Game Chatter— Where Thinking Fans Discuss Today's Games
Sunday, September 11, 2011
RedSox (85-60) @ Rays (80-64), Sunday, September 11, 2011, 1:40pm
BOS: Jon Lester (27, LHP, 15-6, 2.93) TBR: James Shields (29, RHP, 14-10, 2.77)
The Primer Chimp
Posted: September 11, 2011 at 01:00 PM | 106 comment(s)
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This seems a bit early to begin the rending of garments, the beating of brows, and the gnashing of teeth.
Shields has a 2.47 ERA at home, and the Red Sox are down 3-0 in the first. What do you think the chances are that the Red Sox win this game? The Red Sox bullpen is a complete mess, and Lester will be lucky to go 5 innings with how he is pitching.
Because you probably thought there was a fair chance Lester wouldn't #### diamonds in the first gd inning. *I* know Lester generally isn't a 'The line must be drawn here!' kind of guy, but I certainly didn't think he'd do a Tim Wakefield impression.
1. Seven games left with the Orioles.
2. The Yankees and Rays play each other six more times. The Yankees could be playing the B-squad full time in some of those...but they're cold too right now so they may not have the cushion.
3. Beckett and Bedard are supposed to be back before long.
We wish he had lost a step defensively. Try something more like 5 steps. His defense has been average at best, worse if you account for his lollipop throwing arm that he tries to compensate for by arcing throws over the cutoff man.
Other than needing to win nearly all the games against the Red Sox this is the biggest problem for the Rays right now. If they play well enough to be threatening for a playoff spot then unless the Yankees go on a nice win streak soon then they're also going to be playing well enough to be a theoretical threat to the Yankees. The final series it's likely the Yankees will be coasting but the first four games I expect them to be playing hard (and it's in New York).
1. In which they still field Wake, Lackey, Miller and Weiland. Sox can't even get out 8 and 9 hitters now.
3. I'll believe it when I see it, and it's not like Bedard is Pedro Martinez to begin with.
Seriously?
Erik Bedard clearly can't help this team because he isn't a historically great pitcher. That's basically what you said.
This team has been top heavy all year. If Pedroia/Gonzalez/Youk/Ortiz aren't raking they can't score.
He only has to be better than Miller, Wakefield, or Weiland to be useful. But he's really fragile and hasn't been able to go especially deep into games. As such, he's not really a savior.
Basically the 2011 Boston Red Sox are bullies. If they get on you early and start pounding away you have no chance. But if you smack 'em in the mouth, they can't pick themselves up. Last night was a perfect example. Great comeback in the ninth but once Ortiz hit into the DP they were done. 0 for 7 from there on out against the ass end of the Tampa bullpen and then crappy defense toasted them. Give them a chance to #### it up and they will.
I haven't seen a team as loaded with talent as this one perform so poorly since the 2002 squad.
I've said it before, this is the anti-2007 team. That team just had #### go right all year, someone would #### up, someone else would get the job done. Pedroia starts the year hitting .140, Alex Cora has the month of his life, Josh Beckett goes on the DL, Kason Gabbard throws a shutout.
The funny thing about this is for some stupid reason I think if they can make the playoffs (which I don't think they will) I think they can be great when they get there. Get to October and the top heavy nature of this team swings from a weakness to a strength in my opinion.
That's probably true. Whether the hitters are hot or not will ultimately determine their fate if they do get there though. When 1-5 are hitting, this team wins. When they aren't, they lose.
That is a good point. And they are talented enough to go on a hot streak, though the poor pitching makes that difficult.
The worrying thing going forward is that they're wasting great seasons by Beckett, Papelbon, Ellsbury, Pedroia, Ortiz, and Reddick. I wouldn't be surprised if none of them ever had as good a year as they're having 2011 again.
Of course, he's done worse than pitch badly today. He's pitched badlly AND he's thrown way too many pitches early, meaning they will have to go to their middle relief by the 5th. Really terrible showing today by the one guy in the rotation we should be able to depend on. (Of course, I don't expect him to be perfect.)
