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— Twenty-four, Twenty-five, Twenty-six.... ?

Monday, August 28, 2006

Catching Up

So it’s been a week since the Yankees swept Boston to start a 10-day, 11-game road trip.

What have we learned?

Well, we learned that West Coast trips are a biatch. And a cold, hard one at that. A 2-4 trip, a slumping A-Rod, Giambi being pulled from games due to what can only be described as exhaustion, Melky’s growing pains (in his mouth, not in his game) and in general a team that needed a day off more desperately than just about anything.

The Yankees’ only saving grace this past week is that Boston was also getting its lunch handed to it on the left coast, throwing up a similarly putrid 2-4 record. Good job gaining some of that ground back, fellas!

Speaking of that Boston series, while it was great and all, let’s not forget that Yankee pitching surrendered about five runs a game (a pace they bettered in Seattle and Anaheim, Los Angeles, ugh, Southern California). So while it was nice, life is not all wine and roses.

The Tigers come into to town having dropped seven of their last 10 games for a three-game set to start a six-game home stand that also features the scalding hot Twins. Now, odds are that the Bombers will face at least one of these teams in the postseason, so they need to really make the Stadium a fortress for the next week.

New York is just four games back of Detroit for home field advantage, and they could go a long way to securing it by taking two of three from the Motor City Kitties. The Tigers see the Yankees, Twins, Angels, Rangers and ChiSox between now and the end of the season; while as far as contenders go, New York sees just the Tigers, Twins and the Red Sox (although, at five games back in the wild card, they are just barely contenders).

If New York wins two of three, it would not be hard to see them pick up the remaining games between now and the end of September.

Some other random notes:

* Robby Cano has been pounding the bejeebus outta the ball since coming off the disabled list: .365/.389/.624 with four homers and 23 RBI in just 85 post-injury ABs. For giggles, take not that that Peoria fella has started his big league career with a sterling 2-for-18 with four whiffs and a single walk to his name. Remember, Cano started off slow, but Peoria will learn and grow from these struggles on his way to Cooperstown.

* If this is indeed Bernie’s last season, Sunday’s game versus Anaheim was a nice reminder of how good he was in his hey day.

* One of Joe Torre’s biggest strengths as manager has been putting guys in a position where they could be successful. Whether it was his management of the Cecil Fielder/Tino Martinez situation early in his tenure, or his effective early-career bullpen management, he’s been able to set guys up to succeed. This is an important management lesson.

However, I think in the last few days, he has not done that with regard to a certain Alex Rodriguez. For what its worth, A-Rod missed the game last Wednesday with what was called a throat infection. Torre in fact sent him back to the hotel because he looked so bad. Since that time, in one pinch hitting appearance and three starts, Alex has gone 1 for 16 with 11 whiffs and that one hit was just a single.

Now, I’m not a doctor, I don’t play one on TV, but throat infections don’t clear up overnight, and if Alex was sick enough on Wednesday to be sent away, he probably was not in game condition to play the last four days. To his credit, this hasn’t been trotted out as an explanation for the slump, but rather than let the tabs have their feeding frenzy, it would have been nice to, you know, let the guy get some OJ, chicken soup and bed rest. Just sayin’.

Oh, just to note, in A-Rod’s previous 15 ABs before the reported infection, he hit .267/.421/.533 and hit what would have been a game-winning homer had the ‘pen not gagged up the lead in the first Seattle game.

* And I guess I’m in the defending mood because I’m going to step up and stand with probably the only Yankee less beloved that A-Rod: Carl Pavano.

Pavano and GM Brian Cashman used the off day to explain the pulled muscle Carl felt after his last rehab outing in Columbus was actually soreness due to a couple cracked ribs Pavano suffered in an Aug. 15 car accident. Now, Pavano’s timing in disclosing the injury is stupid, but understandable. The world thinks you are made of glass, you are efforting a return to the bigs for the first time in 14 months, and you nick your ribs. If I were in that position, I’d probably shut my mouth and try to gut it out.

Now, some have suggested its time to cut bait on Pavano, I disagree and think he will contribute not next year, but this year.

Pavano pitched on Aug. 15, after the accident. In fact he threw four scoreless for the Tampa Yankees that day.

