User Comments, Suggestions, or Complaints | Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Advertising
Vivid Seats is a sports ticket broker, concert ticket broker and theater ticket broker offering the best baseball tickets like Yankees tickets, Cubs tickets, and Red Sox tickets, as well as Police reunion tour tickets and Jersey Boys tickets. |
We have baseball tickets, the NFL schedule, college football tickets and Cowboys tickets. We have NBA tickets like Celtics tickets and Lakers tickets. Plus, buy Giants tickets, Patriots tickets and Colts tickets. Also check out our MLB baseball schedule |
Concerts Theatre NFL Angels Dodgers MLB Celtics Theater NBA Tickets Venues NHL Lakers Tickets NFL Yankees NHL Phillies NBA Wicked Marlins MLB Concerts Cubs Mets Red Sox Wicked WWE Red Sox Mets Yankees Dodgers |
Page rendered in 0.8356 seconds
62 querie(s) executed


Reader Comments and Retorts
Go to end of page
Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.
A boatload of primates from here could do a lot better.
Why don't baseball owners just hire a few primates for 06?
Isn't Jose Cruz jr a free agent, or is he still on the 2nd year of one of those 2/6 contracts from last season (most of whom i'd rather have than dye, and that's for less money).
More evidence that KW doesn't understand the concept of marginal value over replacement level. Why not just give Gload the job full-time? Even with his defensive limitations, there's no way that Dye provides ~$4.5M more value than Gload.
One last thought: the Dye signing is yet another reminder of how ill-advised the Freddy Garcia trade was. Jeremy Reed could have provided superior production for the league minimum over the life of this contract.
Fourth place, fourth place, clap clap clapclapclap.
What I'm going to do is keep a running tally of how much the Sox are paying mediocre players next year, and when the offseason's done, compare that to what Magglio would have gotten in arbitration. Should be interesting.
The Sox have five players for four positions:
Frank Thomas
Paul Konerko
Jermaine Dye
Carlos Lee
Carl Everett
None of these five can move any further right on the defensive spectrum past RF. Either one's going to the bench, or one's traded.
I'm banking on "goodbye, El Caballo."
The premise of this question misses a critical point to understanding player valuation: no player at the weak end of the defensive spectrum is worth signing to a $5M per year contract.
Not even Barry Bonds?
It gives the feeling of aggressiveness after losing Magglio. What if we still had Reed, and chose to start him in RF at this juncture?
Even if it's the smart move, it looks weak and passive. Reinsdorf wants to look like a go-getter. That's why he overpaid.
I guess it could have been worse.
I must be misunderstanding you.
True, Gload is cheaper, but he is also a worse player. If you want the Sox to contend for the division next year they are going to need to get their wins from some position. Where are they going to offset the drop-off in RF if Gload is starting? And you can't say "Just sign Beltre" since I think there may be other teams involved in that bidding process as well.
The Sox have five players for four positions:
Frank Thomas
Paul Konerko
Jermaine Dye
Carlos Lee
Carl Everett
None of these five can move any further right on the defensive spectrum past RF. Either one's going to the bench, or one's traded.
I'm banking on "goodbye, El Caballo."
Buford -
I can't speak for anything terribly recent, but I do know that when Dino-Man was with the Rangers, he was stationed in center a few times. I don't see why he couldn't play there once or twice a week for the Pale Hose, preferably behind a ground-ball pitcher.
If you want an inconsistent hitter but great RF, why not sign Hidalgo?
I think Hidalgo will receive more than $9 mill/2 years, but I could be wrong.
Yeah, but I hope to hell that Rowand isn't benched for such purposes.
If they bench Aaron for some Jurassic CF action, (which I have been exposed to, quite a bit,) I might as well kill myself.
That's a good point.
I think Everett is overkill. Gload is really enough of a security blanket, and is a player that is acceptable to bench, if need be.
...The Sox aren't the team to put a highly-paid player on the bench. See the Royce Clayton fiasco for anecdotal evidence....
Gload is a terrible outfielder. Offensively, I think he is a decent platoon player. If the Sox trade Konerko, I wouldn't have a big problem with Gload and a platoon partner handling first. If that's the savings they need to sign Clement or Odalis Perez, I could live with that. Gload looked adequate or better at first defensively.
