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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Friday, July 10, 2009

Royals - Acquired Nothing

Kansas City Royals - Acquired Nothing from the Seattle Mariners for P Daniel Cortes, P Derrick Saito, and the right to not have IF Yuniesky Betancourt on the team.

The Royals clearly overpaid here. 28 other teams have also acquired the rights to not have Yuniesky Betancourt play for the teams and none of them had to give up any prospects. Betancourt will continue to not field or not hit for the Royals and push the team into having a de facto 24-man roster. If the Royals wanted to continue to recall positive aspects of the 80s, a process they started with the return of powder blue in the alternate jerseys, they should've signed Kurt Stillwell, who is probably a better player right now.

Derrick Saito's the throw-in here, a future organizational player that'll spend a lot of time in AA ball in 9-1 routs. Cortes is the prospect and while his stock has fallen considerably recently, he's still got the big fastball and hasn't yet failed after a move to reliever, a crucial element to calling a hard-throwing prospect toasted.


2009 ZIPS Projection - Yuniesky Betancourt
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                AB    R    H  2B  3B  HR  RBI   BB   SO  SB   BA  OBP  SLG
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year-to-Date   224   15   56  10   1   2   22   10   18   3 .250 .278 .330
Rest-of-Year   249   27   70  16   1   3   28    8   18   3 .282 .304 .391
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total          473   42  126  26   2   5   50   18   36   6 .267 .292 .362

Year-to-date totals include minor-league translations, if applicable.
Dan Szymborski Posted: July 10, 2009 at 05:21 PM | 34 comment(s)
  Related News: Kansas CitySeattle

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   1. Pl Msrkwks  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 04:59 PM (#3249368)
One positive: Yuniesky Betancourt is a better player than Tony Pena Jr.
   2. Crispix Attacks is in the best shape of his life.  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 05:08 PM (#3249384)
The Pirates and Royals are both consistently remembering "buy low, sell high" over the last couple years. And I like it, but buying a D+ player at the price of a D- player is probably still a bad move.
   3. Swedish Chef  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 05:18 PM (#3249418)
Another positive: It's not the worst trade today.
   4. greenback  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 05:21 PM (#3249426)
Where's the Francoeur thread? I want me some self-immolation.
   5. Jimmy P  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 05:21 PM (#3249427)
One positive: Yuniesky Betancourt is a better player than Tony Pena Jr.

This is debatable. Seriously, it is.
   6. JoeHova  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 05:23 PM (#3249435)
It's hard to understand why the Royals would do this, even if Seattle is picking up all of Yuni's salary (I don't know how much of it they're picking up).
   7. The Buddy Biancalana Hit Counter  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 05:26 PM (#3249445)
It's hard to understand why the Royals would do this...

Ironic nostalgia for Angel Berroa?
   8. Joshua Gibsons Ruth (Voxter)  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 05:30 PM (#3249461)
Betancourt used to be a player who inspired a certain amount of lunacy from Mariners fans. That's a thread from two years ago in which David Cameron says he wouldn't trade Betancourt for Carlos Guillen, calls a comparison of Betancourt to Jason Bartlett "a joke", and says that Mariners fans "know better" than the various defensive metrics that show him to be a lousy fielder. For incorrect and intemperate prognostication, you can't get a hell of a lot better than that.
   9. davoarid in MN  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 06:00 PM (#3249556)
That's a thread from two years ago in which David Cameron (...) calls a comparison of Betancourt to Jason Bartlett "a joke"
It is!!!
   10. Dewitty_Pun  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 06:03 PM (#3249569)
Derrick Saito is in AA ball? I remember when he was a Cal Poly Mustang.
   11. SJ and the pants of freedom.  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 06:25 PM (#3249617)
I guess I should have nominated Cano in the most overrated prospect thread the other day. That he still gets talked up as some kind of top prospect (not pointing at John here, by the way) amazes me.

I've seen Cano play a lot, and I'm not even sure he'd be a productive Triple-A player. Let's start with his defense; it's brutal. He has terrible footwork and simply lacks any kind of instincts around the bag. There's no way you want him playing up the middle. He might have the raw speed to not be awful in left field, but that's about as kind as I can be regarding his glovework. Offensively, he's a fastball hitter. He sits dead red on every pitch and waits for a mistake. Any good breaking ball or offspeed pitch will have him out in front. He's mostly a gap hitter, lacking the power to drive the ball consistently over the wall. To add insult to injury, he's also a terrible baserunner.

