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I criticized them for being inconsistent. They cruise along as if winning and losing don't matter, than pitch Papelbon 3 days in a row, something they've avoided all year. That kind of thing bothers me.
This is my solemn promise: if the Yankees win the AL East, I will not taunt you. I will not gloat outside of ST and the Sox Chatter, or in them. In fact, I will not say anything at all, because I will be dead. From shock.
THE RED SOX AREN'T BLOWING THE DIVISION. The Yankees just finished going 9-2 in their last 11 games. They have 11 left. Let's say they go 8-3, which is a reach anyway. The Red Sox only have to go 6-4 to win the division. If you don't think the Red Sox can win 6 against Toronto, TB, Oakland and Minnesota, well then, I'm surprised to learn they offer internet access at Bellevue.
That being said, I could not disagree with this:
"The Professor" is a mind-bogglingly dumb nickname. First, it's simply taking a character from a mildly hip tv show and transposing the names. Second, Jack Vincennes gave him the utterly awesome nickname "Dr. Tightpants". We may be losing the division, but at least we didn't lose the greatest nickname in the history of Baseball Primer.
more strongly. Dr. Tightpants is a terrible, terrible nickname. I like JV but come on. Dr. Tightpants? Spare me. Furthermore, even if it was "the greatest nickname in the history of Baseball Primer" (and it isn't, it's probably Bottom Five all-time) there's no way that Yankee Chatter are going to take a nickname from a Cubs fan. Plus "The Professor" is a great nickname, because it leads itself to the "Good news everyone!" line, which works no matter how Farnsworth is pitching.
It was a horrible, indefensible choice by Francona.
Buzz off! :)
I love SG, but he gave out that one to Esteban Loiza when the Yankees traded for him. He called him:
NNGKF&*$HG@@KLEN/MBOE&<DBGD
I'm not saying I agree with them, just that their every move seems to scream out that this is their philosophy. From resting Manny to leaving Gagne in, etc... these are all part of their "fine-tuning" leading up to setting the roster, establishing bullpen roles, setting the rotation, seeing how Ellsbury does against LHP, etc.
Along these lines, I half expect to see an Ortiz start at 1B once the WC is clinched, because if Youkilis is really hurt, to me the optimal solution to Youkilis's absence would be:
DH - Manny
1B - Ortiz
LF - Ellsbury
CF - Coco
RF - Drew
BENCH - Hinske
I know. I've been saying this for months and been mocked for doing so.
I disagree about Papi playing first in the regular season. He'll take some grounders but they're not going to risk him hurting his knee or shoulder in a regular season game. Especially with how careful they're being with everyone else.
And what exactly is going on with Youk? Francona sounds like he's out for the year, but what is his actual injury?
Seriously though #102 has it right. We get to 96 wins and that should be more then enough. If we can't take 6 wins of those last 4 opponents then I stand corrected about this being a championship caliber team.
I can only imagine that the Sox have been DHing Ortiz while playing really poor fielders elsewhere because they're afraid he'll hurt himself and they'll lose his bat.
If Ortizzle hurts himself in a meaningless game and the Sox are bounced in the playoffs, there'd exist the most vehement second-guess in world history.
And no one's saying the Sox can't win. It's just that it's far from in the bag.
Honestly, if he's out for the year, if they don't start Ortiz at 1B it will be monumentally dumb since it would let you get Ellsbury's bat in the lineup and I would guess that
Ellsbury's Bat + Hinske on the Bench > Hinske's Bat + Ortiz's defensive foibles
I agree Darren; if the MFY fans get high and mighty, they can be shiite to have around...but they haven't won anything yet.
And I still think 96 wins does it!
C'mon 6-4 is doable, take 2 against TB(lose the usual Kazmir game), take this last one against the Jays and scarper 3 more at home...that's definitely makeable.
If Youkilis does have to miss games in the playoffs, there's no way the optimal lineup doesn't involve Manny at DH, Ortiz at 1B, and Ellsbury in LF.
