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— Where Thinking Red Sox Fans Obsess about the Sox

Tuesday, September 05, 2006

It’s Time to Run the Table

It’s time to run the table.

Lenny Megliola of the MetroWest Daily News has a nice little column on the ‘Last Chance Saloon’ sentiment in the Red Sox clubhouse here.

We have Trot and Tek and Manny back, and should get Papi back today.

Okay, so we have no pitching whatsoever. Our third starter is Julian Tavarez and our closer is getting an MRI today. But we can dream, can’t we?

BPro odds gives us about a 1 percent chance to make the playoffs.

We’re 6 games behind the Twins (with 3 games against the Twins remaining, all at Fenway) and 5 1/2 behind the White Sox (with 2 games against the Pale Hose remaining, both at Fenway). Both those teams have a tougher schedule than we do, the White Sox much tougher. We need Detroit and Cleveland to play them tough.

Let’s make it interesting.

Toby Posted: September 05, 2006 at 01:13 PM | 38 comment(s)
  Related News: Boston

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   1. Toby Posted: September 05, 2006 at 01:30 PM (#2168211)
To put it another way, we have 24 games left, if we go 19-5 we'd have 93 wins and would probably be in, or in a sudden death playoff game. Onward, I say.
   2. chris p Posted: September 05, 2006 at 01:40 PM (#2168221)
i say just forfeit the rest of the games before anybody else gets hurt.
   3. Templeusox has reached his genetic threshold Posted: September 05, 2006 at 01:53 PM (#2168233)
I fear the worst for Papelbon. I really do.
   4. OlePerfesser Posted: September 05, 2006 at 02:31 PM (#2168267)
Over? Did you say "over"? Nothing is over until we decide it is! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Hell no!

It's official: Toby is now Sunshine, Jr.

On the "no pitching whatsoever" front, apparently Schilling has a strained lat. Which sounds like it could make him either out or ineffective. Sigh.

I'm going to go light a candle each for Lester and Lil Papi.
   5. Toby Posted: September 05, 2006 at 04:27 PM (#2168371)
rage, rage against the dying of the light!
   6. Sometimes it Rains (sj) Posted: September 05, 2006 at 04:36 PM (#2168377)
To put it another way, we have 24 games left, if we go 19-5 we'd have 93 wins and would probably be in, or in a sudden death playoff game. Onward, I say.

In 95 the yankees went something like 24-6 in their last 30 games to win the wild card. It can be done.
   7. Dan Szymborski Posted: September 05, 2006 at 04:51 PM (#2168385)
25-7 after that long losing streak. It's not happening, though - the Yankees were 4 1/2 games back then and still only won the wild card by a game and a half. The 8 extra games is huge at this point and they're chasing better teams - the Sox and Twins are both on pace for 94 wins while the leader at the time, the Rangers, was on pace for 85.
   8. PJ Martinez Posted: September 05, 2006 at 05:26 PM (#2168404)
Kottaras is a Sea Dog:

http://tinyurl.com/qb3e5
   9. Darren Posted: September 05, 2006 at 06:30 PM (#2168454)
I'm going to go light a candle each for Lester and Lil Papi.

How about just 2 for Lester instead?
   10. Elevate Phil Coorey Later Posted: September 05, 2006 at 08:10 PM (#2168545)
Let's wait and see how we play vs. Kansas ####### City first.
   11. IronChef Chris Wok Posted: September 05, 2006 at 09:41 PM (#2168677)
Kason Gabbard must be cheating somehow
   12. Mattbert Posted: September 06, 2006 at 06:40 AM (#2168959)
I fear the worst for Papelbon. I really do.
Same here. See my comment in the Papelbon diagnosis thread.
   13. Sometimes it Rains (sj) Posted: September 06, 2006 at 08:24 AM (#2168971)
Sox pick up another game on the Yanks.
   14. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: September 06, 2006 at 08:37 AM (#2168973)
Gabba Gabba Hey!
   15. Darren Posted: September 06, 2006 at 11:12 AM (#2169123)
Hey, Toby, why didn't you suggest this earlier.
   16. kevin Posted: September 06, 2006 at 06:02 PM (#2169791)
Let’s make it interesting.


