Philly’s Big Study of Pitcher Durability

Over on SOSH, our pal Philly has posted a very illuminating study of durability among FA pitchers. He starts with Derek Lowe and then moves into a discussion of other guys who have been signed to multi-year deals in recent years. There’s also a section on pitchers that will be available this coming offseason.

I’m not sure what conclusion to draw from the work. One think I think it shows is that Clement was a very reasonable signing at the time. And Philly’s point, that durability may be a bit undervalued by us Johnny-statboys, is also probably true. But overall, when I look down that list, it seems to me that trying to figure out who’s going to be healthy is a pretty tough thing. I think you probably have to just pick the guys who’ve been healthy for a while and hope for the best.

Does this info change anyone’s mind about who the Sox should pursue this offseason? I still like Mussina and Pettitte to be good values.