That's good because no one has disagreed with "thinking" 96 does it.
Boston is now 54-47 since their 36-15 start. That's about .535, which makes them merely a decent team over the past 101 games.
Molina has always been a lousy hitter, and would project to hit about .650 OPS, which stinks... and makes him waaaay better than Cash.
For the record, I agree with the magnanimous chorus. The Sox will win the division; I've been saying it since June. Some time in the next few days the Sox will win while the Yanks lose, and 3.5 games will look like a chasm.
I thought that would happen at 4.5 or 5.5.
Fair point, but does starting 36-15 allow you to coast a bit for the rest of the season? Whereas starting like the MFY did, does that cause some urgency? The last 101 games are a function of the first 51. You can't look at one without considering the other.
I'm pessimistic about Manny at this point. Last I heard, he's playing tomorrow then they've got the off-day. I don't see how you let Ellsbury face Downs in as high a leverage at-bat as that was if you've got Manny essentially ready to go and can get the lefty/righty matchup. I suppose if Coco was completely unable to come in and play CF, it makes sense but it looks like a sign to me that there isn't going to be Manny any time soon.
Err...just a week ago he was beat up for 4 runs in 5 innings. He was good the other two times this year though.
And I should make clear that Biff is one of my favorite Sox posters, despite our disagreement on this issue.
Don't try and butter me up with your candy!
(And no, I have no idea what that's supposed to mean, so don't ask.)
I don't know. He's been taking BP with the rest of the team for a week now, and supposedly killing the ball while doing so. It sounds all along as if they've been aiming for tomorrow, with the off day for recovery.
He missed 5 1/4 of the last 6 Yankee games, and started off that Game 1 in his typical Yankee-killing ways. How many of these 5 1-run losses while he's been out do they win with him in the lineup?
DIE YOU FRAKKING PIECES OF KRAP GO BACK TO QUEBEC YOU STUPID GAGNE AND YOUR STUPID ESCARGOT BS. Can't we put the SOB in jail for arson?
Also, I'm willing ot accept not making the palyoffs at all if it gets Francona fired. This is total and utter bullkrap. Are you guys sure Buchholz didn't steal FRANCONA'S laptop?
You guys are kind of insane.
Oh, I almost forgot, I HOPE YOU GET LESTER'S CANCER HINSKE, AND I HOPE YOU DON'T SURVIVE.
Jeez, Torre hasn't won the world series for 6 years, and he still gets a lot more rope than Francona, who brought the team its first world series since forever.
We won IN SPITE of Terry. he should overdose on his anti-coagulation meds and bleed to death.
And besides, you've got a bigger cushion than the Mets.
It's as if the ######## piled up just went over the threshold. We can no longer take it.
I dunno, I'm fairly amused by it.
If there was a rope right now I'd hang myself with it.
I wouldn't trade places with them yet, but the Royals seem to have finally be getting their S!@# together. They're kids are coming up, things are coming together... and we never beat them.
Btw, I don't want "exciting". I don't want "thrilling finish".
Why can't I for once just have some sort of victory celebration without drama and endless F!@#ups?
I don't mind losing like we did yesterday, sometimes the starters jsut get pwn3d. But losing via F!@3up seems to be the Red Sox MO.
You know what the WORST WORST WORST part is? Seeing Wily Mo hit all those dingers for the Nats.
Stop right there. The Yanks have lost a LOT of games this season they should have won. They've also won games they should have lost, as have the BoSox. It happens.
You know what seperates the good temas and the bad teams? The good teams don't screw up.
Boston vs. Tampa Bay - 11-4
Yankees vs. Baltimore - 6-8
Yankees vs. Tampa Bay - 8-7
I would love to hear about all those games the Red Sox "should have" won...
(In the interests of fairness, Boston vs. Kansas City - 3-3, Yankees vs. Kansas City - 9-1. Still, if the Yanks play how they're expected to against the bottom-feeders in the AL East, things look pretty different.)
You may find this hard to believe, but a review of retrosheet shows that the Red Sox actually won the 2004 World Series, in, get this, a four game sweep.