I'm desperately hoping that Timo Perez is not one of the backup outfielders next year, though I'm worried that they like his intangibles. Timo makes my stomach turn.
Rowand
Uribe
Thomas
Lee
Konerko
Dye
Davis
Crede
Harris
Now if only we can get Placido Polanco to play everday and platoon Willie and Crede.
Reed is already better than Borchard will ever be.
I guess the best part of this deal is that it ensures another season in Charlotte for Borchard.
I must be misunderstanding you.
I posted without really finishing the thought. Obviously the elite 1B/LF/RF/DHs are worth $10M+. But, in terms of value, there isn't a continuum between replacement-level hitters for those positions and the elite. In other words, there's an absence of a "middle class" in terms of value.
The types of hitters who wind up signing $5M per year deals are guys who are clearly not elite, but slightly better than replacement-level. Whatever team signs them almost invariably suffers a winner's curse. In terms of yielding a good return on investment, these guys are losers.
Stocking a team with expensive, nonelite hitters at the weak end of the defensive spectrum is a recipe for mediocrity. The signing is particularly unsound considering that the team is not lacking for internal options. While Dye is a better player than Gload, it's a marginal difference of only a win or two. Paying $4.75M more for that extra win is foolish.
Sure the Sox have too many righthanded power hitting basecloggers. But, given that or lefthanded, poor hitting, bad fielding outfielders, Dye isn't a bad option.
Also, UZR shows him still being quite good with the glove in RF -- he led the AL with a +14/150 last year.
Of course, the thumb injury also goes to his general expectation of health, but if he stays healthy he could definitely exceed that projection. Including defense, that's an above-average RF, which I believe is worth more than $5M/year.
Yes, but you have a guy on the roster for the league minimum (Gload) who's worth 1.5 wins above-replacement. Is 1.5 wins really worth the $4.5M?
1) It's a good PR move.
2) It would be a very good move, if the Sox roster wasn't overfilled in these areas already.
Dye certainly got a lot of mileage out of his few good years and 'potential' tag.
Oh come on now, you KNOW it's going to be Russ Ortiz for 3 years and $30 million! He eats innings! KDub loves that!
This signing is blah. Not great. Not horrible. Blah.
I have no idea why the Sox are so gung ho on trading Konerko.
Gload's below average defensively, but he's not Jack Cust. How many runs do you think he gives up on defense compared to a leauge average RFer?
I'm not gung-ho to trade Konerko, but his value is pretty high right now. He's coming off a season where he put up big counting stats and he's only signed for 2005, so he doesn't have contract issues. If trading him: a) brings back players to fill other holes/prospects and b) gives them some flexibility to sign Clement, I'm all for it.
It doesn't if you just divide, but there are other factors as well. Firstly, it presumably strengthens their bench by pushing Gload there. I don't know if the Sox have a particularly good or deep bench and it's possible that he's merely pushing another good player off, but if he's not, then he could easily put up another half-win or so's marginal value off the bench.
Also, the Sox seem fairly set at their other positions... as noted, they already have a DH, 1B, LF, CF, 3B (Crede), SS (Uribe), 2B (Harris) and C (Harris). In the rotation, they already have Buerhle, Contreras, Garcia and Garland. In the pen, they have Marte, Politte, Hermanson and Takatsu.
It seems to me like the only other positions where a significant upgrade could be provided would be C, 2B and SP. As for catchers, the ones clearly better than Ben Davis would probably be Miller (who got $7 million per year for 2 years) and Varitek (likely to be massively overpaid in terms of years and dollars). In terms of 2B, we're talking about the heavily pursued Polanco, then the likes of Tony "2 years/$4 million" Womack. Todd Walker signed a reasonable deal, but he signed before the Sox had a crack at him. And the SP market has thus far been overpriced.
Actually, the part of the deal that I think doesn't make sense is this: why would they sign an extra OF given they already have Everett, Rowand, Thomas, Konerko and Lee? That seems like a full house to me. There are only two scenarios I could see where the deal would make sense from that angle: 1) Thomas' injury is worse than has been reported and there's a good chance he'll miss significant time. 2) They are close to a deal for Lee, Konerko or Everett.
