough PT, it's probably one of Weeks, Phillips, or Uggla. Maybe Kent or Giles, if you want to bet on a rebound.
For sleepers, there's a chance your league guys will forget that Freddy Sanchez has 24 GP at 2B and bid him like he's a pure 3B (where he'd be no better than 8th or so). He's really just a one-category guy (BA), though, and probably going to fall back about 40 points. For a stab at $1-$2 lightning, maybe Willy Aybar, Wilson Betemit, or Kevin Frandsen? There's also the option of taking a FA like Durham or Kennedy and hoping that he signs into a good situation.
His recent numbers don't back it up, but it's pretty well in line with what he did from '99-'02 (and to a certain extent '04 as well). Less predictive value to the old numbers, I know, but worth keeping in mind anyway.
I think Barfield is a K-Mart Soriano (though not as dreadful at 2B). Everyone'll think he's better than he is because roto folks like will rave over his 20/20 counting stats. Too lazy to look it up, but boy did Barfield seem to be awfully streaky. Seems like there were entire months where he went hitless.
I also think it will be a win/win situation for both teams IF the Pads get Giles or someone at least as good as J-Barf to play 2nd and if Kouz doesn't get hurt.
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