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1. Starlin of the Slipstream (TRHN) Posted: February 23, 2009 at 08:11 PM (#3083901)You're right that the cubs could use a 3B backup, but I doubt fox can hit or field well enough to fill that role. Zips projects him to hit .244/.294/.434 which i suppose could have its uses off the bench, especially if he can play 3B which he barely has done in the minors. But most of that projection comes from tearing up AA as a 25 year old last year, whereas he was a below average hitter in his 30 games in Iowa. Fox is 26 & has had only 216 career ABs at AAA where he struck out 25% of the time.
Even if Fox did hit that projection, miles is still probably a better option for a 3B backup. There's not a huge difference between an OBP heavy .675 OPS & a SLG heavy .730 OPS. And whatever advantage Fox has offensively would probably be made up for by Miles' assuredly superior 3B defense. Of course, the problem there is that if Aramis Ramirez tweaks something without going to the DL & Miles is the backup, Fontenot would have to make starts against LHP.
To me, the ideal solution is to go with an 11 man staff and have both a 5th OF and a backup 3B. After all, what's the point of all of those starters in the bullpen if you can't stretch them out a bit? Of course, the Cubs would never go for an 11 man pitching staff, since they're having a hard time stuffing their options into 12 slots.
In my perfect world, the Cubs would go with an 11 man staff, sign Nomar for a milion or so and would go after Jim Edmonds. Nomar would provide another potential platoon option at 2B with Fontenot as well as some measure of Ramirez insurance. Edmonds would provide good Bradley & Fookie insurance in RF & center. The problem with that (and actually a problem with the Cubs fairly rigid roster construction) is that the Cubs would have a lot of players prone to boo-boos and almost no one on the roster whom they could option (Hoffpauir & Samardzija?) for replacements.
As for the roatation, it would be interesting for the Cubs to rotate Marshall & one of the righties in the 5th starter based on matchups and platoon splits. The Cubs should turn their starting pitching depth into a tactical advantage, since their fifth starter will probably get more starts than most teams'.
I like the idea for the 5th spot, but I wonder in today's era of assigned roles how well that would go over with the players.
Here's a link I missed, from Saturday. Sounds like Z is in mid-season form.
Rumor / speculation has it, the A's are looking to sign Nomar for less than $1,000,000. Gathright cost $800,000. I'm sure that Nomar would contribute more in 30 games to the Cubs than Gathright would all season.
Gathright is clearly the one to go -- at this point obviously you keep him around for spring training in case Fuku/Johnson get hurt (or god forbid Bradley or Soriano), but the Cubs have to recognize that he doesn't fit and they have flushed $800 K down the drain. (They also lost Pie but he'd be in the same spot as Gathright except you'd probably keep Pie over Hoffpauir.)
Anyway, it's just a horrible, Dusty-esque bench with a starting lineup which, if anything, will probably need more time off than last year (given likely unrepeatable levels of health last year plus they're a year older).
Like TRHN said, the Cubs don't have as many guys with options this year to shuttle guys back and forth between Iowa. But there aren't as many guys there this year that will be useful as in years past.
I actually like the bench well enough if they can find a decent infield backup in the place of Gathright. Hoffpauir's bat should make up for his defensive problems behind soriano and Bradley. Gabor and Johnson both have clearly defined roles and are what they are. Aaron Miles has hit LHP at a decent enough .284/.352/.352 clip for his career & was .315/.377/.378 last season.
Which isn't to say it's perfect. Except for Hoffpauir, whom I'll be excited to see take a couple hundred ABs, it seems as if the Cubs could have done better. Miles has his uses, but there were better 2B options for the money. Even if Orlandos Hudson and Cabrera wouldn't take a backup gig, Grudzielanek or Durham are probably better bats than Miles and comparable fielders. I guess the main difference being that Grudz and Durham can't be butchers at SS. And if Ivan Rodriguez would take a backup role, Gabor looks like an overpay.
Heck, in this market, non-tendering Reed Johnson and keeping Pie might have made sense, too. (What the hell, Fookie hit about the same against LHP last season anyway.) Even though there wasn't an obvious Johnson replacement & Fookie mightneed a platoonmate, ultimately, replacing Johnson with Gathright or Pie in the offseason with a $2.2-2.7 million savings would have given the Cubs more flexibility to take advantage of this season's Johnson or Edmonds falling into their laps. As it stands, they'll either have to option Hoffpauir or cut Gathright.
Long story short, cut Gathright and sign Tony Phillips' 2009 equivalent.
But alas, where does one find a player like that?
I think he only pitched 10 innings, just like the Cubs asked. He left before the season was over.
Cubs are lucky to have their guys missing the WBC, the pitchers specifically.
I'm sure the Cubs could scrounge together a couple of nothing A-level arms...
Yeah, but the difference is - Lou Piniella witnessed Cedeno and Pie's suckitude himself. He hasn't personally seen that Miles and Gathright are just as bad.
Imagine a bench of, say... Zaun (or some comparable cheap backup), Derosa, Pie, Cedeno, Johnson. Presumably Derosa would get those 500 PA that are currently slated for Aaron Miles, with Fukudome and Fontenot spending time on the bench... now that's a good roster. And I doubt it's much more expensive than the bench they have right now.
Gathright went 3 for 3 and stole a base...
This is a good point. Neither Pie or Cedeno really did a lot of things well for the big league time during Lou's tenure. Perhaps he had too short of a leash with Pie, but he didn't like something from the start with him. I only with it wasn't costing the Cubs over $3mil for Lou to see Gathright and Miles's suckiness up close.
Me too.
The Cubs just signed Corey Koskie to a minor league deal. It's a longshot that he can make it back (what's it been, 3 years?) - but that would certainly solve the backup 3B problem if he could.
That said, it seems it would probably be Koskie or Hoffpauir for the final bench spot - but I don't see room for both, right?
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