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Monday, December 20, 2004

MLB: Padres acquire outfielder Dave Roberts for Payton, Vazquez, minor leaguer and cash

GM Kevin Towers.....We are very pleased to bring not only a native San Diegan, but a key piece to Boston’s World Championship team in 2004. Roberts brings us a well needed table setter at the top of our lineup, along with tremendous range in the outfield to cover the spacious gaps at PETCO Park.

Thanks to Darren

Repoz Posted: December 20, 2004 at 10:27 PM | 49 comment(s)
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   1. Hendry's Wad of Cash (UCCF) Posted: December 20, 2004 at 11:36 PM (#1032790)
Not to point this out, but three players plus cash seems like a lot to give up for Dave Roberts.

Not that Jay Payton et al are much to write home about, but still.
   2. rLr Did Your Mother 'Cause She's Hot As A Baker Posted: December 20, 2004 at 11:39 PM (#1032798)
This is a joke article, right? Dave Roberts was most recently acquired for a Rule 5 draftee (drafted off the Padres roster, no less) and spent the majority of his time in Boston pinch running. No need to send multiple players and cash for him.
   3. Cowboy Popup Posted: December 20, 2004 at 11:39 PM (#1032800)
ARE YOU KIDDING? Towers got raped here. ####. Payton is a defensive superstar. Vazquez is one of the best utility infielders out there (I bet he puts up an OBP within 10 points of Renteria). And then a minor leaguer and Towers is paying them. FOR DAVE ROBERTS?!?!?! ####. Thank you Kevin. You ######.
   4. Darren Posted: December 20, 2004 at 11:45 PM (#1032807)
It does seem like a lot for just Roberts. But Roberts is a plus defender, a good hitter for a CF, and a plus baserunner. He's better than Payton. The other 2 make up the difference I suppose (Vazquez is supposedly lousy defensively).
   5. 1k5v3L Posted: December 20, 2004 at 11:47 PM (#1032812)
Now, this is a F-CKING A trade for Theo.
   6. Darren Posted: December 20, 2004 at 11:48 PM (#1032816)
How is it so great? The Sox got a worse CF (though better for their needs), a utility IF, and a C+/B- TNSTAAPP. They also probably took on a little cash. It looks pretty even to me.
   7. Mikαεl Posted: December 20, 2004 at 11:49 PM (#1032821)
Vazquez' UZRs suggest he'll never be a major league regular at any position. He would be an ok backup IF, but he's nothing special.

Jay Payton, as noted, is the King of UZR. Righty, some pop, great glove, absolutely perfect 4th OF for Boston. It's a small move, but I like it a lot.

Roberts' speed, defense, and just enough OBP shoulfd be a great match for the big ballpark in San Diego. I'll be rooting for him.
   8. Repoz Posted: December 20, 2004 at 11:50 PM (#1032823)
Roberts...At this point in my career, I need to continue to play and develop as a baseball player

hehe
   9. Srul Itza Posted: December 20, 2004 at 11:50 PM (#1032826)
Roberts is a bona fidee post season hero.

No price is too high for the intangibles he brings.
   10. 1k5v3L Posted: December 20, 2004 at 11:51 PM (#1032831)
Darren, I only said that because the Yankee fans on this thread appear truly pissed off. In all honesty, I'd rather have Payton over Roberts. But the Padres panicked when Payton went MIA in that huge park in SD and Freddy Guzman showed everyone he wasn't the second coming of Juan Pierre.
   11. Cowboy Popup Posted: December 20, 2004 at 11:52 PM (#1032833)
"But Roberts is a plus defender, a good hitter for a CF, and a plus baserunner."

Roberts seems to me like a player who gets overwhelmed when he plays full time. He thrived last year as a 4th outfielder and I think if he's removed from that role, he won't hit nearly as well. He also might not hit a single HR in Petco all year. Payton also has a higher career EQA (and had a good year in 03 (.275 EQA)) and is a better defender. I think Payton for Roberts would have been a fair trade, with the Red Sox getting the better end. This is awful.
   12. Repoz Posted: December 20, 2004 at 11:52 PM (#1032834)
Michael Kay..."If Dave Roberts hadn't stolen that base..."