Then again, the offense really sucks right now. Pedroia in particular looks like he has no chance up there.
Any talk of this team not being able to come back reflects a rather short memory, I'd say.
You talking about #43? Sorry about that.
Aviles wasn't even taking a big lead, Shields just perfectly timed a great move with Aviles' hop to take his average lead.
Sometimes, you tip your cap ...
Neither. We can argue if one of those things should happen, but nothing will happen.
You're right. I'm sure that if someone on your team did this down by 3, you'd say, "Oh golly what a good move. Kudos to you, sir."
Not a chance, not after '04 and '07. But it's interesting to think about in the event of a second straight deeply disappointing season. A third season like that would definitely get people talking.
Okay, let's. I say, from the outside, there's a good argument for firing Theo if they miss the playoffs.
When do those wear off?
The Crawford deal is looking horrible, but Adrian Gonzalez has made up for it. It looks like catcher was a serious problem, but that's turned out decently for them. The Bedard deal hasn't worked out yet, but it may yet do so.
There's a case for not having Youkilis play 3B for durability reasons, but that means either passing on Adrian Gonzalez or trading Youkilis away at a discount.
Actually, I'd say something along the lines of \"####! But that *was* a great ####### move."
Sometimes you lose, sometimes you get beat.
I try to differentiate between the two.
BTW, that's Shields' 12th pickoff this year, for a RHP, he's got a GREAT pickoff move.
That play really wasn't on Aviles ...
Note also: Aviles got picked off to end a loss to Toronto a few days ago.
Can anyone on the Steelers catch a ball? Ray Rice is great for me and all, but Roethleeefhsifburger is undoing all that goodness.
I don't think it's '04 and '07 so much as a matter of there not being anyone better to replace them. Who would be a better GM for the Red Sox than Theo Epstein? I certainly can't think of anybody.
What they need is a new training staff. They're the anti-White Sox as far as keeping pitchers healthy and/or pitching the way they did before they came to the Red Sox. It's been incredible.
Tito should have gone to Papelbon Wednesday night but it was Bard's fault for loading the bases with no outs.
Dustin Pedroia is 3 for his last 34, that's unacceptable.
#### happens, I get that but the players are the ones that I'm pissed at. This is a veteran team with in my opinion the most talent of any AL team and they are failing miserably. You gotta get the job done.
Well, a collapse like this is a second straight "bad" year by the standard of expectations. The case could be made that a third such year is probably where the calls start to get noticed.
This is exactly what I was going to say. Yeah, Shields has a great move, but Aviles should adjust how he's leading off to compensate for that, especially with no outs and the top of the order coming up behind him. He turned a potential big inning into nothing by trying to get an extra step or two when he wasn't even stealing.
Theo? as far as I can tell...IE:my hair-brained tin-foil hat theories...Theo has done everything instructed of him by Henry.
2009: Get me the best pitcher available. No more of this 'bridge talk'. we have the money, let's spend it.
2010: Get me the best OF available. Money is no object.
Back in the times of yore..3 weeks ago...I was praising Theo because our no. 7 and 8 SP's were winning games. Seems to me that a lot of this season is on Tito for little things, his usual long hooks, thinking a DMac is better against lefties than Reddick is (which may be true, but I have a hard time believing it) not finding innings for his best reliever....etc..etc..and finally:
If the team is lacking in 'guts', 'desire' and all that non-qualitative stuff we laugh at, then whose job is it to find that?
Does getting swept out of the first round in 2009 not also count as a failure? If it does, you have 3 consecutive failures already in the situation where they cough up the playoff spot this season.
Flipping incredible to me that the last time the Sox won a playoff game was in October, 2008.
I guess I don't know what was so stupid about that play. Honestly. Did he take his lead "perfectly"? No. He shouldn't have made his last step a hop. That was a mistake. Obviously. But, frankly, it's a pretty thin mistake. He wasn't trying to stretch his lead beyond a reasonable point, he wasn't not paying attention, he was just moving into an average lead with a little bit of movement.