All in all, in three starts since the accident, Pavano’s numbers have been excellent: 14 innings (split nearly equally between A, AA and AAA), 12 hits, 2 walks, 15 Ks and four earned runs. That’s a 1.00 WHIP, a 2.57 ERA and a 9.64 K/9 – in other words good numbers. Especially if we’re grading on an injury curve.

Pavano’s scheduled to make a rehab start Wednesday in Durham against the AAA Devil Rays. Another solid turn and he could be in the Bronx after Sept. 1 (thus not requiring much roster gymnastics since he’s on the 15-day DL and the 40-man roster, he could just be activated after rosters expand).

With Mussina hurting, Pavano could step in and take a start from Jeff Karstens, who has done yeoman’s work in Moose’s stead for two starts. A few good performances could push Jaret “Five & Done” Wright to the bullpen… a great performance or two could force Cory Lidle out of the potential postseason rotation.

There are forces out there that want to see Pavano gone. He has clearly violated his contract by not disclosing the injury (so sayeth Peter Abraham and others), but I say don’t make a hasty, rash decision. There are those who say this is an ongoing trend with Carl, that he’s soft, that he’s not a True Yankee (whatever the hell that means). I say, he just may be snake bit, and even if you want to get rid of him, you need to pitch him to pump up his value for an off season trade.

I know this; at least I’m rooting for Pavano, for whatever that’s worth. I got a soft spot for him during his brief work for the Yanks last year, and I still think he could be a contributor.

* Speaking of injuries, nothing yet on Sheffield’s recovery, but he’s made noise about being back in September and needing to think about his future. My guess, we’ve seen the end of the Iron Sheff in pinstripes. Hideki Matsui has apparently graduated from hitting off a tee to soft toss. The next step, which could come as soon as this week, is live BP. With the minors effectively closing shop over the next two weeks or so, if Godzilla comes back, it likely will be without the benefit of a rehab start and my guess is it will be as the team’s DH. The problem a Matsui return poses the Yankees is it makes them pretty vulnerable to southpaws: Damon, Abreu, Giambi, Matsui and Cano are all lefty swingers. Not that they can’t handle them, but there are some good ones lurking among the playoff contenders (Santana, Liriano, Rogers, Zito and Buerhle). Not something to panic about, just food for thought.

Sean McNally Posted: August 28, 2006 at 11:57 PM | 31 comment(s)
  Related News: NY Yankees

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   1. Ignatius J. Reilly Posted: August 29, 2006 at 01:40 AM (#2159944)
Where is the Eric Duncan AA watch?
   2. Sean McNally Posted: August 29, 2006 at 09:32 AM (#2160081)
Because you asked...

Duncan's on the seven-day DL at Trenton, and on the season hitting .248/.355/.485 at AA with 15 doubles and 10 dingers in 206 ABs.

I'm not sure what's hobbled Duncan, but his last game played was Aug. 18.

He's also been moved back to third, which to me indicates maybe the organization has soured on him and feel he's a more tradeable commodity at the hot corner.

Also, his AA splits reveal an interesting little reverse platoon: vs. RHP Duncan's hitting .204/.329/.350, but vs. LHP he's hitting .333/.410/.754. It's probably a sample size fluke but it is interesting.

On the subject of the Trenton Thunder... check out what Mike A. had to say about Mr. Hughes at Baby Bombers:

The kid is scary good. Hughes will make one more start in August, and unless he lays an egg, his numbers this month will be unbe-frickin’-lievable. In 5 August starts he’s thrown 25 innings (damn workload limitations), and allowed only 2 earned runs. That figures out to a 0.72 ERA.

Wait, that’s not all. He’s racked up 35 K this month, 22 of which (62.9%) were of the swinging strike 3 variety. You think you can hit the kid, but deep down, you know you can’t.

Still not impressed? Well consider this: Hughes gave up only 8 H this month, which works out to a .098 batting average against. Oh-ninety-eight batting average against. For the math impaired, that means if Hughes faced 100 batters, less than 10 would get hits. Oh yeah, he only issued 6 free passes, meaning his WHIP for the month is 0.56.


