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Monday, May 23, 2016

Regression and Perspective

I tend to think that sometimes “regression” is used too broadly when talking about a really good or really bad team.  I know that it has a very specific meaning in statistics and projections, but part of my mind always goes to the non-statistical definition: “a return to a former or less developed state.”  That’s probably a poor way of saying that we really shouldn’t be surprised that the Cubs have started looking downright mortal.  For the season, the Cubs are down to 5.5 runs/g (6.2 in April, ...

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Moses Taylor, Optimist in London Posted: May 23, 2016 at 04:34 AM | 17 comment(s)
  Related News: cubs


Thursday, May 19, 2016

Roster Construction

I tend to be quite forgiving of most moves that Maddon or the Cubs make these days.  I mean, in some sense they’ve earned that benefit of the doubt, and it’s nice feeling comfortable that there appears to be an underlying reason for everything they do even if it doesn’t appear obvious or isn’t fully explained publicly.  However, the Cubs appear to be doing a less-than-perfect job of maximizing their 25 man roster.

The most obvious culprit is currently rostering 3 catchers.  I partially ...

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Moses Taylor, Optimist in London Posted: May 19, 2016 at 07:00 AM | 14 comment(s)
  Related News: bullpens, cubs, joe maddon


Monday, May 16, 2016

This and That

Some assorted thoughts about the last week, in no particular order.

Addison Russell

Wow, does he look good right now.  His season line is up to .263/.375/.447, and his K% is down from over 28% last year to just under 20%.  His walk rate has jumped from 8% to 14%.  He’s really been driving the ball lately, and driving it to RF.  He actually had a bad April (.214/.341/.343) but has really been on fire in May (.341/.431/.614).  During his spring training power surge, I predicted 20HRs for him ...

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Moses Taylor, Optimist in London Posted: May 16, 2016 at 06:27 AM | 72 comment(s)
  Related News: addison russell, cubs, jason heyward, jorge soler


Tuesday, May 10, 2016

Screw the Closer

I’ve seen a couple of joking references to this on Twitter during various games, so I found it pretty amusing the Cubs actively talk about it:

Chicago Cubs hitters really mean no offense to their closer, Hector Rondon. They simply want to add on runs and win baseball games without a nail-biting ninth inning. In that vein, they play a game catcher David Ross brought to the team.

“When you’re on the bench and you’re up three runs, two runs, whatever, we have a game we call Screw the Closer,” ...

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Moses Taylor, Optimist in London Posted: May 10, 2016 at 12:10 PM | 8 comment(s)
  Related News: closers, cubs


Friday, May 06, 2016

Jake

There’s a million different ways to talk about how dominant Arrieta has been recently:

Christopher Kamka ‏@ckamka May 3
Jake Arrieta’s last 26 regular season starts:
0 Runs allowed: 14
1 Run allowed:    6
2+ Runs allowed: 6

Christopher Kamka ‏@ckamka May 3
Jake Arrieta ERA (regular season):
1.62 in 2015-16
0.85 in last 26 starts
0.55 in last 18 starts
1.46 on road in 2015-16
0.84 in 2016

Most of them usually include some sort of “since X”, with X being sometime last year.  That ...

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Moses Taylor, Optimist in London Posted: May 06, 2016 at 10:15 AM | 22 comment(s)
  Related News: bob gibson, cubs, cy young, jake arrieta


Thursday, May 05, 2016

As I Was Saying…

Where were we…oh, that’s right.  It’s good to be back.  My goal is to have something up at least once a week, but I’m sure we’ll have plenty to talk about this year.

Since the last post on this blog, appropriately titled “I Am Fine with This”, a lot has happened.  And then it’s been rehashed, and rehashed, and rehashed yet again.  Regardless of your opinion on *how* we got here (for the record, I’m right and you’re wrong), we’re here.  The Cubs are outstanding, top to bottom; with a great ...

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Moses Taylor, Optimist in London Posted: May 05, 2016 at 09:45 AM | 43 comment(s)
  Related News: 2016, cubs, gonfalon cubs


Tuesday, January 10, 2012

I Am Fine with This

As Theo Epstein and Jed Hoyer assemble a 2012 team that looks to be, well, not very good, I find myself in an odd state of mind.  Of their six biggest contributors in terms of WAR in 2011, four (Matt Garza, Aramis Ramirez, Carlos Peña, Sean Marshall) are either gone or apparently on their way out, and in no case does it appear that the Cubs have clearly superior short- or long-term replacements.  Ramirez was one of three 10 and 5 players on the 2011 team. Only one, Ryan Dempster, is likely to ...

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Andere Richtingen Posted: January 10, 2012 at 11:06 PM | 56 comment(s)
  Related News: cubs


Monday, August 22, 2011

GM Candidates

Now that the Cubs have finally fired Jim Hendry, I thought it’d be a good time to see if this blog thing still works.  I’ve decided to create a thread listing the potential candidates, and anytime I see any sort of update, I’ll put it in this thread.  If I miss a story, please feel free to add it yourself.

The early candidates include:
Billy Beane
Brian Cashman
Andrew Friedman
Rick Hahn.

Buster Olney mentioned on BBTN last night that he believes the top 3 are the Cubs top choices, while a lot ...

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Moses Taylor, Optimist in London Posted: August 22, 2011 at 05:29 PM | 84 comment(s)
  Related News: astros, athletics, cubs, rays, white sox, yankees


 

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