I can find a link if you want.
If the Yankees are within a game of the Red Sox after Monday, though, then I think they have a very good shot. The Yanks *should* win 2 of 3 in Tampa, and if they can sweep the O's, I think it's very possible that Boston would go 4-2 against the A's and Twins despite missing Haren and Santana (and maybe Santana will pitch the finale on short rest, since there's nothing to save him for this year).
If Boston wins tonight and sweeps the D-Rays, though, it's pretty much over. If the Yankees were to finish 10-1, Boston would have to go 3-3 in their final HOMESTAND to lose the division.
But if the Yankees sweep Baltimore and Toronto while Boston loses one of the next four (or the Yanks go 4-1 and Boston 2-2) then we're in for a thrilling final week.
Well, there was one on Friday. There have been more, no doubt.
When I think of a "should have won" game, I don't think of who the opponent is -- or even who the starting pitcher is -- but the game situation. If you lose because the manager left a pitcher in there too long when a better pitcher was ready to go, that's one. If you lose because an inferior pitcher was in the game when a superior pitcher could have and should have been used, that's another.
But when you lose because your closer blew it in the ninth, I count those as well. If you lose because of a bad call, there's that, and when you lose because of a baserunning or fielding error, those count too.
EDIT: as to the point of the thread, the current rules make the division title virtually meaningless, so why shouldn't an organization in the Red Sox position prioritize things like health, auditions for roster spots, and setting up the rotation? This has been mentioned above, but not really responded to by the pessimists.
(1) Pride. After having been 14.5 up on the Yankees--although I don't think the AL East lead was ever that big--the Red Sox don't want to the franchise that blows it, in some apparent flashback to 1978 even if, as MHS correctly points out, their chance of missing the playoffs is pretty much nil.
(2) The Division does actually mean something, given the Sox pitching troubles and superior home record, they would benefit from deciding which game sequence they play and having home field throughout the playoffs.
Like I said, I don't really buy the second one and the first one doesn't seem worth possibly hurting one's playoff chances (by overusing Pap or bringing Youk back before he's ready or whatever) but that's the counter-arguments as I see them.
I don't want to see the Sox risk their playoff roster. I just want to see the Red Sox not hold tryouts for the playoff roster in the 8th and 9th innings of one-run games.
And they're both right.
Your ideas intrigue me and I wish to subscribe to your newsletter!
This is also one of those random years where the Yankees are playing much better at the Stadium than they are on the road---24 and 8 since the All-Star break, and 13 of those wins were blowouts. I think both of those teams would love a home field advantage.
You missed a smack. Underestimate Cleveland at your own risk. Besides, Angels have taken 4 or the last 7 against the Red Sox, even with 4 of those games in Fenway.
HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE
Underestimate Cleveland at your own risk.
They can't send out Sabathia and Carmona EVERY night, and they can't throw complete games EVERY time.
I have some theories on this, but ST isn't the place. We'll get a thread elsewhere.
I still think they'll win the division. Going back to the last time we had a winning-is-not-a-priority thread...
I still stand by my statement. That said, if the Yankees, Red Sox, and all their opponents continue to play like they have over the last few weeks, I think they'll both end up 96-66, with the possibility of the Yankees briefly taking sole possession somewhere in there. I also don't think that'll happen.
Then again, the division isn't as important to me as it appears to be for some of y'all (which is why I was soundly sleeping last night instead of posting here late into the night). I want them to make the playoffs and to be ready for the playoffs when they arrive.
Well, you're right and wrong. I don't really give any thought to the MF and what it stands for. I just type it because it's easier than the Yankees. That being said, it is juvenile, and as someone who has taken a stand against that type of activity, I will try to avoid it in the future.
accounting for shift/caps lock, i'd say yankees is easier to type.
Well sure, for a guy as shift-key phobic as you, it would be. But I generally capitalize the Y in Yankees.:)
Is there any particular reason why Count the Rings threads don't appear on Hot Topics, while Sox Therapy threads do?