It's time to move the kid up, either to Columbus or to the Bronx (just to watch and maybe throw so mop up), but he's proved all he needs to at the level he's at.
   3. flack Posted: August 29, 2006 at 09:59 AM (#2160111)
All good info, thanks -- but "efforting" as a verb?
   4. Sean McNally Posted: August 29, 2006 at 10:05 AM (#2160118)
Sure why not.
   5. flack Posted: August 29, 2006 at 10:22 AM (#2160141)
Because "effort" is a noun, not a verb.
   6. Sean McNally Posted: August 29, 2006 at 11:07 AM (#2160191)
Why do you have to label words?
   7. Cutter Posted: August 29, 2006 at 12:19 PM (#2160298)
Efforting has been used as a verb several times in my experience. I used to hear it a lot from Bernard on Imus in the Morning.
   8. Cutter Posted: August 29, 2006 at 12:20 PM (#2160300)
Oh, and Pavano should be covered in bubble-wrap until he is fully healed.
   9. JC in DC Posted: August 29, 2006 at 12:25 PM (#2160305)
I love Hughes, but wonder about bringing him up to AAA or the Yanks at all. Whoever comes up as a P, better expect to be used, b/c I'd like to see Proctor and Rivera's workloads decreased b/w now and the playoffs.

And all I care about Eric Duncan is that he shows enough in the minors to be trade bait.
   10. 洋基's Biggest Fan! Posted: August 29, 2006 at 12:26 PM (#2160308)
Eric Duncan's got a bad back, read somewhere he's not required to go under the knife for it, but will instead re-hab for the remainder of the AA season and get ready for the Arizona Fall league.
   11. JC in DC Posted: August 29, 2006 at 12:28 PM (#2160311)
To finish my thought re Hughes, why not let him end the year on a high note (in AA), knowing he's kicked ass, then bring him back in the Spring w/a fresh slate and chance to perform his way onto the rotation? I don't like the idea of one AAA start that could go poorly (for whatever reason) lingering in his mind over the winter.
   12. 洋基's Biggest Fan! Posted: August 29, 2006 at 12:28 PM (#2160312)
Oh, and I think it's a bulging disk in the lower back... which when you think about it, speaks pretty poorly for his future if the condition is a lingering one.
   13. TVerik Posted: August 29, 2006 at 12:33 PM (#2160320)
Oh, and I think it's a bulging disk in the lower back... which when you think about it, speaks pretty poorly for his future if the condition is a lingering one.

My massage therapist (I know, I know... LA DE DA!!!) tells me that like 75% of men over 30 in America have a bulging disc in the back somewhere. It's treatable by stretching - like a separated shoulder, once it goes, there's a greatly increased risk it can happen again. But lots of people live completely healthy lives with that condition. Given how baseball players run (and particularly) bat and pitch so much more than anyone else in the population, I wouldn't be surprised if virtually all major-leaguers could be diagnosed that way.

By the way, back surgery for a condition like that is high-risk, low-reward. I wouldn't advise a client to get it done if rest/rehab is a viable option.
   14. Mike Emeigh Posted: August 29, 2006 at 12:56 PM (#2160349)
Today's (semi-)heartwarming story:

Tim Battle is hitting .271/.332/.380 for Charleston, after flopping miserably in Tampa earlier. In August, he's hitting .307/.358/.446, and has fanned just 18 times in 105 PAs in the month. Maybe there's hope.

-- MWE
   15. b Posted: August 29, 2006 at 01:01 PM (#2160358)
I'd imagine that none of the guys in Trenton are going to move up until their playoffs are over if at all. There's probably something to be said for letting the team finish what it started as much as there is to say for getting a couple of low leverage IP in the majors.
   16. APNY Posted: August 29, 2006 at 01:11 PM (#2160369)
Trenton is going to the playoffs. Aside from being a good experience for Hughes, you don't hurt your AA affiliate like that to get him 1 or 2 starts at a higher level (unless he's really needed in the bigs, which he is of course not).

Rasner pitched decently last night, i'd give him Wright's first Sept start.

Whats up with Sardinha? Is he following the RobbyMelky plan of suddenly becoming good at AAA?