In his prime, I think he could hit .280/.320/.400 while playing awful defense. Yipee.


David Cameron, February 20, 2005

Is it fair to pick out random comments on minor leaguers from years back? Probably not, but its fun.
   12. JoeHova  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 06:54 PM (#3249670)
Speaking of that thread, what happened to Eric Duncan? I remember that I used to be jealous that the Yankees had him. A .644 career AAA OPS? That's not what I (nor the Yankees, I'm sure) envisioned.
   13. JoeHova  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 07:05 PM (#3249690)
The quotes in this article are priceless. Suffice to say that former Mariners Willie Bloomquist, Jose Guillen, and Gil Meche are very impressed with the acquisition of Betancourt.

Bloomquist:
“Wow! Really? He’s very, very talented to the point where — and I’ve told him this — he could be the best defensive shortstop in the game hands down. And offensively, he can swing it.”
...
“It makes me smile that we got him. He’s going to help.”

Guillen:
“For two minor-league pitchers? Are you serious? How weird is that? I’m totally surprised. That’s all I can tell you. I’m shocked. That kid is pretty darn good.”

Meche:
“He’s pretty darn good. He’s fun to play with. I can tell you that pitching against him - he’s not an easy guy to pitch to. He’s got some pop. And as far as playing shortstop, he’s one of the best I’ve seen. He makes tough plays look really easy.”
   14. willcarrollsux  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 07:09 PM (#3249699)
Papelbon is essentially the Red Sox version of Clint Nageotte. Power pitcher without a good offspeed pitch, low to mid 90s fastball, lots of scouts prefer as a reliever. Papelbon has slightly better command, but Nageotte showed some groundball dominance this year, so those can essentially cancel each other out. Would you trade Jeremy Reed for another Clint Nageotte?


--Cameron, Dec 29, 2005
   15. STEAGLES came to play  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 07:19 PM (#3249718)
this thread sucks.
   16. Danny  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 07:20 PM (#3249719)
From Cameron in the link in #8:

In terms of the total package (offensive and defensive contributions, as well as contract), how would you rank YB among current shortstops?

Contract is a big part of it. He’s essentially a league average shortstop who won’t make any real money for a couple of years, and that’s really valuable. In terms of trade value, without looking into it with too much depth, Betancourt would rank behind Jose Reyes, Stephen Drew, and Hanley Ramirez among major league shortstops, and that’s about it.

Um, wow.
   17. Baseballs Most Beloved Figure  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 09:31 PM (#3249910)
Maybe that should be the Royals marketing slogan for the rest of the season, "Offensively, they can swing it!”
   18. The Buddy Biancalana Hit Counter  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 10:16 PM (#3249928)
I'll let Trey Hillman explain the reasoning behind the trade:
"It gives up the latitude to have Betancourt at short."
   19. RollingWave  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 10:49 PM (#3249943)
to be fair, Cano has hit better than his minor league # suggest. sometimes age and league context in the minors is very hard to read properly

As for Eric Duncan, not sure, seems like the Yankees messed his swing up and some injuries also hasn't helped. then again, they also changed Austin Jackson's swing and it seems to be working so far.
   20. Justin T  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 10:59 PM (#3249949)
These wiseass TOs make me sick!
   21. Dayton Moore is a Big Fat Idiot (AG#1F)  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 11:04 PM (#3249953)
One positive: Yuniesky Betancourt is a better player than Tony Pena Jr.

WAR: Tony Pena Jr. -0.6, Yuniesky Betancourt -0.8

Once upon a time Angel Berroa won Rookie of the Year. Allard Baird handed him a long-term deal and Angel became a lazy player who didn't hustle, played awful defense, swung at everything and had negative value. Royals fans lamented "please get us a guy that can at least field - we don't care how bad he hits, because nothing can be worse than watching Angel Berroa play!"

