Red Sox Top 20 Prospects Part 4
The grand finale! Thanks again to Temple for his great work:
5. Jason Place (OF); b. 10/8/88: Place endeared himself enough to Boston's amateur scouting department that the Sox made him the first high school hitter they have taken in the 1st round (27th overall) since Theo has become the GM of the team. He put on a power show in a private workout in Greenville that gave the Sox hope that he could instill some much-needed pop into a light-hitting system. His mature demeanor and dogged work ethic led the Sox to believe that he could develop his relatively raw approach with solid coaching and instruction. Place had a funky swing coming out of high school which the Sox immediately worked to smooth out. That extra work has continued over the winter at practice side sessions at West End Field in Greenville, which happens to be in his backyard. Place played surprisingly well in the GCL last year before getting hit in the head with a pitch during practice. Baseball America ranked him the #4 player in the league, remarking that he displayed unexpected athleticism and speed. Jason will need to work on his contact skills in addition to developing an advanced plate approach. He projects as a future RF because of his bat and arm. He should start the 07 season in Greenville as an 18-year old.
Gulf Coast Red Sox- 113 AB’s, .292/.386/.442, 17/35 BB/K
4. Dustin Pedroia (2B/SS); b. 8/17/83: Relatively unknown around these parts, Pedroia is a diminutive middle-infielder from Arizona State. A 2nd round pick in 2004, Pedroia catapulted through the system like few recently have. He has been able to thrive as a hitter because of his excellent hand-eye coordination which allows him to take large cuts and make consistent hard contact. He had more XBH’s than K’s in his minor league career, and has a 6/7 XBH/K ratio in his brief time in the majors. Pedroia should be an above-average 2B on the Sox for a long time.
Pawtucket- 423 AB’s, .305/.384/.426, 48/27 BB/K
Boston- 89 AB’s, .191/.258/.303, 7/7 BB/K
3. Michael Bowden (P); b. 9/9/86: Following a dominant senior campaign in Aurora, Illinois, the Sox made Bowden the 47th overall pick of the 2005 Draft. He is projected as a future 2nd or 3rd starter because of his durable frame and above-average stuff. Bowden’s arsenal includes a low-90’s fastball, a hammer curve (the best in the system), and a developing changeup. Bowden’s future should be as a starter, though some scouts question whether that projection will hold up because of his awkward delivery. Bowden is expected to begin the year in high-A Lancaster.
Greenville- 108 IP, 91 H, 118/31 K/BB, 9 HR, 3.51 ERA
Wilmington- 5 IP, 9 H, 3/1 K/BB, 0 HR, 9.00 ERA
2. Jacoby Ellsbury (OF); b. 9/11/83: The 23rd overall pick of the 2005 Draft, Ellsbury has made an immediate impact in the Sox system. After initially drawing comparisons to Johnny Damon, Ellsbury has carved his own niche out as a speedy potential gold glove winner in CF. Ellsbury ranked topped the list of centerfielders in Jeff Sackmann’s first ever minor league defensive ratings. From a scouting perspective, he has drawn rave reviews as a gold-glove worthy talent. A contact hitter with modest power, he projects to hit between .280 and .300 in the majors with good on-base skills and 40-50 stolen base speed. Quiet and withdrawn, Ellsbury is a hard worker who goes about his business professionally. It is unknown whether he will begin the season in double-A or triple-A, but many believe he will be able to contribute to the major league team this year if Coco Crisp should falter.
Wilmington- 244 AB’s, .299/.379/.418, 28/25 BB/K
1. Clay Buchholz (P); b. 8/14/84: The 42nd overall pick of the 2005 Draft used his late surge in 2006 to vault to the top of the Sox prospects lists. Despite having advanced pitches, Clay is relatively new to pitching. In 2005 he became a full time starter as a sophomore at Lumberton College, having transferred from McNeese State the prior year. On his bat alone, he could have been a top 5 round pick in the 2005 Draft. He is one of the best athletes in the Sox system, which has eased his transition to pitching. Clay combines a low-to-mid 90’s fastball with a “wipeout” slider, curveball, and changeup. There is still some debate over his strongest pitch, with Baseball America claiming it’s his changeup. In the early portion of the season in low-A, Buchholz was primarily working in the low-90’s with his fastball. But following a promotion to high-A he pumped it up to the mid-90’s regularly, allowing him to dominate more advanced hitters. While Buchholz spent a limited time in high-A, early word is that the Sox are going to bump him to double-A to begin the 2007 season.
