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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen
Tuesday, July 31, 2007
Red Sox - Acquired Gagne
Boston Red Sox - Acquired P Eric Gagne from the Texas Rangers for OF David Murphy, P Kason Gabbard, and OF Engel Beltre.Gagne's arm could still come off at any time and he's not really pitching quite as well as he did in those 82.1-inning seasons, but he's been solid for the Rangers and gives the Red Sox a really pretty top-of-the-bullpen for the playoffs. David Murphy has his uses and should be a good role player in the outfield for the Rangers the next few years, but he's stretched as a starter and the Sox clearly prefer Jacoby Ellsbury. Kason Gabbard had a nice ERA for the Sox, but realistically, he's filler in the long-term, not a mid-rotation starter. Beltre was signed by the Red Sox for about half a million and is considered a toolsy prospect, but at 17 and a little play in the GCL, it's a long-term wait-and-see for the Rangers. Still, while the Rangers haven't picked up A prospect in all their trades, they've picked up enough guys with upside that you would think at least 1 or 2 would pan out an dbecome something more.
2007 ZiPS Projection - Eric Gagne ----------------------------------------------------------------- Period W L G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA ----------------------------------------------------------------- Actual 2007* 2 0 34 0 33.1 23 8 2 12 29 2.16 Rest of 2007 2 0 19 0 20.0 16 6 1 6 22 2.70 ----------------------------------------------------------------- 2007 Total 4 0 53 0 53.1 39 14 3 18 51 2.70 2008 3 1 49 0 48.0 41 16 3 15 44 3.00 ----------------------------------------------------------------- * - Includes minor league translation, if applicable. Top Comp - Trevor Hoffman
2007 ZiPS Projection - Kason Gabbard ----------------------------------------------------------------- Period W L G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA ----------------------------------------------------------------- Actual 2007* 8 5 21 21 113.0 103 55 15 45 72 4.38 Rest of 2007 3 4 10 10 52.0 55 31 8 24 33 5.37 ----------------------------------------------------------------- 2008 9 13 31 29 159.0 170 94 24 73 103 5.32 ----------------------------------------------------------------- * - Includes minor league translation, if applicable. Top Comp - Bob Hendley
2007 In-Season ZiPS Projection - David Murphy ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Period AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB BA OBP SLG ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Actual 2007* 390 37 101 22 5 6 39 31 64 5 .259 .315 .387 Rest of 2007 191 23 48 12 2 4 22 16 32 2 .251 .312 .398 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 2008 574 80 164 31 5 11 64 42 85 6 .259 .316 .405 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- * - Includes minor league translation, if applicable. Top Comp - Marvell Wynne
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I don't like making trades with that kind of rationale, but (a) I can't deny that value exists, and (b) I'm not in the business of making trades.
He was type A before this season when Elias looked only at those 15.3 IP, though, and Theo was explicit in saying the Red Sox think Gagne will be a type A, fwiw.
yeah.
you forgot (c) gagne's still an excellent relief pitcher that can pitch high leverage innings for the red sox in october.
I think that adding legit stars is always the right thing to do, especially when you're a huge favorite to make the postseason. I like the trade whether Gagne is a Type C, B, or A.
Though, to reiterate, Theo specifically said at the press conference that they were particularly interested in the trade because they would get two high draft picks next June if/when Gagne left. He was certain Gagne would be a Type A. I don't know if it was spin, but Theo isn't much for spin - he usually just refuses to say anything. On the extremely rare occasions that he makes a substantive, refutable statement, I take it as what he truly believes.
i don't think that comes as a surprise, though.
Injury to Papelbon is pretty much the only scenario in which the Red Sox would bid on Gagne, and even then I doubt it.
Was that:
(a) written before knowledge of the Teixeira trade?
(b) a comment that Salty is not an A prospect?
(c) a comment that Salty is sufficiently established to no longer be a "prospect"?
the only one that makes sense to me is (a).
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