Hi everyone, I’m a member of a new team this year in UK baseball, the Chelmsford Clippers.
We’ll be playing at the lowest level, where scores averaged 17-17 last season, and inevitably the defence will be quite poor in a lot of games, 10 errors a game won’t be that unusual, and there will be loads of stolen bases because most of the catchers arms aren’t up to it, just to give you a quick flavour of the level.
We’ll probably play less than 15 competitive games a year, until promotion, but even the top level teams of UK baseball play less than 30 games, and that’s 3 divisions above us, so the amount of data generated will be minimal.
Our scoring could be at a reasonable level using Turbo-Stats software.
But for the long term we want to include scientific principles through out the club, we are sick of old school baseball coaches pushing really dubious concepts which was a major problem at our previous club, and one of the main reasons we started our club.
So bearing all this in mind, from the sabermetric side, we are really looking to work on our walk rates, in an environment where an out is so expensive, and aiming for 80% plus in our SB success rate (total guesstimate of what is the required rate).
Although we have a lot of saber interest at the club to varying degrees none of us are really saber competent at the moment.
But we really aren’t sure where to go from here.
My only other thought would be to start compiling a database from the sketchy scoring that operates at our level from other clubs/years. at least start trying to generate some linear weights. ie run values re bases/outs, if that’s even feasible.
Any input gratefully received, for we surely don’t want to go down the rbi’s, run scored, batting ave, ERA route as our focus.