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Monday, August 04, 2003

1906 Results - Spalding Elected

Al Spalding, the greatest pitcher of the 1870s, has been elected to the Hall of Merit in the closest voting to date. He defeated Ezra Sutton, 758-749.5.

The voting system came into play here. If the balloting had been 15-14-13 . . . 3-2-1; Sutton would have won. If we didn’t give bonus points for ‘elect him’ votes, it would have been decided by 1/2 point (wow!); if we didn’t penalize not being on the ballot at all, he would have won. If it had been a 2 electee year, Sutton would obviously have been elected, that’s not noteworthy—but in a quirk, he also would have finished first, because he had 9 second place votes more than Spalding, and this was the first year without bonus points for a 2nd place vote.

Don’t take this as a complaint, I’m just pointing it out, and I think the system worked well. Sutton had two more people that voted him ‘in’, and 1 less that left him off the ballot completely, he deserves an edge for that.

Both saw big surges in their support this week, as they leapfrogged Pud Galvin and Bid McPhee, making this election a bit of an ‘upset’. Galvin edged McPhee 681-676 for 3rd place. Joe Start finished 5th. Cal McVey jumped over Harry Stovey into 6th place. Sam Thompson, Charlie Bennett and Pete Browning rounded out the top 10.

No one dropped out from 1905, and nine new players received a vote that didn’t last year, but only one was a new eligible (Gus Weyhing picked up one 15th place vote).

RK   LY Player          Pts   Ballots  1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9 10 11 12 13 14   15
 1    5 Al Spalding     758     42.0  14  3  7  3     5  2  1  4        2          1
 2    6 Ezra Sutton     749.5   41.0  12 12  2  3  3  1     1  4           2  0.5  0.5
 3    3 Pud Galvin      681     42.0   2  6  9  8  5  4     2  1  1  1     2       1
 4    4 Bid McPhee      676     42.0   5  3  4  3  8  4  4  6  2  1  1  1
 5    7 Joe Start       660.5   41.0   4  6  4  8  3  5  5  1              2  2.5  0.5
 6    9 Cal McVey       613     39.0   3  4  8  4  5  4     1  2  3  1  2  1  1	
 7    8 Harry Stovey    592     41.0   1  5     3  8  2  6  4  4  4  2     2
 8   10 Sam Thompson    510     40.0   1  2  2  4     2  4  5  4  3  3  5  3  1    1
 9   11 Charlie Bennett 502     36.0   1  1  2  3  3  5  6  7     1  5        1    1
10   12 Pete Browning   380     34.0         2     1  2  2  2  5  3  7  6  1  1    2
11   13 Mike Tiernan    365     36.0      1        2  1  1  2  4  3  4  3  8  5    2
12   14 Bob Caruthers   314     28.0         2  2  1  2  2  3     1  3  3  1  7    1
13   15 Lip Pike        271     23.5            1  1  1  4  2  4  3  1  3     2    1.5
14   17 Jim McCormick   198     21.0         1        2  1     1  1  2  1  4  4    4
15   18 Ed Williamson   191     20.5                     1        6  5  1  3  1    3.5
16   16 Mike Griffin    185     19.0               1  1     2     3     4  4  3    1
17   19 Mickey Welch    155     17.0                  1  1     2  2  1     3  4    3
18   20 Dickey Pearce   111     11.0               1     1  1     1  2  2     1    2
19   23 Fred Dunlap      90     10.0            1              1  1  1     1  2    3
20   21 Tony Mullane     85     10.0                     1        2  1        3    3
21   24 Jim Whitney      76      7.0               1  1              2  2     1
22   27 Billy Nash       45      5.0                        1           2  1       1
23   22 Bud Fowler       44      4.0                        2  1                   1
24   25 Tip O'Neill      43      3.5                     2     1                   0.5
25   28 Charley Jones    41      4.5                              1  1  1  1       0.5
26   -- Tom York*        32      5.0                                       1       4
27   26 Jack Clements    32      3.0                           1  1     1
28   31 Dave Foutz       23      2.0                           1  1
29T  -- Ed McKean        17      2.0                                    1  1
29T  -- Jack Stivetts    17      2.0                                    1  1
31   30 Denny Lyons      16      2.0                                    1     1
32   -- Tommy Bond*      12      2.0                                               2
33   33 Levi Meyerle     12      1.0                           1
34   -- Jim Creighton    11      1.0                              1
35   -- Harry Wright      9      1.0                                    1
36   32 Bill Hutchison    8      1.0                                       1
37T  29 Bill Joyce        7      1.0                                          1
37T  -- George Stovey     7      1.0                                          1
39T  34 Dave Orr          6      1.0                                               1
39T  -- Bobby Mathews     6      1.0                                               1
39T n/a Gus Weyhing       6      1.0                                               1
*won tie-breaker (head-to-head on individual ballots)
Dropped Out: None.
Joey Numbaz (Scruff) Posted: August 04, 2003 at 07:58 PM | 7 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. jimd Posted: August 05, 2003 at 12:49 AM (#516359)
It's a preview of the coming World Series though (and btw, they're the west side Cubs). A NY/NY game might be more interesting (2nd vs 2nd) or an all Boston game (last vs worst).
   2. Sean Gilman Posted: August 05, 2003 at 01:15 AM (#516362)
I think a Chicago game for Al Spalding would be fitting, so it's the 116-win Cubs rematching with the White Sox, Three-Finger Brown pitches against Doc White.
   3. jimd Posted: August 05, 2003 at 01:25 AM (#516363)
A preview of Game 6. Different park though.
   4. John (You Can Call Me Grandma) Murphy Posted: August 05, 2003 at 02:07 AM (#516364)
"Three cheers for Captain Spalding! Three cheers for Captain Spalding!"

