Having said all of that I have had streaks of 12-15 of these tournaments out of the money, and have gone over 20 without winning one.

Then your not maximizing your return.  Either playing at a level too high for max returns or playing suboptimal strategy.

Baseball is not flipping a coin.  I coin flip doesn’t even reasonably simulate a playoff series or series of games.  Its far more complex than that.

sufficiently large number of hands you will be a winner if you are a better player.

Who cares?  These situations aren’t reality in baseball.  There are no 10,000 game sample sizes.

My final thoughts on the Braves streak and “underachieving” in the playoffs.

I guess it just annoys me a bit that very few people realize how amazing an accomplishment it is to win 14 consecutive division titles and have a team ERA in the top 3 in the league in virtually every one of those years.  They have overcome injuries, retooled, and within a reasonable payroll have achieved something truly amazing.

Based on the playoff stucture and the quality of opposition winning 3 titles would probably be about “par”  So if things had gone a bit better in 2 of the other 13 years we wouldn’t be having this discussion. 

The Cards had better win this year or they will soon also be called chokers and LaRussa will be called an overated manager again.

Having said all of that I have had streaks of 12-15 of these tournaments out of the money, and have gone over 20 without winning one.

Then your not maximizing your return.  Either playing at a level too high for max returns or playing suboptimal strategy.

Baseball is not flipping a coin.  I coin flip doesn’t even reasonably simulate a playoff series or series of games.  Its far more complex than that.

sufficiently large number of hands you will be a winner if you are a better player.

Who cares?  These situations aren’t reality in baseball.  There are no 10,000 game sample sizes.

My final thoughts on the Braves streak and “underachieving” in the playoffs.

I guess it just annoys me a bit that very few people realize how amazing an accomplishment it is to win 14 consecutive division titles and have a team ERA in the top 3 in the league in virtually every one of those years.  They have overcome injuries, retooled, and within a reasonable payroll have achieved something truly amazing.

Based on the playoff stucture and the quality of opposition winning 3 titles would probably be about “par”  So if things had gone a bit better in 2 of the other 13 years we wouldn’t be having this discussion. 

The Cards had better win this year or they will soon also be called chokers and LaRussa will be called an overated manager again.

My final thoughts on the Braves streak and “underachieving” in the playoffs.

I guess it just annoys me a bit that very few people realize how amazing an accomplishment it is to win 14 consecutive division titles and have a team ERA in the top 3 in the league in virtually every one of those years. They have overcome injuries, retooled, and within a reasonable payroll have achieved something truly amazing.

But again, nobody’s denigrating what the Braves have done.

We’re just not confusing it with what they haven’t done.

And a few of us heretics still don’t consider it comparable to winning the whole thing 4 times in 6 years, and getting to the playoffs 11 straight years as well.  That’s open to debate, I know, but it’s not exactly an unarguable point that division titles are the be-all and end-all of a definition of “dynasty.”  It’s a curious “dynasty” when your every year seems to end with being some other team’s stepping stone.

Daniel Negreannu is one of the best tournament poker players in the world. In this years WSOP

WSOP is very different than a 10 person sit and go style event.

Online like forums have never had a reasonable discussion on correct strategy for these events.  Likely because the incentives to discussing it costs you money.

For example any time anyone talks of pot odds in re: to a sit and go has no concept of correct play. Its also more often correct to fold a hand likely best in a sit and go, when it is rarely correct in ring.

Anyway I don’t give out free poker advice to people I don’t know.  But the Braves result has nothing to do with poker.

Sample size is an overrated term used in baseball analysis.  You have a defined time frame which you must succeed in.  Which makes comparisons to events with unlimited horizons futile.

Was Boyer even on the postseason roster?

Boyer was injured; that’s how Devine was able to be put on the roster in the first place (the infamous KRod exception).

—MWE

The only available pitchers for the Braves after the 16th were Devine, McBride, Smoltz, Sosa, and Horacio Ramirez (who would have started game 5). Houston had, at that point, an all RH-hitting lineup except for the switch-hitting Vizcaino (who is a better RH-hitter). It was logical for Cox to use Devine there.

—MWE

The only available pitchers for the Braves after the 16th were Devine, McBride, Smoltz, Sosa, and Horacio Ramirez (who would have started game 5). Houston had, at that point, an all RH-hitting lineup except for the switch-hitting Vizcaino (who is a better RH-hitter). It was logical for Cox to use Devine there.

—MWE

So you are saying that you have played a minimum of 2000 SNGs and have never had bad streaks like the ones I have described?

S+G only - roughly:
20 per week for 2 years.
15 per week for 2 years.
10 per week for 1 year.
5 per week for 1 year.

I did not money in 18 in a row once, in my first year, playing a format that paradise poker doesn’t support any more if I recall. With a very no understanding of game adjustments, re differences between tourney play with cash game play. In other words I was playing my ring game style in tourney which is a big money loser for even the best players (which i wasn’t, though I have been a winning player for 7 of the last 8 years), and never a losing 6 month period online.

I had similar steaks to what you described when playing prior to gaining a fundamental understanding I didn’t have prior. 

I did not money 10 in a row about 2.5 years ago. I shut down for 2 weeks and completely reviewed my game, and realized the poker beliefs I held through classic poker study: TTH simularion, DS &MM;, RGP, Super System ect… were completely misapplied in sit and goes with typical online opponents.  Since then in roughly 1,600 S+G I have not lost in 14 consectutive events. I do believe I might, but i don’t believe it would be as common as you referred to.

I f you haven’t yet, I would recommend reading Harrington.  I’ve only read vol.1, but even though it’s written mostly for multi table tournaments, it helped my SNG game quite a bit.
Also, if you haven’t checked it out I would highly recommend the message board on internettexasholdem.com.  Lots of good advice there.

Oh, good Lord!  I read and read and thought and comprehended and explored the further reading cited… and then I got to the end of the first page!  There are four pages?!  I give up.  You’ve all beaten me.