So Dayton acquires Tony Pena Jr., a glove man who can't hit. And Royals fans lamented "please get us a guy that can at least hit - we don't care how bad he fields, because nothing can be worse than watching Tony Pena Jr. play!"

Now Dayton acquires Yuniesky Betancourt, a shortstop with a long-term deal who doesn't hustle, plays awful defense, swings at everything and has negative value.

Ah, the circle of suckitude.
   22. frannyzoo  Posted: July 10, 2009 at 11:44 PM (#3249984)
These wiseass TOs make me yearn for more stupid transactions. Thankfully there are plenty of current GMs who seem to feel the same way.
   23. MM1f  Posted: July 11, 2009 at 12:15 AM (#3250000)
Wow.

Did Saito run over your dog?

He signed for 100k+ just last year. That is 7th-8th round money, the same kind of cash that a high-profile guy like Cole St. Clair got. He is an inconsistent 5-foot9 low-A reliever but he is still just 21, his fastball is in the low 90s, his breaker can be good and he K/BB rates have been great. Also, he is a lefty

He isn't great, but he has a future and youre making him out to be nothing
   24. bookbook  Posted: July 11, 2009 at 12:29 AM (#3250002)
Criticizing David Cameron's overstatements is one of my fave pastimes as well, but in all fairness he did look like a league averagish contributor for awhile there at the beginning. (Yuni, I mean. Dave's an all-star, of course.)

I must confess I myself thought at one time that Joel Pineiro had the stuff (mental and physical) to be an ace pitcher. (Ryan "Chef" Anderson, Gil "Paper" Meche, Pineiro, Nageotte: The M's are the new Atlanta Braves!!!)
   25. El Hombre Triple MVP (Alex)  Posted: July 11, 2009 at 02:25 AM (#3250028)
Well, hey, Piniero does lead the majors in groundball percentage and is rocking a 131 ERA+.
   26. Biff uses the power of mental thinking  Posted: July 11, 2009 at 04:29 AM (#3250036)
The quotes from those Royals players are hilarious.
   27. bookbook  Posted: July 11, 2009 at 07:26 AM (#3250051)
Yes. El Hombre. Yet the first decade of Pineiro's MLB career bears less resemblance than he'd like to Mike Mussina's.
   28. Der_K 2  Posted: July 11, 2009 at 09:34 AM (#3250110)
Did Saito run over your dog?
I'm w/ MM1F - Saito's interesting, though I don't think he'll pan out.
   29. Dayton Moore is a Big Fat Idiot (AG#1F)  Posted: July 11, 2009 at 11:32 AM (#3250186)
Saito has a non-zero chance of being a decent LOOGY. He alone is way too much for Betancourt. Throw in a promising arm with command issues like Cortes and this is "Jermaine Dye for Neifi Perez" territory.
   30. Dan Szymborski  Posted: July 11, 2009 at 12:22 PM (#3250212)
Saito's interesting, but if I had a dollar for every hard-throwing reliever pitching well in low-A ball that stalled up on the ladder, I'd be able to hire someone to punch Omar Minaya in the face every time Jeff Francoeur flailed wildly at ball one.
   31. Raskolnikov  Posted: July 11, 2009 at 12:25 PM (#3250213)
Dan, didn't think you cared enough about the Mets to be violently emotional about Minaya.
   32. Dan Szymborski  Posted: July 11, 2009 at 12:34 PM (#3250221)
I don't, but Dial's a friend of mine and my readership has a lot of Mets fans, so I want to help them out now that I don't want to murder Oriole management on a daily basis.
   33. 1k5v3L, Useless  Posted: July 11, 2009 at 12:48 PM (#3250233)
Not sure if this was linked here in some thread, but a great rant by Joe Posnanski.
   34. Brandon in MO (Fire Trey Hillman)  Posted: July 11, 2009 at 01:47 PM (#3250283)
WAR: Tony Pena Jr. -0.6, Yuniesky Betancourt -0.8


then again, wouldn't Pena only playing in 46 games and not having 50 PA kind of reduce his total there?

TPJ was -1.3 in 2008 with -29.9 batting value. Betancourt was 0.3 in 2008 with a -11.5 batting value.

So, in theory, Betancourt is 2 times better than Pena with a bat, and 3 times better overall.
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