I'd love to help but I don't think the Red Sox are much interested a 51 year old righthander with a 70 MPH fastball.
   17. Kyle S Posted: September 06, 2006 at 06:08 PM (#2169800)
i dunno, kevin... you might become the one pitcher in mlb that dusty pedroia could actually hit. he might even top his weight in SLG off you. :)
   18. baseball chick Posted: September 06, 2006 at 06:14 PM (#2169810)
yall should sign kat osterman
   19. kevin Posted: September 06, 2006 at 06:19 PM (#2169824)
Except, being on the Red Sox, I couldn't face him, Kyle.
   20. villageidiom Posted: September 07, 2006 at 09:34 AM (#2170414)
I'd love to help but I don't think the Red Sox are much interested a 51 year old righthander with a 70 MPH fastball.

You need to get on the juice.
   21. IronChef Chris Wok Posted: September 07, 2006 at 09:56 AM (#2170437)
I'd love to help but I don't think the Red Sox are much interested a 51 year old righthander with a 70 MPH fastball.

If he was lefthanded I bet you he'd be a hot commodity
   22. 1k5v3L Posted: September 08, 2006 at 07:50 PM (#2171767)
Red Sox released catcher Javy Lopez.
But we never got to see Javier Lopez throw to him. Surely the Red Sox could have set that up just once. According to manager Terry Francona, Lopez was released so that he might have a chance to catch on with another team for the final few weeks. The Red Sox weren't going to have any playing time for him with Jason Varitek back.
   23. kevin Posted: September 08, 2006 at 08:10 PM (#2171781)
The Red Sox weren't going to have any playing time for him with Jason Varitek back.


Let me fix this for you, levski:

The Red Sox weren't going to have any playing time for him with Jason Varitek back because he couldn't play his way out of a wet paper bag.
   24. 1k5v3L Posted: September 08, 2006 at 09:06 PM (#2171846)
And thus concludes Adam Stern's long and winding career as a member of the Red Sox.

Btw, Kevin, those weren't my words; that was from rotoworld.com. I forgot to say so.

I do agree with your sentiment completely. Even though you may have to define the degree of paper wetness.
   25. IronChef Chris Wok Posted: September 09, 2006 at 12:52 AM (#2171970)
Mike Timlin, get cancer
   26. Darren Posted: September 09, 2006 at 08:55 AM (#2172015)
not cool, C-Wok.
   27. kevin Posted: September 09, 2006 at 10:11 AM (#2172034)
Physician, heal thyself.
   28. ArthurDent Posted: September 09, 2006 at 10:15 AM (#2172036)
I was at the game last night, and though the ending sucked, I went home happier than I would have if they had lost 8-3 like it looked like they were going to. I also learned that the nosebleed seats behind the jumbotron aren't as bad as you might think.. ;)
   29. kevin Posted: September 09, 2006 at 10:54 AM (#2172052)
If they aren't going to make the playoffs, then I hope they lose as many games as possible, so as to improve their drafting position for next year. Plus, it will force them to view the roster more critically than they might have otherwise, and put some players under the microscope they might have been satisfied with before.

Here is what Bill James wrote about Jerry Remy in 1983:

There are two people who always surprise me whenever I figure anytingfo them-runs created, approximate value, ratings. Sixto Lezcano always comes out looking a lot better than Ithink he will, and Jerry Remy always comes out looking a lot worse.

Why? For one thing, he has less power than anybody else in the league at his position (Tim foli is close). So you say, from the standpoint of a Red Sox fan, that that's not his job, that his job is to get on base in front of the power hitter, which is fine except that he doesn't get on base all that much either. He has a .339 on-base percentage, which is way behind Grich and Randolph and pretty much indistinguishable from Bernazard(.340), Dauer (.340), Gantner (.339), Garcia (.339), or Whitaker (.343). Then he is supposed to be a good secondbaseman but the first thing I look at is double plays, and he doesn't turn very many, and the second thing is range, and he doesn't make that many plays, either. So you've got a negative there with no identifiable positive to offset it, and he's got to rate behind those people. He's a quiet, respectable little drain on the Red Sox efforts. I think they'd win more games if they'd put Stapleton at second and try to find a firstbaseman who can hit.


