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I've actually been moderately impressed with Snyder. His curveball is a major league pitch, and he can hump the fastball in at 90-91, which is enough to get some outs.
He's got some very significant weaknesses - I mean, his ERA is over 7 and all - but I think there's a useful pitcher there.
I still think he looks like Bronson Arroyo from behind.
**SMALL SAMPLE SIZE ALERT**
Time through order Avg OBP SLG OPS PAs GIDP
1st time .257 .278 .371 .649 36 2
2nd time .353 .538 .529 1.068 36 2
3rd time .462 .588 .462 1.050 17 1</pre>
One time through the order, though, would still make him a good long man. Don't know whether his injury history would preclude him from working in this role...
When he has had runners on there's a higher walk rate, more balls in the dirt, etc. He has a propensity for the GIDP so I'm guessing he throws the sinker into high gear with the force play on. Of course, if he's not locating the sinker - or if hitters are expecting it and laying off the low pitches - he's going to have trouble unless he shifts to another pitch or locates better. Also, when he's throwing lots of pickoff throws he seems to have more trouble locating pitches.
If I had to guess, I think he gets a bit flustered with runners on. The Kerrigan approach - completely ignore baserunners, just get the batter out - seemed to work well for Derek Lowe. (That, and staying sober.) Perhaps that's the direction they need to go with Snyder.
The problem, of course, is that there is no replacement fifth starter in whom we should have any level of confidence. Jason Johnson gets Snyder's start today. He finally threw seven shutout innings in Pawtucket his last time out, so maybe he won't suck. but I doubt it. Gabbard had a bad start in his return to AAA, and he'd be going on four days rest, so he's unavailable. Both Alvarez and Pauley are off schedule and mired in terrible slumps.
The Sox will need a 5th starter straight through the month, with no opportunities I see to skip over the spot. 1st, 6th, 12th, 18th, 22nd, 27th. And they have to use at least two different starters for this time, because the double-header means the 5th starter spot comes up on the 18th and then again on short rest on the 22nd. Wakefield is technically eligible to return today, though obviously he won't - does anyone know his timetable?
Charlie Zink has to be on the list now, too, just by virtue of attrition in the Pawtucket rotation. He's got more BB than K, but his H and HR numbers are down and I think you stand a better chance of getting lucky with a gimmick pitcher call-up than with a traditional guy. Would the Sox risk giving Zink his MLB debut against the Yanks in a pennant race? Would they maybe think of calling him up for the 12th as a tryout?
They'll need a 4th starter too.
And, yeah, the shape I'm referring to is an ellipse.
I would hope our standard for 4th/5th starter is "keep it within a few runs on those nights that we score 6 through 4 innings." Interestingly, Wells is much more susceptible to XBH than I would have expected.
Wells, 2003-5: .283/.301/.432, 733 OPS, .139 ISO
Schill, 03-05: .252/.285/.402, 687 OPS, .150 ISO
Beckett: .238/.305/.371, 676 OPS, .133 ISO
I'm certainly hopeful he can regain some command and be successful. It's not too fanboyish to think that he was gassed in the 5th and just shouldn't have been out there for 96 pitches. But there were a lot of hard-hit balls out there. Let's see what we get from him this weekend.
You mean the offense kept it withing 2 runs, don't you, e-CT? Giving up 8 runs in less than 5 innings isn't keeping anything within reach. It's called "getting one's ears pinned back."
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