: )
If Thomas is healthy he will be getting ALL of the DH at bats and rightfully so.
Lee's getting moved for a SP or 2B/3B. That's the only thing that makes a lick of sense here.
I don't know about VORP, but he had a league-average year at the bat last year, in a position that should be above-average (and for which there are a lot of replacement options). Add questions about his ability to stay healthy.
Win Shares has him less than a win above replacement (using 65% replacement level).
Sardonic, if you're talking about Damian Miller, he's getting $3 million a year. FYI.
He's a below avarege hitter for the position, with maybe but maybe average defense and below average baserunning.
An average player with health concerns isn't worth a 10m committment.
So it's crystal clear that UZR is way off and your personal observation is correct?
I did enjoy watching you defend the Percival signing -- and while I wouldn't take that position, it is defensible. But imagine having to do that with a GM who gets bashed no matter he does.
Well, I saw him give up three runs in two innings against the Cubs because he was allergic to routine flyballs.
So it's crystal clear that UZR is way off and your personal observation is correct?
Yes. I have little doubt for the vast majority of player UZR does a very reasonable job of reflecting defensive ability. In Dye's case it doesn't hold water. He didn't move latterally well at all, specificly when going towards the line - a lot more balls made the gap than they should have.
But Danny I realize that can't be, because I'm talking "down" on the Great Jermaine Dye, the man your god gave INSANE dollar amounts too.
I love UZR, but it's only a tool. I'd use it to complement personal observations. And I'd pick personal observations over one-year UZR's (if I had to choose).
Thumbs down.
How many times did you watch Dye play this year? On TV?
But Danny I realize that can't be, because I'm talking "down" on the Great Jermaine Dye, the man your god gave INSANE dollar amounts too.
I always defend the Dye signing. It was brilliant, but it just didn't work out...
Give me a break. I've listed the Dye signing as, by far, Beane's worst mistake dozens of times on Primer.
If you're going to make an arrogantly definitive statement about a player's defense, you should at least expect to have to explain your reasoning.
Yes, but would you say that your personal observation makes it "CRYSTAL clear" that UZR is wrong? And UZR has rated Dye as good for several years, not just one.
I thought that he did, Danny. To wit:
He didn't move latterally well at all, specificly when going towards the line - a lot more balls made the gap than they should have.
I don't know how true it is, but I think I only watched a few A's games this year.
He'll kill that ZiPS projection.
Yes, he did, but then he scolded me for asking. There was no detail in the first post. FWIW, Dye was 3rd among MLB RF in ZR in 2004.
But I really don't get it. Dye is sorta Magglio Lite. What happened to Ozzieball? And if that lineup in #31 is accurate and it probably is ... ugh.
For god's sake Danny. You're doing that "the operation was a success but the patient died" thing again.
Really, this worship of Beane is really ridiculous. If Billy Beane dropped a nuclear device over San Francisco using the TransAmerica building as ground zero, you would come in and say that Beane had completed the first phase of urban renewal at no cost to the taxpayers.
As for Dye, I saw him live 11 times, and another 3-4 dozen on TV.
I saw him play far more often when he was in KC, when he was REALLY a great defesnive player.
I don't mean to pick on this post, but I think this is one of the worst signings so far this off-season:
His 2004 UZR was indeed good (again - as it was prior to 2002, before his leg injury) - +11. His projected UZR is +4, or a little above average. His batting has been no great shakes (albeit 2003 brought down his career average quite a bit), a little above the major league average, according to adjusted lwts. I have him projected at -2 (again per 150) in 2005, primarily because of age.
His peripherals are not good, however, and that is one reason why this is a terrible signing (why he doesn't have that much value). His baserunning is projected at -2, his arm in RF is projected at -1 and his GDP lwts is projected at -2, for a total of -5 in peripherals.
Anyway, overall, Superlwts has him projected at -10 in position adjusted runs above average, which is only 7 runs better than a replacement player. Granted, I think that may be a conservative projection, as his past injuries may have deflated many of those career totals.
However, even if his projection should be a little higher, once you include the potential for another serious injury and his age in general, this is still one of the worst signings of the off-season...