This brings us back to Mark Loretta. For one thing, he has less power than anybody else in the league at his position (Placido Polanco is close). So you say, from the standpoint of a Red Sox fan, that that's not his job, that his job is to get on base in front of the power hitter, which is fine except that he doesn't get on base all that much either. he has a .351 OBP but that's way behind Carroll and Utley and pretty much indistinguishable from Giles (.351) or Vidro (.351) or Iguchi (.350) or Castillo (.349).

Then he is supposed to be a good secondbaseman but the first thing I look at is double plays, and he turns an average amount, and the second thing is range, and he doesn't make that many plays, either. So you've got a negative there with no identifiable positive to offset it, and he's got to rate behind those people. He's a quiet, respectable little drain on the Red Sox efforts. I think they'd win more games if they'd put Pedroia or Cora at second and try to find another middle infielder.
   30. OlePerfesser Posted: September 09, 2006 at 03:10 PM (#2172191)
Re: Loretta.

Yes, kevin. Plus, they had a superior, cheaper middle IF in Graffanino, who has put up a better EQA and Zone Rating than Loretta this year, for less money and no cost in talent.

To be fair to the FO, however, Loretta had some upside offensively (if you look a some of his recent years' numbers) that Graffy didn't have. And also, while they got a negative delta on Loretta this year, they sure as hell got positive ones (relative to my worried state, anyway) on Lowell and Schilling.
   31. IronChef Chris Wok Posted: September 11, 2006 at 02:41 AM (#2173144)
not cool, C-Wok.

Better somebody deserving and not Lester.
   32. "Andruw for HoF" sure died down Posted: September 11, 2006 at 04:31 AM (#2173167)
How fast people forget Timlin had a 0 ERA in the 2003 post season... Ungrateful bastards.
   33. baudib Posted: September 11, 2006 at 04:57 AM (#2173171)
It's time for the Sox to turn it over to the kids and just play Freddy Sanchez, Hanley Ramirez and Anibal Sanchez.
   34. The Bones McCoy of THT Posted: September 11, 2006 at 05:20 AM (#2173176)
I'd love to help but I don't think the Red Sox are much interested a 51 year old righthander with a 70 MPH fastball.

If he was lefthanded I bet you he'd be a hot commodity


If he he was lefthanded he'd be Jamie Moyer.

Best Regards

John
   35. PJ Martinez Posted: September 11, 2006 at 04:30 PM (#2173654)
So, how long before we get a "Time to Plan for Next Year" thread? It would sure beat whatever's going on in that Ortiz/MVP thread.

I think that this team, with some better breaks, is not far from contending, and that the Sox should spend money (but not prospects) accordingly. Sign the best FA starting pitcher you can, and probably sign Lugo. Probably try to trade Lowell, move Youkilis to third, and go with a platoon at first (or perhaps explore the trade market there, but only if there's a considerable upgrade or surprising bargain available).

If Aramis Ramirez opts out of his contract, go hard after him and dump Lowell.

Do others disagree?
   36. Darren Posted: September 11, 2006 at 07:14 PM (#2173823)
I disagree on ARam. Last I checked he was a terrible fielder. Is that still true?
   37. PJ Martinez Posted: September 11, 2006 at 11:02 PM (#2174186)
This year, according to Dial, A. Ramirez has neither cost nor added a single run with his defense: his line is 0, with 7 NL 3Bmen fielding better and 8 fielding worse.

I don't know anything else about his defense.
   38. Templeusox has reached his genetic threshold Posted: September 11, 2006 at 11:08 PM (#2174204)
No, I thoroughly support the A-Ram plan. I'm not even a big A-Ram fan. But there needs to be some semblance of power in a corner infield spot. On watching him alone, he looks like a below average defender. But I only watch about ~25 Cubs games/year.

A-Ram and Matsuzaka, and you're set.
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