He wouldn't be involved in a 3 for 1 deal.
   13. 1k5v3L Posted: December 20, 2004 at 11:54 PM (#1032839)
I agree with J#1F here. (See, we can agree on stuff.)
   14. Darren Posted: December 20, 2004 at 11:54 PM (#1032840)
But Payton makes tiwce what Roberts makes and Roberts has been a better hitter in recent years (I think). Plus the baserunning. I don't have UZR handy, so there may be a significant defensive difference that I'm missing.
   15. Urban Faber Posted: December 20, 2004 at 11:56 PM (#1032847)
I guess Kenny Williams (Carlos Lee) drove up the price on speed.
   16. 1k5v3L Posted: December 20, 2004 at 11:58 PM (#1032856)
Darren, the Padres are sending cash to BOS so the salaries are probably a wash. And I'd think that Payton is as good, if not better, as measured by UZR. I think Theo got a major steal here.
   17. Cowboy Popup Posted: December 21, 2004 at 12:01 AM (#1032865)
"I agree with J#1F here. (See, we can agree on stuff.)"

Absolutely, outside of our opinions on a particurlar player of course.

"But Payton makes tiwce what Roberts makes and Roberts has been a better hitter in recent years "

Well, recent year. Remember, Roberts blew in 03. Blew hard. Plus, the Sox are actually getting cash, from the Padres. That just seems silly to me.
   18. Srul Itza Posted: December 21, 2004 at 12:03 AM (#1032869)
Given that Cabrera just got 4 years, $32 Million from the Los Anaheim Angels, it is clear that Post Season Intangible Mojo is indeed a very valuable commodity.
   19. Mark Shirk (jsch) Posted: December 21, 2004 at 12:04 AM (#1032870)
Yeah, I don't understand why the PAdres gave up so much to get Roberts. At the same time, watching Jay Payton, I can't believe that he would be a defensive superstar. I usually trust UZR but damn.
   20. 1k5v3L Posted: December 21, 2004 at 12:08 AM (#1032876)
Absolutely, outside of our opinions on a particurlar player of course.

OK, I'll stop bad-mouthing John Rocker.
   21. Darren Posted: December 21, 2004 at 12:09 AM (#1032879)
I'm guessing the Sox are getting enough cash to make the two sides even, meaning their payroll is going up slightly.

EQAs by year:

Player 02 03 04
Roberts 276 246 273
Payton 280 275 251

It looks too close to call there. I'm a little suspicous because a lot of Payton's goodness has come in Coors.
   22. Der Komminsk-sar Posted: December 21, 2004 at 12:09 AM (#1032880)
"Vazquez is one of the best utility infielders out there (I bet he puts up an OBP within 10 points of Renteria)"
Whaaa? IIRC, he was outrighted to the minors last year - any team in baseball could have had him. I've got a soft spot for him, he's a smooth fielder, tries to get on base, and is a lefty stick in the middle infield - but he's not rangy, lacks power, and might not make the R-Sox bench.
   23. Darren Posted: December 21, 2004 at 12:11 AM (#1032886)
Um.

Ugh.
   24. Cowboy Popup Posted: December 21, 2004 at 12:12 AM (#1032890)
"OK, I'll stop bad-mouthing John Rocker."

HAHAHA, that was pretty funny.

"Whaaa? IIRC, he was outrighted to the minors last year - any team in baseball could have had him."