Or why there isn't any direct link to Mahnken's Yankee game threads on the Game Chatter page?
Shouldn't threads on other teams' topics be just as easy to find as those on Furtado's pets?
Rust?
Predict the division winner and by how many games.
I say Boston by 3- that's probably where the smart money is.
Jake Westbrook, Jensen Lewis, Raffy Perez, and Rafael Betancourt all say hi.
The Indians' pitching has hit its stride at the right moment, hopefully they can carry it into the postseason.
I get that a lot. I take pride in the efficiency of doing both simultaneously.
Friday - He sticks w/ Okajima 2 (or maybe 3) batters too long in the 8th, then brings in Papelbon w/ no outs @ 2 guys on to face the tying run @ the plate? To get 6 outs? For the first time this season? Manny Delcarmen is flipping you off as I type, Coach.
Sunday - Pulling a minor-grade Grady by sticking w/ Schill against Frederico Fistpump after he allows 2 guys on w/ 2 outs in the 8th, instead of making the move he made on Friday (which makes a whole lot more sense here) by going to Papelbon to get 4 outs & preserve the tie?
Tuesday - Sticking with Gagne for THE WHOLE OF THE 8TH INNING? The minute he threw that 4th ball to Zaun, Tito should've yanked his hoser patoot & put in Papelbon to get a totally reasonable 4 outs. But, no, EG throws a lollipop to Russ Fcking Adams, & only gets out of the inning down 2 because the BJ 3B coach mistook Gregg Zaun for Lloyd Moseby.
There's something to be said for showing some faith & sticking w/ your guys when they struggle, but there's also something to be said for winning the damn game. Manny D got all of 2 outs in these games, IIRC, and Okajima & Papelbon only pitched on Friday. Meanwhile, anti-LOOGY Javier Lopez is brought in to give up doubles to everyone under the sun, and Gagne once again alternates effectiveness w/ decrepitude.
That said, if the Yankees could actually come back down to Earth & cut this .800+ winning percentage nonsense out, it would be appreciated.
Problem with that is the morale side of things. A manager absolutely has to inspire confidence in his players that he will make the right moves at the right time. If he doesn't, if he isn't trying his best to win every single game*, in the back of their minds will always be nagging doubts which may factor into their performances in close situations. I know the CW in saber circles is that such subjective inscrutable mental aspects of the game are overrated, but we've spent so much time pooh-poohing such factors for so long that I feel like they are underrated anymore. Yeah momentum is overrated etc. etc. but blowing a big lead like this, or rather putting yourself into a position where you can blow a big lead, IMNSHO can't help come the playoffs. And I won't even mention the massive chorus of boo-birds that will undoubtedly plague Francona at every home game from here on out when he goes to the mound for a conference; guess that will be an asset too. If the Sox brass has in fact completely factored out the "human" side of the equation in this, believing that as a WC team-which played like crap down the stretch-they are in just as good shape as a divisional winner, they are indeed complete fools.
At any rate if he and Theo don't give a flying #### about the regular season than neither should I. See everyone in two weeks.
*Yeah you also have to manage with an eye to the long term. I am a great admirer of Bobby Cox for precisely that reason. But even he wouldn't tank a game just to "audition" a pitcher to see what he will do in a tight jam in a close game with a division lead on the line.
Headlines from St. Louis Post-Dispatch, September
2006:
Redbirds waste Edmonds' clutch, three-run, pinch-hit
home run
La Russa is making inexplicable decisions
Just slip-sliding away
Cards' lead slips to 1 1/2
A swoon for the ages? If the Cards fold, it won't be
the worst collapse, but they'll make inglorious
history anyway.
Are Cardinals headed for ... Fall Classic? Or classic
fall?
