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Help me settle on my keepers…
Posted: 28 March 2007 12:23 AM   [ Ignore ]

OK - all fall, my only decision to make about keepers was whether to keep Josh Barfield at $11 or Josh Johnson at $12 (NL-only).

With neither of them an option, I’m having the damndest time deciding…  Any thoughts?

NL-only, 12 team 5X5 rotisserie style auction, standard $260 team salary… Keep up to 5, sliding 10-8-6-4-2 raises (lowest to highest salary).  I figure my definite keepers are Brian McCann ($10), Brian Fuentes ($10), Andruw Jones ($26), and Lance Berkman ($26). 

For reference purposes - Roy Oswalt was our highest paid pitcher last year ($37).  Pujols went for $46.  Few, few bargains at the end of the auction - I paid $17 for Corey Hart last year because he was simply the best bat left for my utility spot (3 other owners were also sitting on ~15 at the end game).... but I figure $20 or more is too much for Hart (I think he may ultimately end up WORTH 20 - but I’m thinking he’ll go for less than 10).

I figure I have 3 - maybe 4 - scenarios:

Scenario 1 (leaning towards)
Brian McCann $17
Josh Bard $11
Andruw Jones $29
Lance Berkman $29
Brian Fuentes $17
...$28 on catchers - one of whom is a big gamble, but now that Josh Willingham has lost his C eligibility, I think there’s a 1 in 3 shot Bard/McCann are the 2 best offensive catchers in the NL. 

Scenario 2
Brian McCann $19
Brian Fuentes $19
Andruw Jones $31
Lance Berkman $31
Carlos Zambrano $33
Keeping Z bumps everyone else’s salary up 2 - but he could be the most valuable SP in the NL, especially if his improved command this spring carries into the regular season.

Scenario 3
Brian McCann $19
Brian Fuentes $19
Andruw Jones $31
Lance Berkman $31
Luke Scott $11
Scott will start in Houston, or at least have the good half of a platoon - he’ll probably go for ~11 anyway.

Scenario 4
Brian McCann $17
Brian Fuentes $17
Andruw Jones $29
Lance Berkman $29
Josh Johnson $12
I know Johnson is out for at least 6 weeks - maybe 2 months, but I would have paid $12 last year for Johnson’s ~3 months in the rotation had I known then, etc…  maybe he’s still worth keeping, even hurt?


We also have a screwy “long term contract” deal - if you keep a player for 2 straight years, you can offer him a multi-year deal:  +$3 in year one, +$1 for up to 4 additional years.  The salary is “guaranteed” - so it comes out of your $260 except in case of trade (salary stays with the player) - for every year of the deal.  Technically—McCann, Fuentes and Jones are all multi-year deal eligible (Fuentes at 13, McCann at 13, and Jones at 29) - but all 3 are risky long term deals - McCann might be worth it, but I can always give him a long term deal next year and I think I’m better off seeing stay healthy all year and prove the 2nd half power spike was for real.  Fuentes might get dealt, ditto Jones (plus the aging body).

Posted: 06 November 2009 12:10 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 1 ]

This thread has been inactive for such a long time. Think topic should be closed by the moderators.


Regards,
rachelzank
Disque dur multimedia