I was basing that more on his consecutive .340 OBP seasons then last year. I didn't realize he fell off the planet. Still I think the 850 abs in 02 and 03 is more indicative of his talent then his 100+ last year. I bet he rebounds nicely.
   25. Larry Bowa Posted: December 21, 2004 at 12:19 AM (#1032910)
Fellas,

Intangibles are worth 1.75-5.25 million/year, depending on the time and circumstances of the intagibleness. In this case, I would rate Roberts' intangible goodness at approximately 3.5 million/year given the magnitude of his intangible achievement in 2004. I see he has an IZR (Intangible Zone Rating) of 25.2, which is, of course, off the charts, which means King Theo got rooked by Big Daddy Towers.

If there was one base that needed to be stolen, and the weight of a franchise lay in the balance, I'd want Dave Roberts every time. That is an intangible worth having, because you just never know when that situation will pop up... but when it does, see, now you have your bases covered.

Brilliant... dare I say brilliantly sublime move here by Kevin Towers.

For those who are about to be intangible, I salute thee!

Your pal,
Larry
   26. Mikαεl Posted: December 21, 2004 at 12:24 AM (#1032921)
If there was one base that needed to be stolen, and the weight of a franchise lay in the balance, I'd want Dave Roberts every time.

I just watched the NESN DVD this evening.

That stolen base was totally awesome. If it were decreed that I should be forced to perform deviant sexual acts on a stolen base, I would choose that stolen base.
   27. Darren Posted: December 21, 2004 at 12:29 AM (#1032930)
It is so decreed!
   28. Harold Posted: December 21, 2004 at 12:36 AM (#1032943)
It's not really fair to say the Padres are sending cash as part of this deal; it's to offset Payton's $4M salary.

That said, I don't think that Roberts is better than Payton, but apparently Bochy and Towers do.

Vazquez is a terrific utility infielder. His raw number look OK, but look at his platoon splits: he's a 280/370/370 type against RHP. I think he slept with Bochy's wife, though, because Bochy does not trust him one bit and wanted him gone.
   29. Larry Bowa Posted: December 21, 2004 at 12:40 AM (#1032952)
Vinay,

I can't speak for Vazquez, but I can tell you I wouldn't sleep with Bochy's wife, and I sure as hell hope Vasquez has the ****ing sense to not do it, either.

Another intangible worth having: knowing which teammates' wife to sleep with.

Your pal,
Larry
   30. Gold Star for Robot Boy Posted: December 21, 2004 at 12:43 AM (#1032960)
Player 02 03 04
Roberts 276 246 273
Payton 280 275 251
   31. Gold Star for Robot Boy Posted: December 21, 2004 at 12:45 AM (#1032965)
Just wanted to see what would do.
Consider my curiousity sated.
   32. Darren Posted: December 21, 2004 at 12:47 AM (#1032968)
My had nice pretty spacing though.
   33. Aspiring One-Armed Economist (6 - 4 - 3) Posted: December 21, 2004 at 12:55 AM (#1032980)
Let's see...

Dave Roberts for Ramon Vazquez might make sense for the Padres.

Dave Roberts for Jay Payton with no cash transfers involved could make sense for the Padres.

Dave Roberts for some random pitching prospect would definitely make sense for the Padres.

Dave Roberts for all three plus cash to pay for Payton's bloated contract makes absolutely no sense for the Padres.

Kevin Towers is usually smarter than this, but I don't understand how this trade improves the Padres, talent-wise or financially. If he felt that he needed to get Payton's salary off the books, then maybe Vazquez and the prospect were necessary to grease the wheels. But sending the cash needed to equalize the deal is just plain nutty.
   34. Aspiring One-Armed Economist (6 - 4 - 3) Posted: December 21, 2004 at 12:58 AM (#1032987)
BTW, forgot to mention the obvious: great trade by Theo Epstein. He gets an outfielder who better suits his team's needs and a decent backup infielder, all without increasing his payroll. That perhaps doesn't mean as much for Boston as it does for other teams, but it's still pretty impressive.
   35. Mikαεl Posted: December 21, 2004 at 01:02 AM (#1032991)
It is so decreed!

Damn!