Cards ahead of the game in buying champagne
Half-hearted
Cards spot Brewers an early 8-0 lead
ESPN blasts Cards
Headcases in urgent need of a rescue
From the Post-Dispatch, October 2006
Cards get gripping win
COMEBACK Cards rallied from 3-0 deficit
BIG HIT Eckstein comes through in 8th
ONE AWAY Victory puts Birds up 3-1
'Our dream came true'
A great day to be a Cards' fan
500,000 honor the champs
For the first time in a generation, fans rally for an
October sendoff
Cardinals deliver winning teams and more
The owners' commitment to the community is clear.
Cardinals get the last word
Haven't read the thread yet. I guess this is my 15 minutes of fame on BTF.
Hope you enjoyed it! I'm still hurt that I'm not considered a condescending smart guy.
That's only half true JC. We all consider your condescending. :)
***
The Yankees deserve to be in the playoffs. So do the Red Sox. As Sparky Anderson once said, "I like to start counting in April."
As to the main issue of the thread, apparently it is the idea that the Red Sox are deliberately engaging in strategies that are causing them to lose so they can prepare for October. I am skeptical but will have to take the Red Sox fans' word for it.
I don't know if this is true of the Red Sox management, but I do think a lot of people took note of last year's postseason--getting there is what matters. It may be that Francona thinks getting Gagne straightened out, and finding out whether he can help the Red Sox next month, is more important than winning last night's game at Toronto. If so, I would disagree with him. It also may be that Francona simply sees the team differently than people here do and is therefore doing stuff they see as stupid. I also think if people believe the semi-tanking scenario, they should be calling out Epstein more than Francona. If that is really what is going on, that sounds like an FO thing.
As to the issue of whether the Red Sox will hold on, they almost certainly will. As someone posted earlier, the Yankees have been hotter than hell and are still 2.5 down. Collapses are not the norm--they are just what people remember.
Given the history, I can see why some of the Red Sox fans want the division, as I said last week. But who won the AL East will be largely forgotten after the first post-season pitch is thrown. An ALDS loss and a division collapse would be a salt-in-the-wound scenario, but winning the World Series is what matters.
As to the interpersonal issues, I have rejected the idea that the Red Sox were really in trouble at any time this year and still reject it. They are still up 2.5 and have the WC to fall back on. I think they are built better for the post-season than the Yankees are, and while I give the Yankees a lot of credit for getting off the mat, I am skeptical that things will be different for them this October, conceding that the young guys may make a difference.
I also disagree with Darren as to how much of an advantage the Yankee payroll gives them over the Red Sox and have explained 2 or 3 times--once in more detail than anyone wanted to hear--why I think so. I have also explained why I do have a bit of an axe to grind about RSNCLs (Red Sox Nation Chicken Littles).
And I want to thank Darren for putting my name up in a big, loud, emotional ST thread lead-in. For a guy who lives in, as Darren's good buddy levski said, "One of the most provincial and most irrelevant cities in America", that is quite a thrill.
I only scanned this thread (by the time I woke up it already had 150 posts or so) but Wok's callous disregard for life makes me wonder what he's doing in medical school. Do they have the Hippocratic oath there? He's always wishing cancer or a fiery death on some bench player or something. I hope he's joking and being hyperbolic, but I wonder. He's one of the main reasons I don't go to my Sox Therapy sessions much anymore.
I've said it before, I'll say it again - BBTF's ignore feature is wicked.
During all those games that aren't one-run games and during all those innings that aren't the 8th and the 9th. The Red Sox are holding tryouts in the very highest leverage situations - I think that keeping Schilling in the game Sunday was not unrelated to such concerns, as well - and I'm simply asking that they prioritize winning a little higher, and switch out of tryout mode during the highest-leverage situations of the game.
If other people want to ignore those, that's their choice. Me, I care. I know that a wide selection of baseball fans agree with me in terms of rooting interest.
I agree w/you, and I'm sure many of the Yankee fans here do. The Division flag may be a penultimate goal, but it's a goal nonetheless, and I'd be thrilled if the Yankees stole this one from Boston.
Don't get me wrong, I care about it too. I can, however, understand the POV that doesn't. But what I really want to know is, is there a fancy word for third from last?
Ricciardimate?
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