Well, somebody had to say it. :-)

The vote total is correct, BTW.

Excellent choice, even if Ezra has to wait a few more years (though I'm now confident that will happen thanks to Chris Cobb)...

... and Dickey Pearce is back on track to make his inexorable climb to the top! :-D
   5. Jeff M Posted: August 05, 2003 at 05:52 PM (#516365)
Went back through the elections to speculate who would get in if we were applying the HOF 75% standard rather than our quota/point system. Obviously this is impossible to reproduce accurately, but since most people seem to have their HOMer cutoff between #5 and #10 on the ballot, I counted a player as being "named" on a ballot if he was named in the Top 7.

In one instance, a player we elected would not have been elected that year (Ross Barnes in 1898), which means we don't have any vote totals in 1899 for Barnes. So his inclusion in the list below is pure speculation. We don't know how he would have fared in subsequent elections.

In many instances, players would have been elected under the HOF standards before we elected them, which means we have vote totals for them in years after they would have been elected to the HOF. My approach was to take the still-eligible players and bump them up a notch or two at every vote level (depending on how many guys in front of them had already been elected).

Anyway, it's just a fun exercise (for me anyway). We would likely have elected 4 more players under the HOF system by this time if we ignored the 15-year ineligibity rule (Galvin, McPhee, Sutton and Start). If we apply the ineligibility rule, we would have elected 5 more players (Galvin and McPhee, plus Stovey, Thompson and Bennett) and would not have elected Spalding.

1898: White (100%), Hines (100%), Gore (100%)

1899: O'Rourke (100%), Kelly (100%), Barnes, Wright (77%) --- I bumped Wright's vote totals down assuming Barnes would be ahead, which means Keefe got bumped down (and out) temporarily.

1900: Clarkson (100%), Ward (80%), Keefe (83%)

1901: Glasscock (97%), Radbourn (80%), Richardson (83%)

1902: Brouthers (100%), Ewing (93%)

1903: Connor (100%), Anson (86%)

1904: Rusie (86%), Galvin (79%)

1905: McPhee (80%)

[1906: Spalding (81%), Sutton (79%), Start (86%) -- without ineligibility rule]
   6. John (You Can Call Me Grandma) Murphy Posted: August 05, 2003 at 06:52 PM (#516366)
Since there was so much debate at the outset about how the voting would be set up, I thought this was interesting. For me, it certainly verifies that we shouldn't have ineligibility requirements.

Agreed. Good work, Jeff!
   7. sean gilman Posted: August 07, 2003 at 09:08 PM (#516368)
Here's My Personal HOM thus far:

1898: Paul Hines, Deacon White, George Gore, Ezra Sutton

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