Duncan was playing 3rd because Trenton had injuries and a bunch of 1B/DH types. With the Yankee 1B situation, I dont think he's trade bait.
Obviously, he has no value now, coming of a decent/bad season and a back injury. But next year he'll be a 22 year old at AAA. If he hits, he's the 1B of the future, if he dosen't, he's a bust.
   17. APNY Posted: August 29, 2006 at 01:14 PM (#2160375)
In August, he's hitting .307/.358/.446, and has fanned just 18 times in 105 PAs in the month. Maybe there's hope.

Doesn't this coincide with the manager change? I hope the new guy tells Jackson how important contact is also.
   18. seeking a clever screen name since 1999 Posted: August 29, 2006 at 01:16 PM (#2160377)
Trenton is going to the playoffs.

With Hideki Matsui at DH.
   19. Sometimes it Rains (sj) Posted: August 29, 2006 at 01:30 PM (#2160396)
I would love to be able to get a bag of baseballs, perhaps two, for Eric Duncan.

BTW, you can check every Duncan thread on this site. I am not jumping off any bandwagon, I let this one pass.
   20. Sean McNally Posted: August 29, 2006 at 01:33 PM (#2160402)
Trenton started the season like 0-10 or something ridiculous like that. Once they finally got off the schnide, their front office put out a press release that playoff tickets were now on sale.

At first it was funny, now it seems prescient.

Here is said release.
   21. 洋基's Biggest Fan! Posted: August 29, 2006 at 05:02 PM (#2160638)
Pavano's cracked ribs story checks out with an assist from a police report.
   22. Master of Karate and Friendship (Kyle C) Posted: August 29, 2006 at 05:08 PM (#2160644)
I would love to be able to get a bag of baseballs, perhaps two, for Eric Duncan.


That's just stupid. Duncan has a lot of red flags as a prospect, and did so even before the back problem recurred. But he took a big step forward this year in AA, and when he was healthy performed very well and even cut down on SO significantly. He's a long shot of course, but to me that means he's far more valuable to us hoping he does reach his potential since he'll receive very little in a trade.
   23. Sometimes it Rains (sj) Posted: August 29, 2006 at 05:18 PM (#2160652)
If everything breaks right for Duncan, he might be Andy Phillips for the 2012 Yankees
   24. Master of Karate and Friendship (Kyle C) Posted: August 29, 2006 at 05:34 PM (#2160673)
If everything breaks right for Duncan, he might be Andy Phillips for the 2012 Yankees


Have you ever seen him play? Phillips didn't perform unless he was far too old for a league and has a swing that looks like a retarded gorilla playing ring around the rosie. Duncan has shortened his swing a lot this year, has very quick hands, and has a very effective swing.
   25. Sometimes it Rains (sj) Posted: August 29, 2006 at 05:41 PM (#2160678)
I have not seen him play this season.

I did see him play last season. My suspicions were confirmed.
   26. Master of Karate and Friendship (Kyle C) Posted: August 29, 2006 at 05:44 PM (#2160681)
I did see him play last season. My suspicions were confirmed.


The Yankees had him change his swing last season because they thought it would help him generate more power. He went back to his old swing in the AFL and has done awesome since then whenever he's been healthy.
   27. Got Melky? Posted: August 29, 2006 at 06:00 PM (#2160693)
(Phillips) has a swing that looks like a retarded gorilla playing ring around the rosie.


Hilarious. That is all.
   28. zoperino,if youre not into the whole brevity thing Posted: August 29, 2006 at 06:35 PM (#2160712)
Phillips didn't perform unless he was far too old for a league and has a swing that looks like a retarded gorilla playing ring around the rosie

That's an insult to every retarded gorilla that likes a good, clean game of Ring Around the Rosie.
   29. JC in DC Posted: August 29, 2006 at 07:08 PM (#2160746)
Enough with the gorillas, count me among those who will be surprised (pleasantly) if Duncan ever achieves more than Phillips in the majors.
   30. JMEnglish Posted: August 30, 2006 at 10:02 PM (#2162477)
Hey there,

Love the site…I linked your site to mine. Would you mind doing the same for me?

www.americanlegends.blogspot.com

I look forward to reading yours from now on…

Thank you!

Take care,
Mark
American Legendswww.americanlegends.blogspot.com
   31. Larry Mahnken Posted: September 03, 2006 at 07:56 AM (#2166250)
Can someone delete the spam?
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