Game Chatter— Where Thinking Fans Discuss Today's Games
Wednesday, July 27, 2011
Royals (43-60) @ RedSox (63-38), Wednesday, July 27, 2011, 7:10pm
KCR: Bruce Chen (34, LHP, 5-3, 3.30) BOS: John Lackey (32, RHP, 8-8, 6.28)
The Primer Chimp
Posted: July 27, 2011 at 01:00 PM | 119 comment(s)
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Wait a minute. This sounds like Rock and or Roll!
"The Indians, Nationals, Braves and Pirates are among the teams with interest in B.J. Upton, who isn't in the Rays' lineup tonight despite having rested Sunday. Here are the latest rumors on the center fielder:
* The Phillies think they can obtain Upton more cheaply than Hunter Pence, according to Jon Heyman of SI.com (on Twitter).
* Upton told teammates he had some quad tightness, according to Topkin (on Twitter).
* The Rays don't have a deal in place for Upton now, according to Marc Topkin of the St. Petersburg Times (on Twitter).
* Now that Colby Rasmus and Carlos Beltran are off of the market, the list of teams with possible interest in Upton is taking shape, Topkin explains. The Phillies and Reds are also possible destinations.
"
I'm pulling for the Pirates this year; they deserve a miracle year and it would be way better than the 1991 worst-to-first Braves.
By the way, Lackey os the only starting pitcher in baseball with 15 or more starts without a 1-2-3 first inning this season.
And the Red Sox are now 62-28 in their last 90 games. That's .689 ball for 90 games - a 112-win pace.
1 vs. KC (1-0)
3 at CHW (2-1)
4 vs. CLE (3-1)
3 vs. NYY (2-1)
3 at MIN (2-1)
3 at SEA (2-1)
3 vs. TB (2-1)
4 at KC (3-1)
4 at TEX (2-2)
3 vs OAK (2-1)
3 vs. NYY (2-1)
3 vs. TEX (2-1)
4 at TOR (3-1)
3 at TB (2-1)
2 vs. TOR (2-0)
4 vs. TB (3-1)
4 vs. BAL (4-0)
3 at NYY (1-2)
3 at BAL (2-1)
Subtotal: 42-18
Total: 106-56
Summarized differently...
* 5-4 against NYY the rest of the way, with 6 of the 9 at Fenway.
* 4-3 against Texas
* 7-3 against Tampa, with 6 of 9 at Fenway
* 5-1 against Toronto
* 9-4 against CLE, MIN, CHW, OAK.
* 12-3 in 15 more games against the O's, Royals, and Mariners.
Now... Go through that schedule and find at least 7 more losses. One against Texas, one against Tampa, one against Toronto... maybe one against CLE/MIN/CHW/OAK... maybe one against the cellar dwellers? I mean, it's plausible they don't get to 100; there certainly are many ways in which they can fall to Earth. At this point, I'm not expecting it.
To put how difficult that would be in context, take the Red Sox last 65 games. They were 17-20 at one point, and since then, they've gone 47-18 (!). That's a .723 winning percentage, which is crazy. There have been 22 series during those 65 games (a lot of rainouts). The Sox have won 18 of those series, and lost 4 of them. Now, there's a lot of sweeps in those series wins, and you don't have to sweep to win a three or four-game series. If the Red Sox were to do what you've projected above, that would mean that the team (assuming it wins today), would have gone...
...90-36 since they started off 17-20. That would be .714 ball over 126 games - a 116-win pace. If the starting rotation is healthy, and Crawford does anything well, the sky is the limit - but this would be a historic stretch if you are correct...
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