He made the slight mistake of adding a bit of flair into taking a reasonable, non-aggressive lead and Shields made a great play to catch him out on it.
Aviles' made a mistake, but it was a slight one, and, at least for me, overshadowed by the quality of play that Shields' had to make to take advantage of it ...
This team can go #### themselves. Jon Lester, nice ####### job today you piece of ####. Way to come through.
I'm with you. The save rule costs teams all over baseball games every day. It's really mind boggling that teams can't figure that out.
As I wrote above, I guess I just didn't see the lead that Aviles' took as being anything other than appropriate for the situation. I didn't see it as being aggressive in the least. If a pitcher has a GREAT pitch, let's say a cutter, for example, and the batter guesses CUTTER ... and STILL gets beaten by the quality of the pitch, is it on the batter, or is it the greatness of the pitcher?
Was it the lead, or the move?
I don't know that there's a single answer ...
The playoffs are enough of a crapshoot that I don't quite think of it that same way. It's not on the same plane as last year's disaster or this year's collapse would be assuming it comes to pass.
I shouldn't take Game Chatter talk seriously, but let's see you go out there and pitch. It's not like he's Hal ####### Chase and tanking g games.
These guys one two titles in the past decade and this negativity would be appropriate for a Cubs or Pirates fan. I don't know about the rest of you guys, but I consider myself a fortunate sports fan this past decade.
You shouldn't take chatter talk seriously.
Shrug, agree to disagree and that sort of thing ...
I too consider myself fortunate, incredibly so (and I'm not even a Patriot fan). That doesn't mean I'm still not rooting desperately for this team day in and day out, year in and year out. I love the Red Sox but this team right now is playing woefully below its ability. Last year was disappointing but I was proud of that team, given the injuries I thought they got the most out of what they had, I do not feel like that is true of this team.
(sigh) I wish I were a BB/NFL/Hockey fan. I can't even enjoy other Baseball games today with all this 9/11 stuff.
I blame Tito. Albers sucking would be no big deal if he were moved to mopup duty after the KC debacle, which was far from the first incidence of him being awful in a critical juncture in a game.
No no, it was a valid point. like Dale I'm not a basketball fan or a football fan in any meaning and to the extent I care about the NFL I'm a Dolphins fan which eliminates any enjoyment there.
I saw the Sox win two World Series titles and that was wonderful. I'm popping in 2004 Game Four tomorrow night and I'll love every minute of it.
NY 87-58
BOS 85-61
TB 81-64
TEX 83-64 (let's say TEX wins today, for argument's sake...)
LAA 81-65
DET 84-62
If Tampa can take care of business against NY, doesn't this whole playoff lineup start looking like a clusterf###? Boston talk radio fans have been speculating all summer about whether winning the division, but getting Verlander twice, is better than taking on Texas without homefield advantage. Besides being a bit presumptuous, who is to say what the order of seedings will be? Or who will win the AL West? Or the AL East? Or the wildcard?
BOS, this week, has 6 home games: Tor (2), TB (4)
NY has six road games: SEA (3), TOR (3)
TB has seven road games: BAL (3), BOS (4)
DET has seven road games: CHI (3), OAK (4)
ANA has six road games: BAL (3), OAK (3)
TEX has six games: 3 hosting CLE, 3 at SEA
Boston certainly seems to have the scheduling advantage. Tampa starts an 11-game road trip tomorrow.
Last thing: Doug Fister, a little-mentioned deadline pickup in late July for Detroit from Seattle, has been amazing, and could be a difference maker for the Tigers, if they win the whole thing. He pitched 7 shutout innings to get the win today. Since being traded to Detroit, his line:
8 GS, 5-1, 51.1 IP, 41 Ks, 5 BBs, ERA of 2.28. He had two clunkers in there, by the way. In his last five starts: 36.2 IP, 36 Ks, 4 BBs, ERA of - ready for this - 0.74. He's been every bit as good as Verlander since being traded, and he's a lefty. Pretty unreal. Imagine if the Red Sox or Yankees had acquired him for nothing much...
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