Those of you who say Gload is merely "below average" in right field haven't seen him play. He's the worst right fielder I've seen play on a semi-regular basis. In fact, it's hard to say that I've "seen" him play because whenever there's a fly ball to right, he isn't even in the picture. After about 10 seconds, when the ball starts dribbling to the warning track, you'll see a guy wearing a "Gload 26" jersey chasing after it.
It makes me think that he frequents the Bullpen Sports Bar in between pitches.
What would be a reasonable salary for Mr. Dye?
Please feel free to check with Beane's spreadsheet before answering.
It gets tiring to read post after post after post lambasting a team for signing a certain player. Can't anybody accept that few ballplayers will sign a 1 year/$1 million contract?
I'm sure if Beane re-signed Dye to a similar deal, it would be lauded similarly to Sir Theo's "low risk-high reward" contact with Mantei. There's more to a ballplayer than UZR ratings, DrIPS, or whatever spreadsheet specialty that Bombastic Billy James comes up with (after he's done with his lynch mob thingy).
Is someone in here risking a patient's life?
Beane has weapons of mass destruction?
Maybe we should have sent the 101st to the Bay area instead of the Gulf.
And without Reed, that trade never would have happened.
Is that really true? Didn't it come out that Seattle really wanted Crede instead, but KW didn't want to trade 2 everyday starters (even though Crede wasn't that good)? Not arguing here, just asking.
Big deal, Babe Ruth could make it across 35th Street to McCuddys and back between batters. And he wasnlt on steroids.
I think you're right about that. But at the time, the Sox were in the chase, and I fully understood (at the time) not giving up your fulltime third baseman. In hindsight.... Heck, perhaps they can just give Crede to the Mariners now as a holiday gift. Wouldn't it be a terrific surprise to see Crede actually post some good numbers next year? That would go a LONG way to helping this Sox club.
That kind of makes more sense, but wouldn't the Sox have preferred to keep Olivo over Crede? I would have. I just believe the 2 starting everyday players thing though (although Uribe could have finished the year at 3b).
Is anyone else surprised this show hasn't been cancelled yet? Not that its bad, I haven't seen it, but typically shows overhyped by FOX during the World Series tend to get axed by November (Skin, Girls Club, etc.)
Another reason to trade Reed instead of Crede was that the Sox have Brian Anderson, an outfielder who might be called up as soon as late summer. The Sox preferred his overall abilities (better runner, better arm, better defender, a little less OBP, but probably better power) to Reed's skill set. You can make a good case that even if Anderson is better than Reed, Reed is ready now and his on-base skills are something the Sox sorely lack. But I can also see a good case for thinking that Anderson will be a better player overall.
And for those that bemoan the Garcia/Reed trade, if the Sox didn't trade for Freddy, the current rotation would be Buehrle, Garland, Contreras, Schoeneweis, and Grilli.
If they wanted to blow a bunch of money on something, I think they could've probably gotten more bang for their buck dealing for Kendall.
Konerko will steal some of those. Unless they find a way to GIDP twice in the same inning. I wouldn't put it past them.
In fact, Beane has just as many nucular weapons as Saddam did. Its time somebody put a stop to him. Good job by Vlad and his army.
Damn pinko commies!
Ah yes, and "The OC" bucked the trend as well.
"Welcome to the OC, #####" was the "You're risking a patient's life!" of its day.
Who the what now?
Unless you're referring to our hypothetical deep-cover infiltration of Kendall. Which would be wrong, of course. And plausibly deniable.
I don't really want to infiltrate Kendall.
The key is to let someone else sign them to the stupid contract. Either someone else will sign him and get the ridicule or the player will make the rounds, find nobody is interested in him at his price, and have to come down in his demands.
Sorry Vlad, I didn't mean you. Unless you actually are the 2004 AL MVP who led an invasion of Oakland and occupied 1st place in the West.
"Welcome to the OC, ####" was the "You're risking a patient's life!" of its day.
That OC hype wasn't during the postseason though, since that show started before the baseball playoffs. 2003 "You're risking a patient's life!" was, of course "HIS FATHER IS THE DISTRICT ATTORNEY!"
If they're going to take on that kind of financial commitment for a pitcher, why not just sign Matt Clement? Konerko walks after 2005 anyway.
You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.
<< Back to main