This is going to be really, really complicated - to execute and then to explain.
   36. Larry Bowa Posted: December 21, 2004 at 01:06 AM (#1033003)
It is so decreed!

Damn!

This is going to be really, really complicated - to execute and then to explain.


Intangibles always are. That's why you can't just look at WARP, ERA, TINSTAPP, JUGSTAPP, POP, or RBI. You need to look into a man's soul and see the depth of his intangibleness. Only then will true intangibility light your path to victory!
   37. Hey, it's what Johan uses (Matt) Posted: December 21, 2004 at 01:11 AM (#1033008)
Payton is a defensive superstar.

Payton is not a superstar.
   38. Cowboy Popup Posted: December 21, 2004 at 01:13 AM (#1033013)
UZR says Payton is one of the best defensive players in the leage, thats all I meant by calling him a defensive superstar. I didn't mean to imply that his overall game was at superstar status, just his level of defensive play.
   39. The Artist Posted: December 21, 2004 at 01:21 AM (#1033028)
Someday, the person behind Larry should unmask themselves- he is pure gold.
   40. Elevate Phil Coorey Later Posted: December 21, 2004 at 01:26 AM (#1033033)
That stolen base was totally awesome. If it were decreed that I should be forced to perform deviant sexual acts on a stolen base, I would choose that stolen base.


I watch it at least twice a week on my computer. The goods
   41. rembini06 Posted: December 21, 2004 at 01:44 AM (#1033061)
Another intangible worth having: knowing which teammates' wife to sleep with.

Where's John Brattain with an Anna Benson joke?

This thread's better than that other stupid Payton-Roberts thread.
   42. Aspiring One-Armed Economist (6 - 4 - 3) Posted: December 21, 2004 at 01:56 AM (#1033083)
UZR says Payton is one of the best defensive players in the leage, thats all I meant by calling him a defensive superstar. I didn't mean to imply that his overall game was at superstar status, just his level of defensive play.

Payton's among the top quartile of defensive centerfielders according to 2000-03 UZR, but I think calling him a "defensive superstar" is a bit of stretch. Very good defensive player is more apt, IMHO.
   43. Urban Faber Posted: December 21, 2004 at 01:57 AM (#1033088)
Most importantly, it means that three of the four guys in MLB history named Dave Roberts will have played for the Padres. The other one played in the sixties before the Padres existed but I have no doubt he would have as well.
   44. yb125 Posted: December 21, 2004 at 04:43 AM (#1033276)
This is a bad but noe unsurprising deal for the padres. KT once again got lost trying to fill what he thought was a hole (lead off hitter/defensive CF) and overpaid for a guy who'll likely disappoint. Roberts had a decent year with LA and that likely played into this. Anyways this doesn't hurt the padres too much but unless Roberts has a his carear year it won't help them.
   45. Edmundo Posted: December 21, 2004 at 09:28 AM (#1033326)
San Diego has to steal Philly Weatherman Dave Howard then. The added bonus is that he's the father of David Borneaieauneaiouz (The "Angel" Dude).
   46. RP Posted: December 21, 2004 at 09:44 AM (#1033332)
Is Payton the 4th OF, or did something happen to J. Damon that I'm not aware of?

Damn...I was really hoping the Orioles would go after Payton (esp. given how little the Red Sox paid for him).
   47. CrosbyBird Posted: December 21, 2004 at 03:34 PM (#1033959)
You folks should not forget that Jay Payton has perhaps the very worst baseball intelligence even seen on a diamond. He might be great defensively, but he's a lock for three boneheaded baserunning errors.
   48. I Love LA (OFF) Posted: December 21, 2004 at 03:39 PM (#1033971)
Wasn't Payton the guy who ran across the dimaond when trying to get back to 1b after a fly-out?
   49. Dr Love Posted: December 21, 2004 at 03:45 PM (#1033991)
San Diego has to steal Philly Weatherman Dave Howard then

??? I think you mean Roberts, not Howard.
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