Greenville- 103 IP, 78 H, 117/29 K/BB, 10 HR, 2.62 ERA
Wilmington- 16 IP, 10 H, 23/4 K/BB, 0 HR, 1.13 ERA
Darren
Posted: January 25, 2007 at 07:22 PM |
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But what's the deal with him being out of shape? [I’ve heard rumblings here and there]
Are there some interesting DFE candidates? I think Brandon Belt falls into this category. I'd love to hear your thoughts on Belt and any others that the Sox might still sign.
I believe Belt was rated the #3 JuCo prospect, behind Walden (Angels) and Latos (Padres). Though he had a commitment to Texas, Belt actually had a pre-draft deal with the Cubs lined up, so he told other teams to stay away. And on draft day he waited and waited and the Cubs never called. So I'm not sure he's quite the tough sign his draft position would lead you to believe. The Sox talked him into going to San Jacinto, one of the premier JuCo teams in the country. Belt has a high-80's to low-90's fastball, with a good curve and developing changeup. Because he has a good frame and he's athletic, he has substantial room left for projection. If he really puts it together this year, he would be a fine DFE and possibly the Sox replacement for their first round pick they lost.
Some other DFE's to pay attention to are Kyle Gilligan, Kyle Snyder, an Chad Gross. Gilligan is a Canadian SS who has good athleticism and a promising bat. Snyder fell off prior to the draft causing his stock to drop. He was going to go to Miami, but chose JuCo at the last moment. There was a slight controversy of whether or not he actually attended a class at Miami, but that has been dispelled. Chad Gross is a big, powerful 1B prospect going to Cuesta College.
Hope that clears things up. I'll try to keep things updated as the season moves along.
BTW, the college season starts tomorrow; who else is pumped? Actual baseball going on on American soil. Ya gotta love it.
I like the top prospects in the Boston's system - I think Buccholz and Ellsbury could be solid above average players, but is anyone else bothered by the fact that the top prospects (Pedroia aside) haven't performed past low minors? The lack of strong prospects who've performed at AA is concerning and leads me to believe that Boston's system really isn't very strong. Aside from Pedroia and maybe Murphy, there isn't anyone who looks like they could qualify as depth to the big league team.
The loss of some good position prospect/players to lousy trades is frustrating. Bard, Ramirez, Murton - all these guys could be good contributors now. Hanley was dealt for Beckett, who could still turn out to be pretty good, but Murton and Bard were just given away. Not to mention Freddy Sanchez, Mike Gonzalez, and Anibal Sanchez. The Red Sox system has produced some pretty good players....for other teams. I realize that bringing up prospects is hard for the Red Sox. They need to be above average at basically every position in order to compete at the high level the fans are used to them competing at, and rookies inevitably struggle and make a lot of mistakes. However, it really limits what Boston can do with its $100M development machine.
Where would Hansen be, talent-wise, on this list? Is he just in some no-man's land between prospect and washout? I don't know what to think about him anymore.
Gonzalez came from the Pirates in the original part of the Scott Sauerback trade saga, pitched 1.2 innings at Pawtucket, and then, when it turned out that Brandon Lyon was broken, went back to Pittsburgh as part of negotiations to prevent the Pirates from crying foul to the Commissioner's Office. I agree with the general point that the Sox have given away a lot of young talent, but Gonzalez doesn't really fit in with that. He was with the organization for 8 days.
Care to "tier" these dudes as far as "uber prospect" "really really good prospect" and so on...
I like Ellsbury a lot. If he can manage a 760 OPS he'll be a very good major leaguer. It's not exactly a given that he'll hit that much though.
I have a hard time getting excited about Low-A pitchers, but Buchholz seems like the best Low-A pitching prospect the Sox have had in a long time
This is a very important point.
No you're not.
I'll be disappointed if he htis that. I'm OK with that as a rookie but I think he should check in around 800 (.380, .420), witha couple of big years in the .850 range.
Yeah, but an equally important point is that if you don't tolerate the labor pains, you aren't going to enjoy the fruits of a young player who is pre-arb eligible and is still improving.
There's are influential "HEY! DO SOMETHING!" contingents at work in Boston that gather momentum when a young ballplayer screws up--Ordway/WEEI, Shanks, etc. If a rookie hits .190 for April and May there will be a groundswell of indignation that the Brass fears in a real way, I think. Its all part of the insane ammount of attention the team recieves. Pedroia better hit early on.
The Sox have signed 17-yeard old former LLWS stud pitcher Dennis Neuman out of Curacao .(upper left) Details are forthcoming.
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